Systems update and where we are

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 04:15 pm

    table shows the systems - on SPY ETF, 2nd but really the 3rd was the winner. Slight loser on that 1st entry. For the options, 1st and 2nd were losers, the 2nd only a slight looser of $50, could go either way depending on your fills as I view that as noise. The 3rd entry was the nice winner since we had 3 of them.

    For ES systems there's actually 2 open systems, only one of which I sent out. The QE will be closing, while the Strap will hold. I'll go ahead and track that Strap to see how it closes, see 2nd image bottom right the two systems. ES daily bar doesn't close until 5 pm EST

    Sorry I'm confused, I thought

    Posted by piclez on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 07:20 pm

    Sorry I'm confused, I thought 1st, 2nd and 3rd entries were to add to the position and then scale out. Maybe its the same to calculate that 1st and 2nd entry were losers and 3rd was winner but am I missing something? 3 entries to average? Thanks.

    piclez- The reversion to mean

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 08:25 pm

    piclez- The reversion to mean systems scale in, they do not scale out - they go out all at once.  

    I give the trade signals you guys can pick and choose what instruments to buy or short and how much. 

    for 1st entries I use the 1X ETF's like SPY and SH, for 2nd entries I use SSO and SDS, and for 3rd entries I use UPRO and SPXU. For options I show 1 contract for 1st entry, 2 for second, and 3 for the 3rd entry. For ES I show 1 MES contract for 1st entry, 2 for second, 3 for third entry.  Again the idea there is that 2nd entries and 3rd entries have higher probability and so I want to leverage up on them

    go to the systems section for SPY and read the description AND the FAQ, a lot of that is discussed already

    To be crystal clear, the

    Posted by steve on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 07:49 pm

    To be crystal clear, the SPY system exited (did not scale out).   The ES (SPX futures shorts) remain in place as of today. 

    Click on the Systems Tab above and you will see all entries posted (closed). 

    The ES systems did not

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 05:56 pm

    The ES systems did not cover. I'm going to let the ES reopen here at 6 pm and refresh and see if there's any change but for now they did not

    Thanks but which did signal

    Posted by watcdy on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 05:57 pm

    Thanks but which did signal ?

    I don't know what you

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 05:58 pm

    I don't know what you are asking. As covered earlier the SPY systems are flat. The ES systems are still open

    Ok. I see it below.

    Posted by watcdy on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 06:00 pm

    Ok. I see it below.  Sorry. &  Thanks again

    ES systems are still in

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 06:03 pm

    ES systems are still in their trade, so what you see on this table is what is closed and what is open

    Thanks Matt, appreciate your staying

    Posted by cozz101 on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 04:52 pm

    Thanks Matt, appreciate your staying on top of this with all that is going on with your flooded basement. Hope it's dry now! 

    S&P closed below 200 day

    Posted by wallstbuffet on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 04:28 pm

    S&P closed below 200 day MA
    VIX closed higher
    VVIX teetering near the 110 mark..... is there a chance these systems have covered too soon?

    Think I might keep some open just in case :)

    Thanks

    Thanks Matt again for your

    Posted by retirefire on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 04:26 pm

    Thanks Matt again for your diligence especially while attending to other matters. 

    Cool thanks.   I closed

    Posted by fredsaid on 23rd of Mar 2022 at 04:22 pm

    Cool thanks.   I closed all mine out except one but bought a May 450 SPY call to balance it, also plan to accumulate the May 450 calls for a bit.

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