Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Apr 2010 at 02:28 pm
Sethbru - How do you interpret my post of wikipedia info as
wishing a great depression on the country - or did you maybe just
click on an easy post to the topic. I voiced not a single opinion
about anything here. Gee - nice!
Historians most often attribute the start of the Great
Depression to the sudden and total collapse of US stock market
prices on October 29, 1929, known as
Black
Tuesday.
[1
]However, some dispute this conclusion, and see the stock
crash as a symptom, rather than a cause of the Great Depression.
[3
][9
]Even after the
Wall
Street Crash of 1929,
optimismpersisted for some time;
John D.
Rockefellersaid that "These are days when many are discouraged.
In the 93 years of my life, depressions have come and gone.
Prosperity has always returned and will again."
[10
]The stock market turned upward in
early 1930, returning to early 1929 levels by April, though still
almost 30% below the peak of September 1929.
[11
]Together, government and business actually spent more in the
first half of 1930 than in the corresponding period of the previous
year. But consumers, many of whom had suffered severe losses in the
stock market the previous year, cut back their expenditures by ten
percent, and a severe drought ravaged the agricultural heartland of
the USA beginning in the summer of 1930.
By mid-1930, interest rates had dropped to low levels, but
expected
deflationand the reluctance of people to add new debt by
borrowing, meant that consumer spending and investment were
depressed.
[12
]In May 1930, automobile sales had declined to below the
levels of 1928. Prices in general began to decline, but wages held
steady in 1930; but then a
deflationary spiralstarted in 1931. Conditions were worse in
farming areas, where commodity prices plunged, and in mining and
logging areas, where unemployment was high and there were few other
jobs. The decline in the
US
economywas the factor that pulled down most other countries at
first, then internal weaknesses or strengths in each country made
conditions worse or better. Frantic attempts to shore up the
economies of individual nations through
protectionistpolicies, such as the 1930 U.S.
Smoot–Hawley Tariff Actand retaliatory tariffs in other
countries, exacerbated the collapse in global trade. By late in
1930, a steady decline set in which reached bottom by March
1933.
Posted by rgoodwin on 13th of Apr 2010 at 02:34 pm
Matt, what about using an RSI message - I think that's what it's
called. I used to get those from another site BEFORE BPT. They
worked well and may be even more timely than text messaging -
especially for those of us that don't have their cell sitting at
their desk all day long. Just another thought. I can't imagine it's
expensive. The guy I got them from was not interested in spending
any money he did not have to.....LOL!
Posted by rgoodwin on 11th of Jan 2010 at 07:09 pm
No. Obviously if you wait until you lose a home to foreclosure,
you are going to kill all chance of getting another mortgage for
many years. BUT if you were to purchase a second home, THEN let
your existing go to foreclosure, you have "beat" the system. I know
a few folks that have indeed done just that. Fo course paying cash
for a home may be an option as well.
It is feasible if you time it correctly OR pay cash for the new
house. I could likely qualify for a new mortgage even before
"selling" the existing house/mortgage. So you get a one shot deal.
Another big thing going on around the country - or in the areas
hardest hit by the declining values, are short sales. you find a
buyer that buys your home for less than you owe and the banks are
accepting this stuff. Same result - but the departing homeowner is
not killed on their credit rating. Besides, credit ratings are only
needed if you need it. AND if you take a hit, you can rebuild a
credit rating in a lot less time than it would take for housing
values to regain 100 - 150%. it's a nightmare that America is going
to have to face one way or another. If the folks that CAN pay their
mortgages keep paying, are they really doing anything that REALLY
helps the whole of the economy? In times like this is Capital
preservation not Priority ONE? I did not buy a home that I could
not afford, nor did I buy it with no money down. I have a huge cash
investment in my house so that is already lost. To continue BUYING
my house equates in my mind to buying Bear Sterns all the way to
$2.00 - how did that work out for everyone?
Saturn - I didn't see in the article where they also discuss the
mortgages owned by Fannie or freddit that are so upside down on a
loan to value basis that homeowners are going to just walk away.
RIGHT NOW I could walk away from my 300K mortgage, go two doors
down the street and buy my identical house for 160K less than what
I owe on my house. Or I go 3 doors the other direction and pick up
a slight fixer uppper - same model for even 15K less than
that....Where is the incentive to keep paying for my house? It's
the RIGHT thing to do, but is it the sound business thing to do?
How many of these fannie's and freddie's are in the same boat that
I am in - PLENTY! There will be another round of "jungle mail" as
the next wave of foreclosures begins again.
Posted by rgoodwin on 29th of Oct 2009 at 10:57 am
michael, I have noticed CNBC ALWAYS goes to commercial when Ron
starts questioning - 100% of the time I have seen this happen -
they are so blatant about not wanting to give him any air time -
amazing.
The stock market is STILL screaming “BUY”! After my
prediction back in May that the Dow would hit 10,000 this year, I'm
nowpredicting Dow
15,000 is closer than you think!
And...I've just identified
7 Investmentsset
to double during the most historic market of our
lifetime!
Posted by rgoodwin on 22nd of Oct 2009 at 01:22 pm
Downgraded!
Early this morning banking analyst Dick Bove was on
television claiming Wells Fargo (WFC) was a great buy; that it
would add to handsomely to stock appreciation...blah, blah,
blah. Then Dick had an epiphany: WFC was a SELL!
It probably went something like this...
Hour 1 & 2: prep for television
Hour 3 &4: actually take the time to read the report
Hour 4.5: call an emergency meeting with trading desk and
share findings
Hour 4.5 to 5: call temp service to bring in telemarketing
staff
Hour 5 to 6: get on the phone with all institutional clients
to share opinion and sell stock and roll proceeds to NOV PUTS (told
clients earlier in the year this was a generational buying
opportunity)
Hour 6 and 8: let the trading desks work their magic
Hour 9: let the cat out of the bag
Ya think he'll be investigated by the SEC? Naaaah, me
neither.
Posted by rgoodwin on 22nd of Oct 2009 at 09:17 am
WOW! Talk about a nice gift. Been in HTE forever. Kind of got
caught when they did capital raise and have been taking it on the
chin ever since. Was waiting it out (in my IRA) Got up this morning
and the red ink is HALF what it was when I went to bed. Someone in
Korea - KNOC - is buying them. Will open 2.30 higher than
yesterday's close.
Rather FUN to have something like this happen. Certainly better
than what happened when they did their capital raise and took me
immediately in the red and recovery was just not happening.
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Oct 2009 at 03:57 pm
I was "busy" and then looked at the blog. The discussion made me
look at my chart and I was calling you all CRAZY! Then I checked my
chart - it had not updated since 1:30 Eastern - WTH? I had closed
my long but not due to the signal....just bankrolling. TS can
sometimes be the kiss of death - it just has these glitches - too
often for my comfort lately....
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Oct 2009 at 01:32 pm
Anyone ever notice that when someone is "taken down" on Wall
Street - the market RALLIES? As the news conference was being held
- this rally got underway - same thing happened when the Madoff
thing broke, and I recall others as well...Kind of weird - LOL -
maybe it's a relief rally in that the SEC got 'THE OTHER GUY'
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Sethbru
Wikipedia and the great depression Interesting...I added the RED
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Apr 2010 at 02:28 pm
Sethbru - How do you interpret my post of wikipedia info as wishing a great depression on the country - or did you maybe just click on an easy post to the topic. I voiced not a single opinion about anything here. Gee - nice!
Wikipedia and the great depression Interesting...I added the RED
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Apr 2010 at 12:44 pm
Start of the Great Depression
Historians most often attribute the start of the Great Depression to the sudden and total collapse of US stock market prices on October 29, 1929, known as Black Tuesday. [1 ] However, some dispute this conclusion, and see the stock crash as a symptom, rather than a cause of the Great Depression. [3 ] [9 ] Even after the Wall Street Crash of 1929, optimismpersisted for some time; John D. Rockefellersaid that "These are days when many are discouraged. In the 93 years of my life, depressions have come and gone. Prosperity has always returned and will again." [10 ] The stock market turned upward in early 1930, returning to early 1929 levels by April, though still almost 30% below the peak of September 1929. [11 ] Together, government and business actually spent more in the first half of 1930 than in the corresponding period of the previous year. But consumers, many of whom had suffered severe losses in the stock market the previous year, cut back their expenditures by ten percent, and a severe drought ravaged the agricultural heartland of the USA beginning in the summer of 1930.
By mid-1930, interest rates had dropped to low levels, but expected deflationand the reluctance of people to add new debt by borrowing, meant that consumer spending and investment were depressed. [12 ] In May 1930, automobile sales had declined to below the levels of 1928. Prices in general began to decline, but wages held steady in 1930; but then a deflationary spiralstarted in 1931. Conditions were worse in farming areas, where commodity prices plunged, and in mining and logging areas, where unemployment was high and there were few other jobs. The decline in the US economywas the factor that pulled down most other countries at first, then internal weaknesses or strengths in each country made conditions worse or better. Frantic attempts to shore up the economies of individual nations through protectionistpolicies, such as the 1930 U.S. Smoot–Hawley Tariff Actand retaliatory tariffs in other countries, exacerbated the collapse in global trade. By late in 1930, a steady decline set in which reached bottom by March 1933.
tencent
TENCENT
Posted by rgoodwin on 13th of Apr 2010 at 09:55 pm
I looked it up in tradestation and got 2 symbols - may have to do a little more research but try these:
TCEHY and TCTZF
Hope this is helpful
Notifications
SSO 34 System Trade
Posted by rgoodwin on 13th of Apr 2010 at 02:34 pm
Matt, what about using an RSI message - I think that's what it's called. I used to get those from another site BEFORE BPT. They worked well and may be even more timely than text messaging - especially for those of us that don't have their cell sitting at their desk all day long. Just another thought. I can't imagine it's expensive. The guy I got them from was not interested in spending any money he did not have to.....LOL!
Article on Yahoo Finance
Posted by rgoodwin on 12th of Jan 2010 at 02:08 pm
http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/108559/what-the-financial-crisis-commission-should-ask?sec=topStories&pos=2&asset=&ccode=
saturn6
mortgages
Posted by rgoodwin on 11th of Jan 2010 at 07:09 pm
No. Obviously if you wait until you lose a home to foreclosure, you are going to kill all chance of getting another mortgage for many years. BUT if you were to purchase a second home, THEN let your existing go to foreclosure, you have "beat" the system. I know a few folks that have indeed done just that. Fo course paying cash for a home may be an option as well.
saturn6
mortgages
Posted by rgoodwin on 11th of Jan 2010 at 05:16 pm
It is feasible if you time it correctly OR pay cash for the new house. I could likely qualify for a new mortgage even before "selling" the existing house/mortgage. So you get a one shot deal. Another big thing going on around the country - or in the areas hardest hit by the declining values, are short sales. you find a buyer that buys your home for less than you owe and the banks are accepting this stuff. Same result - but the departing homeowner is not killed on their credit rating. Besides, credit ratings are only needed if you need it. AND if you take a hit, you can rebuild a credit rating in a lot less time than it would take for housing values to regain 100 - 150%. it's a nightmare that America is going to have to face one way or another. If the folks that CAN pay their mortgages keep paying, are they really doing anything that REALLY helps the whole of the economy? In times like this is Capital preservation not Priority ONE? I did not buy a home that I could not afford, nor did I buy it with no money down. I have a huge cash investment in my house so that is already lost. To continue BUYING my house equates in my mind to buying Bear Sterns all the way to $2.00 - how did that work out for everyone?
American Taxpayer Nightmare
mortgages
Posted by rgoodwin on 11th of Jan 2010 at 03:13 pm
Saturn - I didn't see in the article where they also discuss the mortgages owned by Fannie or freddit that are so upside down on a loan to value basis that homeowners are going to just walk away. RIGHT NOW I could walk away from my 300K mortgage, go two doors down the street and buy my identical house for 160K less than what I owe on my house. Or I go 3 doors the other direction and pick up a slight fixer uppper - same model for even 15K less than that....Where is the incentive to keep paying for my house? It's the RIGHT thing to do, but is it the sound business thing to do? How many of these fannie's and freddie's are in the same boat that I am in - PLENTY! There will be another round of "jungle mail" as the next wave of foreclosures begins again.
Long Term MA's
long term MA's
Posted by rgoodwin on 2nd of Dec 2009 at 03:08 pm
Matt, what would you trade using this system. Can't trade $INX. Would you try it with futures or something?
Nice Matt!
New Candlesticks page coming
Posted by rgoodwin on 30th of Oct 2009 at 04:44 pm
Ron Paul
Ron Paul
Posted by rgoodwin on 29th of Oct 2009 at 10:57 am
michael, I have noticed CNBC ALWAYS goes to commercial when Ron starts questioning - 100% of the time I have seen this happen - they are so blatant about not wanting to give him any air time - amazing.
GDP - Gold lowered to 2.7???
Posted by rgoodwin on 29th of Oct 2009 at 08:33 am
Guess Goldman had a bit of a MISS! LOL! I wonder who's head will roll for that?
Aaaand It's Gone - FUNNY VIDEO!
Posted by rgoodwin on 27th of Oct 2009 at 12:34 am
http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/222624
I HATE tradestation
Posted by rgoodwin on 23rd of Oct 2009 at 10:35 am
Filled my short cover 6 cents BELOW where my order was placed. Price never got to my stop level. GGGRRRROOOOWWWLLLLLLLLLLL.
I just love these crappy emails I get
Posted by rgoodwin on 22nd of Oct 2009 at 01:24 pm
THE BEGINNING...
And... I've just identified 7 Investmentsset to double during the most historic market of our lifetime!
Great Analysis about WFC yesterday - Compliments of Larry Levine
Posted by rgoodwin on 22nd of Oct 2009 at 01:22 pm
Downgraded!
Early this morning banking analyst Dick Bove was on television claiming Wells Fargo (WFC) was a great buy; that it would add to handsomely to stock appreciation...blah, blah, blah. Then Dick had an epiphany: WFC was a SELL!
It probably went something like this...
Hour 1 & 2: prep for television
Hour 3 &4: actually take the time to read the report
Hour 4.5: call an emergency meeting with trading desk and share findings
Hour 4.5 to 5: call temp service to bring in telemarketing staff
Hour 5 to 6: get on the phone with all institutional clients to share opinion and sell stock and roll proceeds to NOV PUTS (told clients earlier in the year this was a generational buying opportunity)
Hour 6 and 8: let the trading desks work their magic
Hour 9: let the cat out of the bag
Ya think he'll be investigated by the SEC? Naaaah, me neither.
HTE - Whoo Hoo
Posted by rgoodwin on 22nd of Oct 2009 at 09:17 am
WOW! Talk about a nice gift. Been in HTE forever. Kind of got caught when they did capital raise and have been taking it on the chin ever since. Was waiting it out (in my IRA) Got up this morning and the red ink is HALF what it was when I went to bed. Someone in Korea - KNOC - is buying them. Will open 2.30 higher than yesterday's close.
Rather FUN to have something like this happen. Certainly better than what happened when they did their capital raise and took me immediately in the red and recovery was just not happening.
America's Empire Failing?
Posted by rgoodwin on 20th of Oct 2009 at 05:13 pm
http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/357319/Niall-Ferguson-U.S.-Empire-in-Decline-on-Collision-Course-with-China?tickers=FXI,PGJ,^GSPC,^dji,SPY,LMT,RTN&sec=topStories&pos=9&asset=&ccode=
TS - JUST AMAZING
srs swing 2
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Oct 2009 at 03:57 pm
I was "busy" and then looked at the blog. The discussion made me look at my chart and I was calling you all CRAZY! Then I checked my chart - it had not updated since 1:30 Eastern - WTH? I had closed my long but not due to the signal....just bankrolling. TS can sometimes be the kiss of death - it just has these glitches - too often for my comfort lately....
SEC Insider Trading agianst a Hedge Fund
Posted by rgoodwin on 16th of Oct 2009 at 01:32 pm
Anyone ever notice that when someone is "taken down" on Wall Street - the market RALLIES? As the news conference was being held - this rally got underway - same thing happened when the Madoff thing broke, and I recall others as well...Kind of weird - LOL - maybe it's a relief rally in that the SEC got 'THE OTHER GUY'