Posted by hillsyde on 15th of Jan 2010 at 10:49 am
Maybe the MMs cut a deal with RBC. RBC clears their SPX
1150 options yesterday and the MMS get the SPY 112.0 at the close
today...... big money moves the market whare they want the market
to go.... It will all be clear by 1600 hours today.
Posted by hillsyde on 14th of Jan 2010 at 10:59 am
Rumour has it Obama will announce some kinda trading transaction
tax..... could move the markets...... Wall street tends to make it
clear when they are unhappy with the Prez.................
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 06:10 pm
I'm not a serious option trader but, I think what ZeroHedge is
saying is that there are a few major players, or maybe only RBS
with an open position of calls at the strike price SPX 1150.
Their call position is most of the 65k of open interest"
these players do not care about max pain which is a subject of
concern for the market makers (broker/dealers). Only their
own self interest.........................
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 05:21 pm
Total of ~$7.5 bln in notional exposure.....Sounds like the
someones with that kind of potential written call loss liability
will have a serious interest in seeing a minimum of 1150 on the SPX
at options expiration time. It's like maximum option pain,
minimization of total dollar expenditure to clear the open
liabilities.......
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 04:05 pm
Why we are likely hours away from S&P 1,150: Commentary from
RBS Derivatives (alternatively, just more book pushing by the
Scottish bank which has about 4 traders left):
"SPX 1150 calls has 65k of open interest - majority of these
bought were by customers at end of 2009/early 2010. Total of ~$7.5
bln in notional exposure at that strike. If street is short (sounds
like they are), it translates to roughly $200mln in index futures
to buy for every $1 move in the futures, and it accelerates as
futures move higher.
With expiration for SPX coming Friday Morning, 1150 line is
going to act like a magnet as the closer we get, the more
broker-dealers are going to have to buy.All sets us up for
a potential rip thru that level should SPX cash test it"
Posted by hillsyde on 11th of Jan 2010 at 05:06 pm
I know there are more boats coming on line so the supply is
increasing and all that. And the S&P hasn't conformed
this time YET but, I think everyone here knows why that might
be. In any case, the pattern is pretty much
unmistakable......
So, statistically speaking.... It's all downhill from here to at
least the middle of Jan. Maybe that explains SRS holding up
in the face of SPX strength....
So I went and looked at the component list for the $DJUSRE
and I didn't fine any of those you listed in the top
10. That index was indeed down for the day. I guess the
down grades set the tone for all the REITS in the index...
cheers.
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You have been warned
Posted by hillsyde on 16th of Jan 2010 at 05:56 pm
http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm
Tim Wood is a smart cat.......................
MMs and RBC
Max Pain SPY 112.0
Posted by hillsyde on 15th of Jan 2010 at 10:49 am
Maybe the MMs cut a deal with RBC. RBC clears their SPX 1150 options yesterday and the MMS get the SPY 112.0 at the close today...... big money moves the market whare they want the market to go.... It will all be clear by 1600 hours today.
SPX 1150 magnet comes to pass.........for expiration tomorrow
Did anyone notice the low of day for the ES was the high of the 12:06 volume spike from yesterday?
Posted by hillsyde on 14th of Jan 2010 at 01:56 pm
Trader Tax rumour
Obama Bank Tax Looks to Raise $90 Billion in 10 Years
Posted by hillsyde on 14th of Jan 2010 at 10:59 am
Rumour has it Obama will announce some kinda trading transaction tax..... could move the markets...... Wall street tends to make it clear when they are unhappy with the Prez.................
I'm not a serious option
1150 SPX by Friday expiration? ZeroHedge
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 06:10 pm
I'm not a serious option trader but, I think what ZeroHedge is saying is that there are a few major players, or maybe only RBS with an open position of calls at the strike price SPX 1150. Their call position is most of the 65k of open interest" these players do not care about max pain which is a subject of concern for the market makers (broker/dealers). Only their own self interest.........................
Mama needs a new pair of shoes!!
1150 SPX by Friday expiration? ZeroHedge
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 05:21 pm
Total of ~$7.5 bln in notional exposure.....Sounds like the someones with that kind of potential written call loss liability will have a serious interest in seeing a minimum of 1150 on the SPX at options expiration time. It's like maximum option pain, minimization of total dollar expenditure to clear the open liabilities.......
1150 SPX by Friday expiration? ZeroHedge
Posted by hillsyde on 13th of Jan 2010 at 04:05 pm
Why we are likely hours away from S&P 1,150: Commentary from RBS Derivatives (alternatively, just more book pushing by the Scottish bank which has about 4 traders left):
"SPX 1150 calls has 65k of open interest - majority of these bought were by customers at end of 2009/early 2010. Total of ~$7.5 bln in notional exposure at that strike. If street is short (sounds like they are), it translates to roughly $200mln in index futures to buy for every $1 move in the futures, and it accelerates as futures move higher. With expiration for SPX coming Friday Morning, 1150 line is going to act like a magnet as the closer we get, the more broker-dealers are going to have to buy.All sets us up for a potential rip thru that level should SPX cash test it"
Let the great unwind commence,
COMMENT
Posted by hillsyde on 12th of Jan 2010 at 02:43 pm
Let the great unwind commence, I suspect that the global intelligencia have moved well over to the short side of the ledger. Let the games begin!
It also looks to be
Things that make you go Hmmmmmm.
Posted by hillsyde on 12th of Jan 2010 at 08:30 am
It also looks to be almost exactly 100 pts. Maybe one of the HFT boxes fat fingered a 1046 instead of 1146 on a big sell order............ :)
This has got my attention - BDI
Posted by hillsyde on 11th of Jan 2010 at 05:06 pm
I know there are more boats coming on line so the supply is increasing and all that. And the S&P hasn't conformed this time YET but, I think everyone here knows why that might be. In any case, the pattern is pretty much unmistakable......
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BDI&p=D&yr=7&mn=1&dy=0&id=p77253562558&a=185651014
GDX maxpain
GDX: bull flag?
Posted by hillsyde on 11th of Jan 2010 at 11:33 am
Maybe but don't forget GDX might want to be slightly below $47 by the close on Friday................................
http://www.optionpain.com/MaxPain/Max-Pain.php
Here U go.............
+316,000 employment increase tomorrow?
Posted by hillsyde on 7th of Jan 2010 at 03:16 pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/316000-nfp-print-friday-bls-seasonal-fudge-factors-make-it-very-likely
ZeroHedge got up on the other side of the bed today
Bill Gross,Pimco
Posted by hillsyde on 7th of Jan 2010 at 09:20 am
ZeroHedge got up on the other side of the bed today
So, statistically speaking.... It's all
Market Stats for January
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 11:59 am
So, statistically speaking.... It's all downhill from here to at least the middle of Jan. Maybe that explains SRS holding up in the face of SPX strength....
It trades here on the
WLC-VC
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 10:38 am
It trades here on the pinks too. WLCDF.PK
squeeze
Great article,from a former IMF ecomist
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 08:35 am
Quote from the article....... Sounds like the US is acting like an emerging-market to me...................................
"Meanwhile, needing to squeeze someone, most emerging-market governments look first to ordinary working folk—at least until the riots grow too large."
Oh yeah
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard - Some serious 2010 doom
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 08:25 am
Oh yeah, up up and away. Mystery money buying the S&P futures in after hours will never end......
OOPS correct link - Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 08:23 am
correct link to article
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard - Some serious 2010 doom
Posted by hillsyde on 5th of Jan 2010 at 08:05 am
article
Thanks for the info
SRS Up?
Posted by hillsyde on 4th of Jan 2010 at 04:47 pm
So I went and looked at the component list for the $DJUSRE and I didn't fine any of those you listed in the top 10. That index was indeed down for the day. I guess the down grades set the tone for all the REITS in the index... cheers.