Thank you

    SPY systems etc

    Posted by sschulman on 8th of Jan 2013 at 12:11 pm

    It must have been with difficulty that you guys decided to drop the original system as the one-and-only extra special system on this site. Still, there was so much emotion, you probably made the right decision to just move on.

    Personally I wasn't able to take the last (winning) trades because of the PFG hassles.

    I'm going to just stick with my account with TD Waterhouse for now which in Canada does not trade futures. I'm still readjusting my perspective - especially margin is calculated so differently. And I sure don't have the time (nor the mental energy anymore) to consistently day trade.

    So THANK YOU SO MUCH for all these new systems, which can be traded in a non-futures account. It must take so much dedication and work to maintain this awesome site!
    .....Susan

    Comments on the SPY system and new changes coming

    Posted by matt on 9th of Jan 2013 at 03:25 pm

    Hello and thanks for you kind words - yes it took me a long while of consideration about what the best approach was.  

    I think the best thing for me to do is a webinar with you guys to go over these systems and how they work.  As I've been stating in my emails and messages, instead of having one SPY system, I decided to have 5 systems for you guys.  As I stated, these systems will be placed into the Mechancial Systems section of the website and I will email signals out to you as they occur - the SPY system tab will be going away.  However I am also setting these up for members who have Tradestation and walking them through how they work. You can click on the links below to pull up the actual performance reports to see detailed statistics, individual trades, etc.

    SPY daily system report (click or right click to pull up a performance report) is basically the old SPY system however I removed a bunch of code from it, I removed a short term shallow pullback system from it so that it now needs more stringent conditions before taking an entry.  There are not less trades to the system from the old SPY system, however I think it is now more robust.  I will also go over some of the unique rules to this system in a video or webinar.

    SPY RSI 2 system report  (click or right click to pull up a performance report)  - is basically a Larry Conners type of reversion to the mean system, however there are a few modifications to it which allow it to hold trades for longer periods than a Larry Conners system would as well hard stops and other stop protection.  This system doesn't make as much money as the SPY above, but it is robust.

    SPX index system report   (click or right click to pull up a performance report) - this system used the exact settings as the first SPY system above, however this system goes back to 1981, so 32 years and that's pretty robust.  

    SPX RSI 2 system report  (click or right click to pull up a performance report) - basically uses the settings on the SPY RSI 2 system above but on the index.  

    DVY RSI 2 system report   (click or right click to pull up a performance report)- This is the ETF for the Dow Jones Select Dividend, it uses a typical Larry Conners type setting, however there are a few mods to it.

    -----

    I have various other systems such as  60 min SPY systems  of SPY, even a 5 min ES system, based on this code, however obviously I"m not placing these on the website since the trade timing is critical and you getting an email 20 min later is not optimal, whereas the other systems above are all end of day.

    I hope this gives you an good overview of the changes coming.

    Matthwe Frailey

    additionally I plan to do

    Posted by matt on 10th of Jan 2013 at 03:59 pm

    additionally I plan to do a webinar sometime to show you these systems and even show you some of the logic and rules to the signals - I think you will be enlightened how some of these rules are just common sense and are not found via back tested means - for example one of the rules I use to hold trades for longer is a 34 Stochastic, which is a fib number - getting oversold and when it gets over 80%, the system holds the trade until it crosses below 80%.  If had backtested this I'm sure that I would have come up with some odd ball Stochastic length like 43 or 51 and instead of 20% and 80% for Stochastic maybe the backtested result would have been 17% or 93% or 77% - but no I didn't bother, I simply chose 34 length because it is a Fib# and 20% for oversold and 80% for overbought because that just makes sense

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