i have no theory, that's just the historical data

here is data from a short sale on the sp @ the end of trading on jun 6 and to buy back @ the close of trading on jun 9...if either of those 2 dates falls on a weekend, then you do the trade at the end of the day of the following monday...it was successful on 22 of the last 29 years or about 75%...below is the data from this trade...fyi...

the month of may for the cot data is now complete and the commercials have a net "short" position, i.e., they are hedged and in the past when that has happened the us$ has rallied afterwords to varying degrees...

i personally won't short a stock under $10.00...too risky...

not in my account, however, i am only allowed to trade in that account one hour before closing so i am unable to use that account for this system due to the last minute signals...i think you's have to check to see what kind of time limits you have...

tradenavigator software and feed...

the commercials are still negative on this MONTHLY chart...

here are 2 charts, one monthly & one weekly on the commercial positions on the US$...then are negative now...but note how in the past when they went from positive to negative a rally occurred shortly thereafter...but notice too that the strength of the rally usually depends on how long the commercials had been positive (longer=larger rally)...

soybeans up 36 cents

wheat up 55 cents

great call FED (UP) with you bunch of #%$&*

it looks like another stock went on a sell signal even though the gold stocks are up today...

excuse my ignorance, but could someone explain what it represents....thanks in advance...

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/saville051011.html

he shows that gold stocks underperformed until later...

here is the monthly chart of the us$ for the COT commercials...they are slightly positive on their net position as of tues, may 10

it looks like the bullish % is down 6.66% so lost another 2 stks & maybe a bounce from here???

the bullish % is now down to 50% from 56.67%...as of 1:00 est...

the COT commercials now have only 3900 net long on their position...almost ready to go negative...which would be a rally in the us$...bounce only type me thinks...

if you sell the sp500 at the close of trading on may 6 (this friday's close) and buy it back at the close of trading on the next business day(next monday), it made $ 81% of the time...

when a market corrects, it always goes down faster than it came up...fear is greater than greed i guess...

the euro is usually moves opposite the us$ so one could buy the inverse to the euro etf or the double short etf (EUO)...also rydex has a mutual fund for a double long us$ and a double short the us$...i don't know the symbols but yahoo or google would get them...