My sister in law messaged my wife the other day and is buying
stocks now because my brother in law's friend made good money with
Dogecoin. The two stocks she mentioned she is buying are already at
fresh highs and very overbought. She could have bought some things
during the last correction or the corona meltdown, but wanted to
wait for the market to "get better".
I don't do business with family and never comment on anyone's
strategy. Everyone needs to adopt a plan and be responsible for
their own decisions.
Founded in 1984, Advent International is one of the largest and
most experienced global private equity investors. The firm has
invested in over 350 private equity transactions in 41 countries,
and as of September 30, 2020, had $66.2 billion in assets under
management. With 15 offices in 12 countries, Advent has established
a globally integrated team of over 200 investment professionals
across North America, Europe, Latin America and Asia. The firm
focuses on investments in five core sectors, including business and
financial services; health care; industrial; retail, consumer and
leisure; and technology. After 35 years dedicated to international
investing, Advent remains committed to partnering with management
teams to deliver sustained revenue and earnings growth for its
portfolio companies.
Here is the business combination release information:
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210203005331/en/CCC-Information-Services-Inc.-and-Dragoneer-Growth-Opportunities-Corp.-Announce-Business-Combination-Creating-Publicly-Listed-Leader-Accelerating-the-Digital-Transformation-of-the-PC-Insurance-Economy
DGNR is fine and will close this quarter. CCC is a great company
with solid long term history. Investors in the PIPE and forward
purchase agreements are big as well. Valuation and how long it will
take for earnings to come into the stock are the big question. I
see it as a great investment opportunity, though it seems many
these days have trouble staying in something for a few days let
alone a few years:
The transaction includes $150m of fully committed common stock
PIPE anchored by Fidelity Investments, T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ:
TROW) and $175m forward
purchase agreements with Dragoneer funds and Michael Bloomberg's
family office, Willett Advisors.
I've posted significant DD on this one in the past. When things
take time, I continue to do my research and look at the reasons why
I purchased my investment. I started small when I initiated my
position and have added more significantly when it was taken down
to just above $10. I have warrants. There is a video here and a lot
of other great information:
I think if you run the numbers you'll see it has been a great
strategy, especially for someone that is a skilled trader/investor.
Simple risk/reward most of the time
$PACE impressive growth base. Creative use of AI, lots to note
from the presentation. Also info on the diverse population using
the service and experts involved.
Goldman is hilarious. Calling buys on overbought assets and
sells on undervalued ones. I think we all know the reason why they
do what they do, but somehow they still operate for years and years
like this. I want to see disclosure if they are buying shares after
downgrading something or selling with they say buy after something
is up a lot. Ridiculous and shameful. Saw something published the
other day that more regulation/disclosure was going to be required
in this regard. I'll believe it when I see it. No
position.
$PACE Excellent update, growth, and earnings due in May..on
track to close this quarter:
Nerdy Posts Analyst Day Presentation, Provides Update on
Business Wed April 21, 2021 11:50 AM|Business Wire|About: PACE,
PACEU
Active Learners Increase 67% in First Quarter of 2021ST.
LOUIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Nerdy on April 20, 2021 held an analyst
day and provided an update on its business in connection with its
planned business combination with TPG Pace Tech Opportunities
(PACE).The Company has posted the analyst day presentation, which
provides an overview of the Company’s business, growth strategy and
financial profile, to its website. As part of the presentation, the
Company announced that active learners increased 67%, online
sessions jumped 186%, and sessions taught per active expert grew
60% in the first quarter of 2021. The Company expects to release
first quarter financial results in early May.
The Company expects the business combination to close in the
second quarter of 2021, after which the combined company will
operate as Nerdy Inc. and be listed on the New York Stock Exchange
under the ticker symbol “NRDY.”
I agree Steve. Henrik is doing all the right things. Amazing it
is back to $12s here. I have no position. Owned it prior for a big
run into the $20s via warrants. They took it down to $8s after the
merger at that time before the blast higher. Nice volume on the
reversal candle yesterday.
Yes, and with small caps being weak it hasn't helped. I doubled
my position in calls for January. 26 RSI here is hilarious given
the fundamentals. Let's see.
I think the other thing that people miss is the time and effort
that goes into managing money. Having some individual stuff to play
is great for some quick money, it is just how much time do I really
want to put into monitoring things? I'm personally better off
buying significant dips and holding for larger gains. Or doing some
of the leveraged SPY trades. Of course, I look at things every
year, and my situation, if I should re-balance, etc. But why not
have someone like Cathie or other solid funds be a place I can
confidently invest. Then go back to enjoying life. As is often
pointed out here, there are all types of strategies represented by
members on the site, traders, people working jobs with 401ks, and
everything in between.
The most important thing to me is having a strategy that I can
"live with and believe in". After I made those significant dip buys
near long term supports, I went back to living my life. No need to
watch the market every second of the day for me. There is something
here on the site for everyone. This is the first post on the
community and well worth the read if you haven't and worth a
re-read:
Once again, the above video link provides an overview
referencing current stock market conditions relative to similar
past readings. This would be most relevant for position
investors (such as retirement accounts) to monitor on a weekly
basis.
This is NOT a
forecast just data points at this time. Continue to keep an
open mind and respect the message of the market.
Markets are fluid and subject to change as we all know - key is
to establish a methodology that fits with your beliefs. You
can also incorporate a hybrid approach with your portfolio by
position investing certain funds for longer term (accepting
volatility until EVIDENCE changes) and dedicating other funds to
short term trading. Those are decisions for each individual.
If you have yet to formalize an investing/trading approach
please take some time to formalize a template - you can always
adjust but it's best to have something in place. From there,
you should formulate a PLAN that entails your objectives.
Once a plan is in place, then you can refine down to which
specific securities you want to invest and/or trade. This is
a TOP DOWN approach that should be enacted PRIOR to looking for
trades. Just like a Football team(or any sports team) - the
General manager has a vision/approach on how he/she wants to build
a team. Then he/she hires a coach to devise a scheme around those
players to maximize their talents. Next, the coach puts
into place a weekly game plan (making necessary adjustments) before
finally selecting specific plays.
How does BPT come into this picture? Think of BPT like a
consultant/assistant coach who helps to make your job easier
along the way. We provide daily analysis of several markets
which helps to provide some guidance as to how we see things.
We also spend a considerable amount of time providing tips
and educational examples to help execute you plan. Think of
the DVT approach for swing trades and the nightly discussion of
charts involving patterns and candlesticks, etc. We
also scan for and offer trade suggestions (ideas) that we believe
are valid setups and we take time to review the triggered setups in
the following days. Partake in only the ideas that fit into
your plan and simply ignore ones that don't. Finally, we
spend time posting relevant comments and numerous charts every day
in the trading community relating to what transpiring during that
trading session and updating trade ideas.
I agree with you and added to my long term ARKK holdings when we
got close to the 200 day last time. I expect to passively double my
money in the next 5 years investing with Cathie. That is her model,
she only invests in things where she can get a particular growth
rate over the next five years and able to buy at a healthy discount
to that growth. The old money manager guys hate her because she has
smoked them performance wise. I say if you can't beat em, join
em.
She's had the odds stacked against her her whole career. Was
such a good move when she left Alliance Bernstein. She got good
doing what she does because they wouldn't give her a seat to share
ideas in meetings. All the regular ideas were taken credit for, so
her process became about finding things that nobody knew about.
She's also proven lately that she is willing to adapt if/when
things change putting some other large cap holdings in the fund in
lieu of cash that are solid performers.
$VGAC another insane opportunity. I loaded warrants in the
$1.70s. Near cash trust value and they do $400 million in revenue
and growing. Richard Branson knows how to invest I think. Will be
the ticker "ME" upon merger. 23andMe is the company
https://www.23andme.com/ I participated in
the last run from $10 to $18 via warrants and now I'm back. I may
need to start a service giving out all these gems
DGNR is another one with superior fundamentals. Read and reread
the information when the market acts ridiculously. It will rise
when it does, just like THBR did. The risk/reward is insanity here
for DGNR. Massive opportunity
Great buying opportunity if/when any pullbacks happen..of course
didn't have to worry about that if you were buying under or at $10
cash trust value. Recent price targets of $17 & $20 by
analysts. Check my prior dd. This one is solid. David A from
Skyworks is involved here. The CEO has built a great business the
last 10 years and now has entry into a difficult to enter auto
market. Doesn't matter what companies win, Indie Semiconductor will
supply them. And the more technology advances, the more money they
make per car. I like what the CEO said about being agnostic to the
industry and that they will supply the winners. So much to like
with a $2.5 billion backlog. Merger date should be coming this
month.
A gem from the newsletter, statistics table since 1950. If this
holds true, I would say the sectors that got temporarily out of
favor like tech and biotech, will have proven to be incredible dip
buys. The QQQ seasonality is lining up here 20 years as well. There
is no reason to believe these probabilities would not follow,
though I know anything is always possible. I say that because the
market has been very mechanical this year.
My UUP calls have been on fire, great trade. Note that I give
these BEFORE the rallies start and when nobody wants them. I often
hear crickets or get laughed out of the room when my entries are
near the bottom
I sold UWMC a bit back when it had its run to $12+. Certainly
getting more interesting now again with the dividend yield. I
didn't dig in on the offering they did, but they are a massive
company.
LOTZ is big on my radar again too now in the $7 area. Incredible
update from THBR yesterday (will be Indie Semiconductor soon), I've
posted significant dd on that one here. The CEO was on Mad Money,
well worth the watch:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRvYNVOjA1w
The biggest challenge right now is there are literally a few
handfuls worth of undervalued, high quality spacs as it seems the
market grouped them all together just as it did months back. The
cream will rise again once the algos stop laying on them, people
sell for cash trust value near $10, and big money loads up on what
they want. It is what it is, a lifetime buying opportunity in
select names.
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My sister in law messaged
JP Morgan Source
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 3rd of May 2021 at 08:12 am
My sister in law messaged my wife the other day and is buying stocks now because my brother in law's friend made good money with Dogecoin. The two stocks she mentioned she is buying are already at fresh highs and very overbought. She could have bought some things during the last correction or the corona meltdown, but wanted to wait for the market to "get better".
I don't do business with family and never comment on anyone's strategy. Everyone needs to adopt a plan and be responsible for their own decisions.
$DGNR Advent International is the majority
INTC Daily - Like other chip makers, pulled back with ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 29th of Apr 2021 at 06:39 am
$DGNR
Advent International is the majority shareholder:
About Advent International
Founded in 1984, Advent International is one of the largest and most experienced global private equity investors. The firm has invested in over 350 private equity transactions in 41 countries, and as of September 30, 2020, had $66.2 billion in assets under management. With 15 offices in 12 countries, Advent has established a globally integrated team of over 200 investment professionals across North America, Europe, Latin America and Asia. The firm focuses on investments in five core sectors, including business and financial services; health care; industrial; retail, consumer and leisure; and technology. After 35 years dedicated to international investing, Advent remains committed to partnering with management teams to deliver sustained revenue and earnings growth for its portfolio companies.
For more information, visit:
Website: www.adventinternational.com
Here is the business combination release information: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210203005331/en/CCC-Information-Services-Inc.-and-Dragoneer-Growth-Opportunities-Corp.-Announce-Business-Combination-Creating-Publicly-Listed-Leader-Accelerating-the-Digital-Transformation-of-the-PC-Insurance-Economy
DGNR is fine and will
INTC Daily - Like other chip makers, pulled back with ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 29th of Apr 2021 at 06:30 am
DGNR is fine and will close this quarter. CCC is a great company with solid long term history. Investors in the PIPE and forward purchase agreements are big as well. Valuation and how long it will take for earnings to come into the stock are the big question. I see it as a great investment opportunity, though it seems many these days have trouble staying in something for a few days let alone a few years:
I've posted significant DD on this one in the past. When things take time, I continue to do my research and look at the reasons why I purchased my investment. I started small when I initiated my position and have added more significantly when it was taken down to just above $10. I have warrants. There is a video here and a lot of other great information:
https://cccis.com/about/investor-relations/
I think if you run
WELL FSR has taken a pre mrkt pull back to ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Apr 2021 at 11:42 am
I think if you run the numbers you'll see it has been a great strategy, especially for someone that is a skilled trader/investor. Simple risk/reward most of the time
$PACE impressive growth base. Creative
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Apr 2021 at 11:40 am
$PACE impressive growth base. Creative use of AI, lots to note from the presentation. Also info on the diverse population using the service and experts involved.
Goldman is hilarious. Calling buys
WELL FSR has taken a pre mrkt pull back to ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Apr 2021 at 11:27 am
Goldman is hilarious. Calling buys on overbought assets and sells on undervalued ones. I think we all know the reason why they do what they do, but somehow they still operate for years and years like this. I want to see disclosure if they are buying shares after downgrading something or selling with they say buy after something is up a lot. Ridiculous and shameful. Saw something published the other day that more regulation/disclosure was going to be required in this regard. I'll believe it when I see it. No position.
$PACE Excellent update, growth, and
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Apr 2021 at 11:20 am
$PACE Excellent update, growth, and earnings due in May..on track to close this quarter:
Nerdy Posts Analyst Day Presentation, Provides Update on Business Wed April 21, 2021 11:50 AM|Business Wire|About: PACE, PACEU
Active Learners Increase 67% in First Quarter of 2021ST. LOUIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Nerdy on April 20, 2021 held an analyst day and provided an update on its business in connection with its planned business combination with TPG Pace Tech Opportunities (PACE).The Company has posted the analyst day presentation, which provides an overview of the Company’s business, growth strategy and financial profile, to its website. As part of the presentation, the Company announced that active learners increased 67%, online sessions jumped 186%, and sessions taught per active expert grew 60% in the first quarter of 2021. The Company expects to release first quarter financial results in early May.
The Company expects the business combination to close in the second quarter of 2021, after which the combined company will operate as Nerdy Inc. and be listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “NRDY.”
Full analyst day presentation here from April 20th: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5e888db5701c090efa2df1c2/t/607f481c16317b52dbdadf0e/1618954330416/Analyst+Day+Presentation+%28April+20%2C+2021%29.pdf
I have warrants and can't believe I was able to buy so low. Massive upside for a patient investor.
I agree Steve. Henrik is
FSR one to watch on the long side
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 21st of Apr 2021 at 07:44 am
I agree Steve. Henrik is doing all the right things. Amazing it is back to $12s here. I have no position. Owned it prior for a big run into the $20s via warrants. They took it down to $8s after the merger at that time before the blast higher. Nice volume on the reversal candle yesterday.
Yes, and with small caps
TTCF 2 day high vol sell off as CFO resigns. ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 21st of Apr 2021 at 07:31 am
Yes, and with small caps being weak it hasn't helped. I doubled my position in calls for January. 26 RSI here is hilarious given the fundamentals. Let's see.
a 72 RSI here, terrible
Popcorn market. Up on hot air! Geezsh
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 12th of Apr 2021 at 10:24 pm
a 72 RSI here, terrible risk/reward if not long from lower prices already
I think the other thing
ARKK taking on water again...ugly reversal off 124+ gap open
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 5th of Apr 2021 at 09:27 am
I think the other thing that people miss is the time and effort that goes into managing money. Having some individual stuff to play is great for some quick money, it is just how much time do I really want to put into monitoring things? I'm personally better off buying significant dips and holding for larger gains. Or doing some of the leveraged SPY trades. Of course, I look at things every year, and my situation, if I should re-balance, etc. But why not have someone like Cathie or other solid funds be a place I can confidently invest. Then go back to enjoying life. As is often pointed out here, there are all types of strategies represented by members on the site, traders, people working jobs with 401ks, and everything in between.
The most important thing to me is having a strategy that I can "live with and believe in". After I made those significant dip buys near long term supports, I went back to living my life. No need to watch the market every second of the day for me. There is something here on the site for everyone. This is the first post on the community and well worth the read if you haven't and worth a re-read:
Top Down Approach Discussion and how to View BPT - Click on Title
Posted by steveon 13th of Jun 2020 at 01:48 pm
Title: Top Down Approach Discussion and how to View BPT - Click on Title
Ciovacco Historical Perspective Charts
Once again, the above video link provides an overview referencing current stock market conditions relative to similar past readings. This would be most relevant for position investors (such as retirement accounts) to monitor on a weekly basis. This is NOT a forecast just data points at this time. Continue to keep an open mind and respect the message of the market.
Markets are fluid and subject to change as we all know - key is to establish a methodology that fits with your beliefs. You can also incorporate a hybrid approach with your portfolio by position investing certain funds for longer term (accepting volatility until EVIDENCE changes) and dedicating other funds to short term trading. Those are decisions for each individual. If you have yet to formalize an investing/trading approach please take some time to formalize a template - you can always adjust but it's best to have something in place. From there, you should formulate a PLAN that entails your objectives. Once a plan is in place, then you can refine down to which specific securities you want to invest and/or trade. This is a TOP DOWN approach that should be enacted PRIOR to looking for trades. Just like a Football team(or any sports team) - the General manager has a vision/approach on how he/she wants to build a team. Then he/she hires a coach to devise a scheme around those players to maximize their talents. Next, the coach puts into place a weekly game plan (making necessary adjustments) before finally selecting specific plays.
How does BPT come into this picture? Think of BPT like a consultant/assistant coach who helps to make your job easier along the way. We provide daily analysis of several markets which helps to provide some guidance as to how we see things. We also spend a considerable amount of time providing tips and educational examples to help execute you plan. Think of the DVT approach for swing trades and the nightly discussion of charts involving patterns and candlesticks, etc. We also scan for and offer trade suggestions (ideas) that we believe are valid setups and we take time to review the triggered setups in the following days. Partake in only the ideas that fit into your plan and simply ignore ones that don't. Finally, we spend time posting relevant comments and numerous charts every day in the trading community relating to what transpiring during that trading session and updating trade ideas.
I agree with you and
ARKK taking on water again...ugly reversal off 124+ gap open
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 5th of Apr 2021 at 09:02 am
I agree with you and added to my long term ARKK holdings when we got close to the 200 day last time. I expect to passively double my money in the next 5 years investing with Cathie. That is her model, she only invests in things where she can get a particular growth rate over the next five years and able to buy at a healthy discount to that growth. The old money manager guys hate her because she has smoked them performance wise. I say if you can't beat em, join em.
She's had the odds stacked against her her whole career. Was such a good move when she left Alliance Bernstein. She got good doing what she does because they wouldn't give her a seat to share ideas in meetings. All the regular ideas were taken credit for, so her process became about finding things that nobody knew about. She's also proven lately that she is willing to adapt if/when things change putting some other large cap holdings in the fund in lieu of cash that are solid performers.
$VGAC another insane opportunity. I
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 10:29 am
$VGAC another insane opportunity. I loaded warrants in the $1.70s. Near cash trust value and they do $400 million in revenue and growing. Richard Branson knows how to invest I think. Will be the ticker "ME" upon merger. 23andMe is the company https://www.23andme.com/ I participated in the last run from $10 to $18 via warrants and now I'm back. I may need to start a service giving out all these gems
DGNR is another one with
THBR ... breakout from consolidationwatch to see if it holds ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 10:25 am
DGNR is another one with superior fundamentals. Read and reread the information when the market acts ridiculously. It will rise when it does, just like THBR did. The risk/reward is insanity here for DGNR. Massive opportunity
Thanks Steve, Looks like we
ES Globex Range 3964.50-3984 (currently trading near yesterdays high)
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 09:15 am
Thanks Steve, Looks like we are adding 3,972.89 to the gaps as well to monitor
Great buying opportunity if/when any
THBR ... breakout from consolidationwatch to see if it holds ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 09:13 am
Great buying opportunity if/when any pullbacks happen..of course didn't have to worry about that if you were buying under or at $10 cash trust value. Recent price targets of $17 & $20 by analysts. Check my prior dd. This one is solid. David A from Skyworks is involved here. The CEO has built a great business the last 10 years and now has entry into a difficult to enter auto market. Doesn't matter what companies win, Indie Semiconductor will supply them. And the more technology advances, the more money they make per car. I like what the CEO said about being agnostic to the industry and that they will supply the winners. So much to like with a $2.5 billion backlog. Merger date should be coming this month.
$SPX a gap to monitor
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 08:41 am
$SPX a gap to monitor at 3,958.55 from Tuesday's close.
A gem from the newsletter,
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 08:34 am
A gem from the newsletter, statistics table since 1950. If this holds true, I would say the sectors that got temporarily out of favor like tech and biotech, will have proven to be incredible dip buys. The QQQ seasonality is lining up here 20 years as well. There is no reason to believe these probabilities would not follow, though I know anything is always possible. I say that because the market has been very mechanical this year.
My UUP calls have been
UUP big move last four days. Filled last Thursday's gap ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 08:03 am
My UUP calls have been on fire, great trade. Note that I give these BEFORE the rallies start and when nobody wants them. I often hear crickets or get laughed out of the room when my entries are near the bottom
I sold UWMC a bit
UWMC possible turn to watchmissing "fundamentalvalues" SPAC updates :) div ...
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 1st of Apr 2021 at 07:50 am
I sold UWMC a bit back when it had its run to $12+. Certainly getting more interesting now again with the dividend yield. I didn't dig in on the offering they did, but they are a massive company.
LOTZ is big on my radar again too now in the $7 area. Incredible update from THBR yesterday (will be Indie Semiconductor soon), I've posted significant dd on that one here. The CEO was on Mad Money, well worth the watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRvYNVOjA1w
The biggest challenge right now is there are literally a few handfuls worth of undervalued, high quality spacs as it seems the market grouped them all together just as it did months back. The cream will rise again once the algos stop laying on them, people sell for cash trust value near $10, and big money loads up on what they want. It is what it is, a lifetime buying opportunity in select names.