yep I like it when it blows through the cycles - indicating a
trending move wave 3 of some sort. I also like when I see price
start to ping pong perfectly between the cycles, i'll buy the
support cycles and sell near the resistance cycles - like anything
it's not perfect no indicator is, but it's pretty good
no real point, it's gonna be virtually the same thing
on TS SPX only goes back to 1961 so I just the Dow, again it's
all going to move together basically with very slight differences
on entries and exits. One can simply use the Dow version as a proxy
for the SPX
if you look how much data is there on that spreadsheet, that's
hours and hours of tedious work getting that data, something I
don't see worth spending the time on doing
I'm not sure without more info, can you tell me what theory you
have or what you are thinking about.
otherwise that 60 Stochastic being embedded above 80% for a long
time is indicative of a wave 3 in Elliot Wave Theory, so your
pullback could be a wave 4, then expect another high wave 5 - again
not always. If it was a parabolic move then that wouldn't be the
case would just top.
AAPL - Chart Link- the thing about Ipads - they
last so many years, the two we have the kids have used for 4 to 7
years, my mom has had hers for 10 years, and they will never make
IOS for Ipad work like desktop Macbook Pros laptops because of
concerns about cannibalizing their Macbook market
I looked up historical 3 month T-Bill yields, one could use 6
month T-Bill or 1-month etc, it's a guide - my assumption here is
that during the 6 months you are in cash you would place that
cash in T-bills earning some interest
the result is that $10K from 1950 turned into 9 million!
It turned into 2.8M without the Tbills compounded interest
over the years
of course buy and hold in the other or bad 6 month lost money
over 75 years 10K turned into $7K
again I'm ignoring things like dividends and stuff like
that'
I'll make this spreadsheet open to the public and provide a
link
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Utilities continue to rock n roll
Posted by matt on 8th of May 2024 at 10:52 am
XLU - Chart Link-
NYSE TICK levels
Posted by matt on 8th of May 2024 at 10:51 am
As far as the past TICK spikes, there isn't one overhead until 5206, from April 11th when TICK last spiked above 1000
here use this news site
10 Year Note Auction Today and 30 Year Bond Auction ...
Posted by matt on 8th of May 2024 at 09:49 am
here use this news site forexfactory - basically has all news timelines
https://www.forexfactory.com/
MSFT, META
Posted by matt on 8th of May 2024 at 09:38 am
MSFT - Chart Link- stalled at 61.8% Fib the other day
META - Chart Link- could be a lower risk short soon nearing those resistance trendlines and 20/50 MA's overhead
yep UGLY on SHOP, price
SHOP down 20%
Posted by matt on 8th of May 2024 at 09:36 am
yep UGLY on SHOP, price filled that small open gap from Nov, but there's another one from early Nov down at 48.9
What SBUX is a perfect
SBUX
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 07:52 pm
What SBUX is a perfect CCI bungie setup, I'm at the gym otherwise I'd post a chart
Yes I noticed that as
sell in May and Go Away spreadsheet showing the effect of compounded interest gaine din those other 6 months
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 07:43 pm
Yes I noticed that as well
yep I like it when
SPX 15 min - I have been using the cycle ...
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 04:22 pm
yep I like it when it blows through the cycles - indicating a trending move wave 3 of some sort. I also like when I see price start to ping pong perfectly between the cycles, i'll buy the support cycles and sell near the resistance cycles - like anything it's not perfect no indicator is, but it's pretty good
no real point, it's gonna
sell in May and Go Away spreadsheet showing the effect of compounded interest gaine din those other 6 months
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 03:27 pm
no real point, it's gonna be virtually the same thing
on TS SPX only goes back to 1961 so I just the Dow, again it's all going to move together basically with very slight differences on entries and exits. One can simply use the Dow version as a proxy for the SPX
if you look how much data is there on that spreadsheet, that's hours and hours of tedious work getting that data, something I don't see worth spending the time on doing
wow I can't believe that
short the fraud? big gap below
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 02:03 pm
wow I can't believe that thing is back to 120, jeez
here's charts of SPXU on
SPX and SPXU
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 02:02 pm
here's charts of SPXU on multiple indicators cycles, demark, A's, and time frames
you can see you had Demark 13 on 78 min, Demark 9 on 130 min, A on 195 min, A and 9 on 2hr, and price bounced off cycle support on 5 min
SPX and SPXU
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 01:56 pm
$SPX - Chart Link- 60 min stalled at the downtrend line we drew over weekend
SPXU filled a gap - could try a long or hedge with a tight stop below today's lows
I'm not sure without more
Matt - SPX Fast Indicators - I know the rule ...
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 01:55 pm
I'm not sure without more info, can you tell me what theory you have or what you are thinking about.
otherwise that 60 Stochastic being embedded above 80% for a long time is indicative of a wave 3 in Elliot Wave Theory, so your pullback could be a wave 4, then expect another high wave 5 - again not always. If it was a parabolic move then that wouldn't be the case would just top.
So far market isn't too impressed with new Ipads LOL
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:28 am
AAPL - Chart Link- the thing about Ipads - they last so many years, the two we have the kids have used for 4 to 7 years, my mom has had hers for 10 years, and they will never make IOS for Ipad work like desktop Macbook Pros laptops because of concerns about cannibalizing their Macbook market
AUR nice
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:24 am
AUR - Chart Link- weak yesterday but nice pop today, idea from weekend inverse H&S
here's a link to the
sell in May and Go Away spreadsheet showing the effect of compounded interest gaine din those other 6 months
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:22 am
here's a link to the Sell in May and Go Away Spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1B6Leh1JHceZncXgtBquQNqx4BPDAuwjKTdrxVcFksn4/edit?usp=sharing
took me a while to compile and format all that data
docs.google.com
Sell in May and Go Away strategy with MACD filter and Tbills - Google Sheets
sell in May and Go Away spreadsheet showing the effect of compounded interest gaine din those other 6 months
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:18 am
I looked up historical 3 month T-Bill yields, one could use 6 month T-Bill or 1-month etc, it's a guide - my assumption here is that during the 6 months you are in cash you would place that cash in T-bills earning some interest
the result is that $10K from 1950 turned into 9 million! It turned into 2.8M without the Tbills compounded interest over the years
of course buy and hold in the other or bad 6 month lost money over 75 years 10K turned into $7K
again I'm ignoring things like dividends and stuff like that'
I'll make this spreadsheet open to the public and provide a link
KISS systems I keep getting this question about STS stops, whenever there's a lower one
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:12 am
whenever the system lowers the STS stops I get questions all the time, is that bug? etc
again this has been cleared up dozens of times - you guys if you haven't done so, read the FAQ, it's discussed in detail there, has been for months
https://breakpointtrades.com/sts_table_faq/
DG follow up
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 11:11 am
DG - Chart Link- nice bounce - I discussed on weekend to watch for a low risk long trigger off the 200 day MA
WMT triggered
Posted by matt on 7th of May 2024 at 09:44 am
WMT - Chart Link-