Posted by sonofrebel on 11th of Feb 2020 at 07:46 am
Virus update
1. Rate of decline in "official" Chinese numbers continues to
decline
2. Cases outside China going up with no predictable trends
established in data; risk remains as to how many "silent"
carriers have arrived in foreign countries that could cause
pandemic reaction.
3. Mortality rate ticks up - albeit recent analysis by
experts suggests real mortality rate may be lower than previously
thought (~1%)
Then there is article like this where Chinese government is
saying mortality rate is ~4% and the study out of London research
center estimates the cases of infection may reach ~500,000 which is
obviously MUCH higher than current reports. Guess we'll find
out if the estimates, and seriousness, is being exaggerated like
we've seen with other potential threats in the past.....
Virus update 1. Rate of decline
Posted by sonofrebel on 11th of Feb 2020 at 07:46 am
Virus update
1. Rate of decline in "official" Chinese numbers continues to decline
2. Cases outside China going up with no predictable trends established in data; risk remains as to how many "silent" carriers have arrived in foreign countries that could cause pandemic reaction.
3. Mortality rate ticks up - albeit recent analysis by experts suggests real mortality rate may be lower than previously thought (~1%)
Then there is article like
Posted by blayden on 11th of Feb 2020 at 09:53 am
Then there is article like this where Chinese government is saying mortality rate is ~4% and the study out of London research center estimates the cases of infection may reach ~500,000 which is obviously MUCH higher than current reports. Guess we'll find out if the estimates, and seriousness, is being exaggerated like we've seen with other potential threats in the past.....
https://www.insider.com/coronavirus-spread-wuhan-scientists-estimate-february-peak-2020-2