I think you have to wait for a larger portion of the 24,142 reported cases to move from reported to either recovered or died to calculate an accurate mortality.  That will be much higher than 0.1%.  The worldwide tracker has a ration between recovered and deceased that yields a mortality rate over 10%.  However, given many cases are also not confirmed, the reported case numbers will be too low which means the actual mortality rate will be lower than that.  Bottom line:  I don’t think we have the data to know true mortality rate.  We do appear to have more accurate information on transmission and evidence that the virus is 2-3x more transmittable than flu.  That means that even if the mortality rate is equivalent, the health care system will be overwhelmed resulting in more deaths than would otherwise occur.....and not only among people contracting the virus.  The social distancing and stay at home orders are not in place for our safety, but to prevent the healthcare system from being overwhelmed and thereby causing a much higher death rate such as they are experiencing in Italy where the ratio of recovered patients to deaths is 1:1 or a 50% death rate so far in the population of diagnosed patients who have moved from diagnosed to either recovered or dead.

    I agree on why we

    Posted by ssaffer on 21st of Mar 2020 at 06:54 pm

    I agree on why we are being mandated to stay at home because we have a healthcare system that can not handle a large wave of sick people.   We are in a world aging population for the most part.  Italy has the oldest aging population, a lot of heavy smokers, very affectionate culture, antiquated health system = high mortality rate. 

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