yes I'd say 9 times out of 10 the bear long trade that went long
in late Dec would have stayed long and caught this whole uptrend!
Many times those bear long trades last 1 - 2 1/2 months!
The issue was that little pullback in Jan that caused the
system to go flat, had the market chopped there for a couple days
the system would have held this whole time by this momentum
indicator you see here on the chart. It's bad luck really
that it happened that way, really bothers me. It's like 9
times out of 10 this would have happened and we get the rare time
it doesn't. been frustrating
anyway here's a couple past trades of the Bear Long - what
caused it to stay long was the momentum indicator went green and
held the trade. As you can see this time around the momentum
indicator went red in early Jan, thus causing the trade to go flat,
but right after the trade when flat the momentum indicator went
green and stayed - had that momentum indicator not turned red for a
couple days there the system would have held. Again bad luck
on that
again market going to open so back to trading not discussing
this intra day focusing on trading
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yes I'd say 9 times
SPY Exhaustion Trade Stats
Posted by matt on 13th of Feb 2019 at 09:25 am
yes I'd say 9 times out of 10 the bear long trade that went long in late Dec would have stayed long and caught this whole uptrend! Many times those bear long trades last 1 - 2 1/2 months! The issue was that little pullback in Jan that caused the system to go flat, had the market chopped there for a couple days the system would have held this whole time by this momentum indicator you see here on the chart. It's bad luck really that it happened that way, really bothers me. It's like 9 times out of 10 this would have happened and we get the rare time it doesn't. been frustrating
anyway here's a couple past trades of the Bear Long - what caused it to stay long was the momentum indicator went green and held the trade. As you can see this time around the momentum indicator went red in early Jan, thus causing the trade to go flat, but right after the trade when flat the momentum indicator went green and stayed - had that momentum indicator not turned red for a couple days there the system would have held. Again bad luck on that
again market going to open so back to trading not discussing this intra day focusing on trading