Matt, I really appreciate your step-by-step examples of stop
management.
Is the following an accurate summary of this approach?
Just trying to get it straight in my head how this works for
us who work another day job and can't be hovering around the
screen:
- In the
evening, set GTC Buy Stop Limit order just above
the breakout level with a Limit just above it (so it doesn't fill
if there's a gap). Use current day's 9 EMA as a potential
exit stop when you're calculating your trade size ( # Shares = Max
$ risk / (entry price - first exit price) )
- If it doesn't trigger and fill the next day, do nothing
- If it does fill the next day, take a look
mid-day(?)to see how it's doing:
a) If it's a solid up-candle (with small wicks), then sell 1/2
of position and move exit stop on remaining half up to somewhere
below the midpoint of the up-candle.
b) Otherwise, just leave it for now.
- Each
evening, consider moving up your exit stop to
whichever of the following is the
highest:
a) Today's 9 EMA
b) If today's low is lower than yesterday's low, then move exit
stop up to today's low
c) If today had a solid up-candle, then put in an order to
sell half (if you haven't already) and move exit stop on remaining
half up to somewhere below the midpoint of today's up-candle.
Lather-Rinse-Repeat each day.
Does this sound like an accurate description of your
approach?
My question had more to do with determining position
sizing, given that the value of the 9 EMA, LOD, or trend line
(for whichever day the order eventually fills on) won't be known
when you place your initial Buy Stop Limit order.
Previously you've talked about taking your maximum risk $$, and
dividing by the spread between your entry price and stop price, to
determine the number of shares to buy.
If you don't know which day the order will fill on (because it's
GTC) and your stop is, say, a descending trend line (meaning your
eventual stop will get lower the more days that elapse before your
trade fills) or the LOD for the day it eventually fills, then how
do you know what your $risk/share will be?
That's why I was asking if you use a constant $order size, or
constant #shares, or something else when determining the order size
for your Buy Stop Limit order.
Thanks Matt. How do you size your trade if it's a GTC
order (i.e. When you're unsure what day it'll get filled on)?
Do use just use whatever the 9 EMA is at the time of entering
the Buy Stop Limit order as your probable initial stop, combine
with max $risk amount, and size your GTC trade size based on that?
Or do you use a constant $order size or constant #shares when
placing these GTC orders? Thx!
totally agree with oakavekid. the struggle i've been
having is in how to manage the trades once they trigger. even
after-the-fact case studies of how you managed several winning and
losing trades would be a huge help
To clarify, what would be your top 3 objective setups?
- Low and High of Doji with divergence?
- Low and High of Hammer with divergence?
- Something else?
Thx.
Who here is trading in a Canadian RRSP or RESP? Looking to
find out what approaches fellow Canadians are using (which broker,
which trading platform, and how to handle the ever-changing forex
rate)
I'm thinking back to the beginning of February when the market
started dropping, and a second SPY Pro entry occurred, followed by
more downside. Then I think you mentioned having a stop in
place in case things continued to drop. Previous to that
point I had always traded the SPY Pro system with no stops, just
waiting for exit signals.
Now that volatility and choppiness has appeared in the market,
I'm more conscious of protecting the downside risk but somehow
still allowing for second and third entries lower.
I'll place a safety stop under the bottom trend line and hope
that it gives it enough room.
Thanks I just used that 10% in one day tip to book 15% gain in
MU since buying it a week ago. Normally I would've held on
and risked doing a round-trip. Thanks again!
.../john
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Matt, I really appreciate your
NKE stop progression
Posted by rojoch on 24th of May 2018 at 12:51 pm
Matt, I really appreciate your step-by-step examples of stop management.
Is the following an accurate summary of this approach? Just trying to get it straight in my head how this works for us who work another day job and can't be hovering around the screen:
- In the evening, set GTC Buy Stop Limit order just above the breakout level with a Limit just above it (so it doesn't fill if there's a gap). Use current day's 9 EMA as a potential exit stop when you're calculating your trade size ( # Shares = Max $ risk / (entry price - first exit price) )
- If it doesn't trigger and fill the next day, do nothing
- If it does fill the next day, take a look mid-day(?)to see how it's doing:
a) If it's a solid up-candle (with small wicks), then sell 1/2 of position and move exit stop on remaining half up to somewhere below the midpoint of the up-candle.
b) Otherwise, just leave it for now.
- Each evening, consider moving up your exit stop to whichever of the following is the highest:
a) Today's 9 EMA
b) If today's low is lower than yesterday's low, then move exit stop up to today's low
c) If today had a solid up-candle, then put in an order to sell half (if you haven't already) and move exit stop on remaining half up to somewhere below the midpoint of today's up-candle.
Lather-Rinse-Repeat each day.
Does this sound like an accurate description of your approach?
Appreciate your patience.
.../john in Victoria, BC
My question had more to
Trade Ideas comments
Posted by rojoch on 22nd of May 2018 at 11:27 am
My question had more to do with determining position sizing , given that the value of the 9 EMA, LOD, or trend line (for whichever day the order eventually fills on) won't be known when you place your initial Buy Stop Limit order.
Previously you've talked about taking your maximum risk $$, and dividing by the spread between your entry price and stop price, to determine the number of shares to buy.
If you don't know which day the order will fill on (because it's GTC) and your stop is, say, a descending trend line (meaning your eventual stop will get lower the more days that elapse before your trade fills) or the LOD for the day it eventually fills, then how do you know what your $risk/share will be?
That's why I was asking if you use a constant $order size, or constant #shares, or something else when determining the order size for your Buy Stop Limit order.
Make sense?
Thanks Matt. How do you
Trade Ideas comments
Posted by rojoch on 21st of May 2018 at 12:15 pm
Thanks Matt. How do you size your trade if it's a GTC order (i.e. When you're unsure what day it'll get filled on)? Do use just use whatever the 9 EMA is at the time of entering the Buy Stop Limit order as your probable initial stop, combine with max $risk amount, and size your GTC trade size based on that? Or do you use a constant $order size or constant #shares when placing these GTC orders? Thx!
totally agree with oakavekid. the
swing trade list beta something working on
Posted by rojoch on 18th of May 2018 at 04:08 pm
totally agree with oakavekid. the struggle i've been having is in how to manage the trades once they trigger. even after-the-fact case studies of how you managed several winning and losing trades would be a huge help
Thx. You mostly using the
As far as mapping the SPX , there remain a ...
Posted by rojoch on 15th of May 2018 at 03:50 pm
Thx. You mostly using the 5m chart since you're intra-day?
Focus on the most objective
As far as mapping the SPX , there remain a ...
Posted by rojoch on 15th of May 2018 at 02:07 pm
To clarify, what would be your top 3 objective setups?
- Low and High of Doji with divergence?
- Low and High of Hammer with divergence?
- Something else?
Thx.
Is the AAPL system still
Reminder: AAPL Reports Tonight After the Close
Posted by rojoch on 1st of May 2018 at 09:41 am
Is the AAPL system still long?
Thanks mla127--great to see some
Some Canadian charts i'm watching .... being force to trade ...
Posted by rojoch on 8th of Apr 2018 at 01:53 pm
Thanks mla127--great to see some Canadian trade ideas. Will be interesting to see whether those below the 200d can power up through it.
.../John in Victoria BC
Thanks for the updates Matt.
Systems Discussion and Video
Posted by rojoch on 4th of Apr 2018 at 11:47 am
Thanks for the updates Matt. I definitely vote to keep the systems going.
Have you considered posting a snapshot of the system chart at the end of each trading day (similar to what you do with the BPT MA Deluxe)?
Thanks!
.../john in Victoria, BC
I currently have a stop
XBIT follow up
Posted by rojoch on 29th of Mar 2018 at 01:14 pm
I currently have a stop at the LOD ($5.14). When you say "giving it a little room", are you thinking of a lower stop, say, 9de ($4.95)?
Given the whippiness of the
a few trade setups
Posted by rojoch on 29th of Mar 2018 at 09:07 am
Given the whippiness of the market, where would be good places for stops if these trigger?
Thanks for the email alert
stopped out intra day, yes normally it doesn't do that, ...
Posted by rojoch on 27th of Mar 2018 at 05:05 pm
Thanks for the email alert Matt!
.../john
Who here is trading in
Posted by rojoch on 21st of Mar 2018 at 07:48 pm
Who here is trading in a Canadian RRSP or RESP? Looking to find out what approaches fellow Canadians are using (which broker, which trading platform, and how to handle the ever-changing forex rate)
Thanks!
.../John in Victoria, BC
I'm thinking back to the
SPY System - To be clear, it is long? Right?
Posted by rojoch on 19th of Mar 2018 at 02:14 am
I'm thinking back to the beginning of February when the market started dropping, and a second SPY Pro entry occurred, followed by more downside. Then I think you mentioned having a stop in place in case things continued to drop. Previous to that point I had always traded the SPY Pro system with no stops, just waiting for exit signals.
Now that volatility and choppiness has appeared in the market, I'm more conscious of protecting the downside risk but somehow still allowing for second and third entries lower.
I'll place a safety stop under the bottom trend line and hope that it gives it enough room.
In today's newsletter, Steve repeatedly
SPY System - To be clear, it is long? Right?
Posted by rojoch on 18th of Mar 2018 at 07:18 pm
In today's newsletter, Steve repeatedly urged us to have a stop in place due to the ascending wedge of the SPX.
Where would be a good stop for those of us who entered the SPY Pro this past week?
Thanks!
.../john
Listening to your newsletter about
Wednesday's Newsletter
Posted by rojoch on 15th of Mar 2018 at 11:30 am
Listening to your newsletter about the recent big pops.
For fast-moving stocks like these, what type of stops do you prefer? Market? or Limit? (thinking about the effects of gaps and low-liquidity)
Any chance there's a version
Renko ES
Posted by rojoch on 13th of Mar 2018 at 11:08 pm
Any chance there's a version that works with TC2000?
Trying to figure out a
CYS follow up
Posted by rojoch on 13th of Mar 2018 at 02:35 pm
Trying to figure out a stop for this if it goes back to 6.76...
6.26 would work if you see it as a double-bottom, with a target of 7.31 but that seems pretty wide (7%)
Or could do yesterday's mid-candle (6.55).
Or could do yesterday's low (6.49).
Or today's low (6.66).
Again, choosing initial stops (and then deciding how/when/where to move them later on) is the part I struggle with the most.
Thoughts?
Sounds like a great feature.
Alerts vs Buy Stop orders for entries?Great video on position ...
Posted by rojoch on 13th of Mar 2018 at 02:47 am
Sounds like a great feature. Unfortunately iTrade Canada does not appear to offer conditional orders. :-(
Thanks I just used that
CECE follow up
Posted by rojoch on 12th of Mar 2018 at 04:26 pm
Thanks I just used that 10% in one day tip to book 15% gain in MU since buying it a week ago. Normally I would've held on and risked doing a round-trip. Thanks again!
.../john