I need some help/guidance. I am not a

    Posted by fluffycone on 20th of Feb 2014 at 05:33 pm

    I need some help/guidance.

    I am not a big traders and I do not have a brokerage account of any kind.  I just want to improve the returns in my retirement plan.

     

    I have a retirement plan called the "Thrift Savings Plan" OR TSP for short.

     

    The TSP provides 5 basic individual funds that I can invest in (G Fund, F Fund, C Fund, S Fund, and I Fund. I have attached a "Fund Comparison Matrix" that describes/compares the different funds.

     
    The G-Fund is the closes thing to a Cash Account.  The Objective of the G-Fund is "Interest Income without risk of loss of principal. Right now I'm 100% in the G-Fund.
     
    Here are the other funds and their objects:
    F-Fund: To match the performance of the Barclays Capital US Aggregate Bond Index.
    C-Fund: To match the performance of the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) Index.
    S-Fund: To match the performance of the Dow Jones US Completion TSM Index.
    I-Fund: To match the performance of the Morgan Stanley Capital International EAFE (Europe, Australasia, Far East) Index.
     
    ------ Quotes from TSP website:
    Interfund Transfer Limits (aka Trading Limits):
    You can make an IFT (Interfund Transfer) at any time, but there are some important limitations:
    • The first two IFTs of any calendar month may redistribute money in your account among any or all of the TSP funds, including moving your entire balance into the Government Securities Investment (G) Fund.
    • Subsequent IFTs in the same calendar month can only move money into the Government Securities Investment (G) Fund.
    If you have both a civilian and a uniformed services account, these rules apply to each account separately.
     
    Your IFT counts in the calendar month we process it, not in the month you submit it.
    ------
     
    I'm trying to match which BPT indicator I should use with which fund. I'm not really interested in trading everyday within my TSP retirement account. With caution, I would like to trade the account to maximize the returns possible.  Get in while the market is going up, and get out when the market is going down.
     
    It appears that the BPT "Key Long Term/Intermediate Term Indicators/Systems" should meet my requirements, but how do I interpret this information. Should I follow just the "401K Long Term System" indicator alone, OR should I follow all the indicators together as a group?
     
    Additionally, I recall you mentioning another system that might provide better returns for me in my TSP retirement account called the "SPY Pro System" and trades about 1 trade per month.
     
    When trading in and out of the longer trending systems, how much should I invest? 100%, 90%. . . 10%?
     
    Thank you for your time and effort.
     
    Sincerely,

    Long Term Investing

    Posted by racerick on 21st of Feb 2014 at 01:30 am
    Title: Check out 'The Ivy Portfolio' by Mebane Faber

    Well. The S-fund is the

    Posted by cubby on 20th of Feb 2014 at 06:11 pm

    Well. The S-fund is the opposite of the G-fund. That's clear.

    " The Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index family is a clear, comprehensive mirror to the global equity market. Anchored by the Dow Jones Global Total Stock Market Index, the Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index family includes more than 12,000 securities from 77 countries—providing near-exhaustive coverage of both developed and emerging markets. As its U.S. component, the family features the Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index, which comprises all U.S. equity securities with readily available prices."

    Exposure to all possible risks everywhere, except for Martian Green Creatures invasion ~ versus, just as you quoted,  "Interest Income with out risk of loss of principal." ~ What is the rate of "interest income"?

    Sounds like a good time for a great movie quote, " Do you feel  lucky punk ? "   Clint Eastwood,  Dirty Harry (1971)

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