Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Jul 2012 at 03:19 pm
Gap still not filled. But that sure looks like a bear flag
on the 15 min SPY/SPX charts. I reshorted today, looking for
that fill before I consider a long position.
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Jul 2012 at 06:15 pm
Right. Actually, I was shorting from Monday or so,
watching the gap. I covered today when it turned around shy
of the gap. Did not enter long though. Not really
following the SPY system anymore (given the last year's track
record), just using the signal as one more indicator.
One way to enter this new long signal would be to buy at the
fill of the gap from June 28th, i.e., $133, or maybe a few cents
above that. That gap was fairly large, so I'm thinking it's
going to fill in the next few days. I'm no expert, though, so
anyone want to provide an argument on the other side, please
post.
On the question of patience, you may as well be talking to
me....
Actually, I've really appreciated Tom's and your NYMO/NAMO
posts. This morning I shorted SSO pre-market at 55.88, before
the jobs number came out. The NYMO and the large gap from
last Friday (which I think will be filled in the near
term) were what I was basing the short on. Had planned
to scale in, we'll see but maybe we've already hit the top.
Matt or Steve (or Zach, or chartboy, or...), do you expect the
gap in the Nasdaq Composite to be filled in the short term? I
was looking at some information to the effect that this Nasdaq gap
in particular is too large to be "sustainable" and should be filled
in the next week or two. Is this established technical
theory? And if so, do you have a trade strategy you like to employ
for that?
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2012 at 03:06 pm
Looks like we're getting one of those
"over-80-stochastics-all-day-on-the-5-min-chart" days for SPX!
Hit our 3rd high for the day just now. I just shorted
SSO at 54.26.
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Jun 2012 at 03:37 pm
WLT looks pretty interesting here. Hammer candlestick
yesterday, positive MACD divergence. Just below the 9 ema at
the moment. Daily vol below ave, though, so maybe just a
quick trade? Would love to get another opinion.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
But it looks like a
Long SPY here at 133.89, stop at 133.50
Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Jul 2012 at 03:20 pm
But it looks like a bear flag on the 15 min chart, including light volume on the up move.
Gap still not filled. But
One way to enter this new long signal would be ...
Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Jul 2012 at 03:19 pm
Gap still not filled. But that sure looks like a bear flag on the 15 min SPY/SPX charts. I reshorted today, looking for that fill before I consider a long position.
DVN - pullback may be
Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Jul 2012 at 01:36 pm
DVN - pullback may be over. I added to my position from yesterday.
My Fidelity chart says the
Cup+handle setup in TGT...
Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Jul 2012 at 10:17 am
My Fidelity chart says the high of Dec '10 was 60.97, not 59.31. I wonder which is right.
Right. Actually, I was shorting
One way to enter this new long signal would be ...
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Jul 2012 at 06:15 pm
Right. Actually, I was shorting from Monday or so, watching the gap. I covered today when it turned around shy of the gap. Did not enter long though. Not really following the SPY system anymore (given the last year's track record), just using the signal as one more indicator.
Also, 133 is a gap
SPX 30 min market comments
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Jul 2012 at 02:39 pm
Also, 133 is a gap fill, which I've been anticipating.
But you could also use
One way to enter this new long signal would be ...
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Jul 2012 at 02:17 pm
But you could also use the gap fill as the first entry for the multi-trade.
One way to enter this
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Jul 2012 at 02:27 pm
One way to enter this new long signal would be to buy at the fill of the gap from June 28th, i.e., $133, or maybe a few cents above that. That gap was fairly large, so I'm thinking it's going to fill in the next few days. I'm no expert, though, so anyone want to provide an argument on the other side, please post.
Also, if you read up
SPY Swing System Trade Alert
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Jul 2012 at 02:10 pm
Also, if you read up on the system, it tends to close longs at the open of a session, not the close.
Just as I was saying
Sigh...
Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Jul 2012 at 09:03 am
Just as I was saying - you are looking pretty smart this morning!
Yes! Well said.
Sigh...
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Jul 2012 at 04:07 pm
Yes! Well said.
On the question of patience,
McClellan
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Jul 2012 at 10:19 am
On the question of patience, you may as well be talking to me....
Actually, I've really appreciated Tom's and your NYMO/NAMO posts. This morning I shorted SSO pre-market at 55.88, before the jobs number came out. The NYMO and the large gap from last Friday (which I think will be filled in the near term) were what I was basing the short on. Had planned to scale in, we'll see but maybe we've already hit the top.
It's not yet clear that
Sigh...
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jul 2012 at 10:12 pm
It's not yet clear that you won't have beat the system, however.
will NASDAQ gap fill soon?
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Jul 2012 at 08:37 am
Matt or Steve (or Zach, or chartboy, or...), do you expect the gap in the Nasdaq Composite to be filled in the short term? I was looking at some information to the effect that this Nasdaq gap in particular is too large to be "sustainable" and should be filled in the next week or two. Is this established technical theory? And if so, do you have a trade strategy you like to employ for that?
60 sto fell below 80
SPX 5 min comments
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2012 at 03:46 pm
60 sto fell below 80 briefly, recharging the bats a bit. My short just got stopped out on the reversal.
5 min SPX chart and 60 stochastics
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2012 at 03:06 pm
Looks like we're getting one of those "over-80-stochastics-all-day-on-the-5-min-chart" days for SPX! Hit our 3rd high for the day just now. I just shorted SSO at 54.26.
Repelled exactly at the 9
NAV catching a bid
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Jun 2012 at 01:54 pm
Repelled exactly at the 9 ema on daily.
yeah, maybe good for another
WLT - a buy?
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Jun 2012 at 03:46 pm
yeah, maybe good for another day's follow through. I bought a little at 44.45 on the intraday dip. Probably sell first thing tomorrow.
WLT - a buy?
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Jun 2012 at 03:37 pm
WLT looks pretty interesting here. Hammer candlestick yesterday, positive MACD divergence. Just below the 9 ema at the moment. Daily vol below ave, though, so maybe just a quick trade? Would love to get another opinion.
the trend is your friend....
BOIL and Natural Gas Futures
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Jun 2012 at 09:09 am
the trend is your friend....