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only that h/s are better

Whither GDX?

Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Sep 2011 at 03:29 pm

only that h/s are better at the top/bottom of a trend.

gold is dropping, so all the gold miners are too. 

FCS actually looking like a

Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Sep 2011 at 10:40 am

FCS actually looking like a good long, with the volume and how it's bounced back from undercutting the 12 support level.  I lost some trying to short it just over 12. Anyway, don't see how it's a good short anymore.

It is counterintuitive, but I

Why on earth?

Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Sep 2011 at 06:05 pm

It is counterintuitive, but I suppose it all depends on the system's signals.  If they were once again looking oversold on Friday, or perhaps no longer overbought as they were when the system went short, such that there is no longer a significant statistical trading edge in the down direction, then I guess that's the exit signal.

Thanks for the input - this is a very hard place for me to go long!

Yeah, and the 60 min GDX:GLD ratio line is close to breaking.  Agh!

GDX did not break cleanly over wedge

Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Sep 2011 at 02:37 pm

Okay, now GDX is looking like it may have peaked and could roll to the down side. Not at all looking like a good place to enter and go long w/ the GDX system! Steve, any thoughts?

One thing to note about the evening star or shooting star patterns is they are most predictive at the top (or bottom for morning star) of a trend.  This week and last week's action seems like more of a corrective than a trending pattern.

and...  stopped out.

dropping now.

GLD 60min

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 03:42 pm

dropping now.

broke back below.

SPX 1

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 03:31 pm

broke back below.

backtest underway.

SPX 1

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 03:29 pm

backtest underway.

Thanks for the reply.  TBT has been tough to trade.

TBT trade question for Steve or Matt

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 01:43 pm

Broke this morning but has pulled back hard.  I have a stop below the right shoulder lows.  Is that too tight?

Steve, your SPX charts and

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 10:44 am

Steve, your SPX charts and commentary have been excellent!  Thanks.

FRT

three bars on a 5

Morning Comments

Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Sep 2011 at 09:40 am

three bars on a 5 minute chart?

Very interesting!

email to me from a member

Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Aug 2011 at 07:26 pm

Very interesting!

RSI held above 44

Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Aug 2011 at 07:23 pm

Steve, just thought I'd mention that the RSI 14 on the monthly SPX held above 44, closing out August at 51.

Speaking of a break of

$NYMO live quote?

Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Aug 2011 at 02:06 pm

Speaking of a break of 1219....

it's an inverse h&s, theoretically

COG Update

Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2011 at 03:46 pm

it's an inverse h&s, theoretically measures up to about 88 or 89.

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