Steve -- I guess I didn't word my post very well, and i did
recollect that you had pointed it out last night -- my point was
that it was following through as a signal (not giving a signal, my
bad) -- and that it was important to note as you had said.
I think the projection based on past corrections may well be
about right in terms of time -- After vertical declines it almost
always takes time to build a new base. As far as the issue of
silver being in backwardation, Dan Norcini makes the point that in
conditions like this on the COMEX, backwardation doesn't matter
because when hedge funds and other leveraged players are getting
margin calls, the physical market becomes irrelevant. Over time --
just like your chart suggests -- it will matter again, but not for
a while.
Michael -- You make a very good point. I've chosen to go with
the multi-entry system, primarily for that reason. I've always been
a discretionary trader, and my trading style limits losses in most
trades to 5% or less, often much less (and a little more on very
low priced stocks). So for me it's a HUGE psychological advantage
to trade a system where the expected max drawdown falls in my
comfort zone -- less than 5%. I am having to adapt my psychology to
following a system, and it helps me a lot as far as making that
adaptation.
We'll all remember today after we've made a lot of money on the
system over the years and we'll have a good laugh over day one! You
know what they say, "As soon as you go live with something, if it
can go wrong, it will!" No biggie, but it was exciting :-)
ASCR -- i think you've got it right -- if it's ever this close
again, makes sense to wait for a minute or two to verify the true
closing price, then execute or not AH.
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SPX 5, possible H&S forming
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 02:41 pm
Bkout -- Here's the GDX:GLD Ratio chart, breaking support
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 02:24 pm
No reason at all. I
Gold/HUI Ratio
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 02:12 pm
No reason at all. I just happend so have this in a watch list I was going through and thought it was worth posting. You're right.
Dollar/SPX chart looking like an EKG
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 02:10 pm
Gold/HUI Ratio
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 01:59 pm
Steve -- I guess I
MACD breaking TL
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 12:38 pm
Steve -- I guess I didn't word my post very well, and i did recollect that you had pointed it out last night -- my point was that it was following through as a signal (not giving a signal, my bad) -- and that it was important to note as you had said.
MACD breaking TL
Posted by puma on 13th of May 2011 at 12:30 pm
Steve, one of your favorite indicators is giving a signal here
Steve -- I will be
ES Daily Update
Posted by puma on 12th of May 2011 at 06:16 pm
Steve -- I will be the first to second what Searay just said.
CSCO trading down about -3.25%
CSCO 42 cents above estimates 0f 37 cents - now ...
Posted by puma on 11th of May 2011 at 06:10 pm
CSCO trading down about -3.25% AH
Steve, Matt - what do
The dollar is the only story right now
Posted by puma on 11th of May 2011 at 03:51 pm
Steve, Matt - what do you make of the relatively well behaved VIX today?
The dollar is the only story right now
Posted by puma on 11th of May 2011 at 03:47 pm
WFC short idea
Posted by puma on 10th of May 2011 at 12:11 am
The bear flag that has already broken down measures to about 24.5. The whole group looks weak, and WFC is the weakest in the group.
Bill Gross 23% short treasuries, 37% cash
Posted by puma on 9th of May 2011 at 07:30 pm
That's about as bearish a position on Treasuries as I can imagine from the world's biggest bond manager:
The details here
Matt -- Don't worry about
Baby coming - Important!
Posted by puma on 8th of May 2011 at 05:25 pm
Matt -- Don't worry about us out here -- just enjoy what you're about to be experiencing -- very best to you, your wife, and your new daughter!
Mamaduck, thanks for the excellent silver charts
more on silver
Posted by puma on 7th of May 2011 at 02:31 pm
I think the projection based on past corrections may well be about right in terms of time -- After vertical declines it almost always takes time to build a new base. As far as the issue of silver being in backwardation, Dan Norcini makes the point that in conditions like this on the COMEX, backwardation doesn't matter because when hedge funds and other leveraged players are getting margin calls, the physical market becomes irrelevant. Over time -- just like your chart suggests -- it will matter again, but not for a while.
Michael -- You make a
drawdowns and multi-entry system
Posted by puma on 6th of May 2011 at 11:53 am
Michael -- You make a very good point. I've chosen to go with the multi-entry system, primarily for that reason. I've always been a discretionary trader, and my trading style limits losses in most trades to 5% or less, often much less (and a little more on very low priced stocks). So for me it's a HUGE psychological advantage to trade a system where the expected max drawdown falls in my comfort zone -- less than 5%. I am having to adapt my psychology to following a system, and it helps me a lot as far as making that adaptation.
iPhone here too -- also just got 4 messages
SPY
Posted by puma on 4th of May 2011 at 05:22 pm
Hey Matt -- it's OK, nobody got hurt -- don't beat yourself up
SPY system additional
Posted by puma on 4th of May 2011 at 05:00 pm
We'll all remember today after we've made a lot of money on the system over the years and we'll have a good laugh over day one! You know what they say, "As soon as you go live with something, if it can go wrong, it will!" No biggie, but it was exciting :-)
ASCR -- i think you've
As Matt pointed out previously. After hours trading is very ...
Posted by puma on 4th of May 2011 at 04:35 pm
ASCR -- i think you've got it right -- if it's ever this close again, makes sense to wait for a minute or two to verify the true closing price, then execute or not AH.
MATT -- THANKS VERY MUCH
SPY system did NOT go long!
Posted by puma on 4th of May 2011 at 04:32 pm
MATT -- THANKS VERY MUCH FOR YOUR QUICK CLARIFICATION!
Looks to me like anyone who bought it AH in the 70s can kick it out now for a wash, even a small profit :-) I see it 134.89 bid.