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You could follow the paint dry system that Matt has touched on lately in his newsletters. It's a very slow system but keeps you out during the bad times. I think he said it would need to close the month out before it gives an exit if the conditions are still being met. 

Yeah, I hear you! BPT has been cautious so luckily I'm only 25% in the market but even that hurts. 

I'm in a hedge fund that sells 0DTEs, that has done well during this route too. 

Trying to stay focused while

Posted by oreo on 9th of Apr 2025 at 08:46 am

Trying to stay focused while everyone around saying to "Run!"

Put/call one of the best guides...looks like our washout is happening... Thanks for posting! 

Put/Call getting up into those higher ranges usually makes for a good bounce. 

I see somewhat close by gaps at 5344ish SPX and 5200ish. The 5344 is large and obvious, maybe hit that one and rebound?

Thanks Matt; appreciate your efforts and willingness to continue to make the systems better.

Thanks Rik, got your emails; I appreciate it. 

Not per this email I received 3 days ago. 

That's the reason I wanted some clarification because no one else seems to be discussing this. To be honest, I didn't follow this but sold some on my own on the rebound in futures to 5750 June contract because of this email. I still have a couple contracts but am trying to keep an eye on the system. 

Still no update on the

Posted by oreo on 21st of Mar 2025 at 09:04 am

Still no update on the SPY system trade(s) tables. I see the futures trades on reversion to mean have been updated to reflect losses but not the Trend Pullback. I hope these trades haven't been abandoned. Am I the only one with concerns here? 

The email I got 3 days ago clearly stated that the Trend/Pullback was exiting at the close. It remains open on the tables.  There was no mention of the reversion trades on the nightly update either since that email. Usually these trades are at least touched on. I mean the market is reacting to news and not following technicals in some cases but it would be nice to have some comment on why the systems exited when they did.  (like was it a stop situation?) 

I'm counting on it; hoping for a 50% retrace to put some new hedges on and sell my open rev to mean trades.  I'm hoping at that time, everyone will temporarily  forget the tariffs set to most likely take affect early April. 

Is Trend/Pullback open or closed? I see it still open on the website tables. 

Definitely a loss, at least on MES so far; although the year is young...

Got an email with some

Posted by oreo on 19th of Mar 2025 at 08:34 am

Got an email with some system exits yesterday but have not seen any comment on the board about this. There is no update on the system tables either. 

Looks like we are up

Posted by oreo on 12th of Mar 2025 at 08:32 pm

Looks like we are up in the stratosphere again. 

I subscribe to a 0DTE hedgefund that collects premium daily and although later in the afternoon we had a small loss (much smaller than the market), we ended up with a decent gain today as some of the "black swan event", way out of the money, puts bought in the morning as insurance, exploded in value. 

Thanks Matt. Let us know if you see anything on futures either. Maybe the tariffs that just hit the wire will change things on futures. 

Do we have any reversion

Posted by oreo on 24th of Feb 2025 at 03:58 pm

Do we have any reversion to mean trades popping up today? 

I picked some up along

TCPC dividend play

Posted by oreo on 13th of Nov 2024 at 01:32 pm

I picked some up along with a few of the other div plays you had mentioned early on. My cb on TCPC is about 9 but still closer to the bottom of the range vs the top.  I've got OXLC, DSL and XRMI. All doing well. I reinvest the divs when they are near the lower end of trading ranges. Sidenote, if you reinvest divs on OXLC, the company gives a substantial discount on the reinvest.

The best div paying play of all though has been BITO.  I'm up over 50% on that one all the while it's been paying out a huge dividend. I know it's a futures play on bitcoin but gets the same % movement as bitcoin. Thanks for covering that in your newsletter. I'm benefitting from your 4th wave call on crypto. 

Appreciate your work!

I've been watching that big spike; I commented on it over the weekend. Guessing there is some huge hedging going on with the election. 

This is interesting...

Posted by oreo on 2nd of Nov 2024 at 12:39 pm

This is interesting...

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