I interpret the 110 vomma zone needs to be dynamically
calculated over time as IV changes since VVIX measures IV of VIX
options. I believe that level has increased over time as IV and use
of VIX options has increased.
They show that VVIX tends to be higher when values of VIX itself
are higher but not as much as one would think. It’s definitely
academic stuff and I’m sure there are HFs calculating real time
optimal zones.
Posted by mitchell on 29th of Jul 2021 at 10:07 am
Bought NUGT (2x GDX) week ago a few pts lower as a ST trade and
sold today near highs on gap up, which is approaching ST
resistance. For my style, I would like to see it clear
the 62 area before re-entry. Miners look ready to move higher on
charts though.
Posted by mitchell on 23rd of Jul 2021 at 06:15 pm
@Matt - I started noticing the gap closing several wks ago and
wanted to ask if history shows similar reduction of the delta
before an ultimate 2d (or weekly) DVT sell trigger?
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jul 2021 at 12:33 pm
Anyone use TS on Mac OS? Tried previously via dual OS config but
didnt like. I use TOS mainly - works well on Mac. Better to buy a
separate Windows computer?
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jul 2021 at 11:43 am
KO Coca-Cola up post earnings. Testing
pre-covid highs, and looks poised to run to 60 which is the
non-dividend adjusted level. All timeframe charts look great. Slow
and steady mover.
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Jul 2021 at 11:43 am
2nd that...made huge profit on SPX calls. Bought lows above 2d
DVT w/ expectation of touch/ go day to fill gap. I use a blend of
indicators to trade based on probability.
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jun 2021 at 10:13 am
Thought I should share an educational mishap of sorts...sold 414
SPY Puts at open Fri...worked great all day; SPY closed 414.92.
Didnt close b/c thought it was far enough over to not be assigned.
AH Fri SPY dropped to around 413.6. Was assigned shares...was
ok due to oversold price and premium greater than difference.
Could have closed Puts for $0.01 during day...sometimes its
best to eliminate risk even if probability is low...
Posted by mitchell on 18th of Jun 2021 at 09:41 am
Yesterday looked like a B bounce rally, now into C with measured
move to around 4180...will see if that area holds. I sold SPX puts
expiring today at lower levels w/ these elevated
premiums.
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I interpret the 110 vomma
VVIX and an interesting observation
Posted by mitchell on 2nd of Aug 2021 at 05:23 pm
I interpret the 110 vomma zone needs to be dynamically calculated over time as IV changes since VVIX measures IV of VIX options. I believe that level has increased over time as IV and use of VIX options has increased.
When I previously looked into this topic this was helpful: https://www.macroption.com/volatility-vix-vvix-1307/
They show that VVIX tends to be higher when values of VIX itself are higher but not as much as one would think. It’s definitely academic stuff and I’m sure there are HFs calculating real time optimal zones.
AMZN selling off this much
AMZN missed
Posted by mitchell on 29th of Jul 2021 at 04:59 pm
AMZN selling off this much and not bouncing should be very concerning for market. There are no big buyers stepping up like other times.
200d not far below. Wouldnt
AMZN missed
Posted by mitchell on 29th of Jul 2021 at 04:21 pm
200d not far below. Wouldnt buy here b/c it’s likely going there in near future.
Bought NUGT (2x GDX) week
Posted by mitchell on 29th of Jul 2021 at 10:07 am
Bought NUGT (2x GDX) week ago a few pts lower as a ST trade and sold today near highs on gap up, which is approaching ST resistance. For my style, I would like to see it clear the 62 area before re-entry. Miners look ready to move higher on charts though.
Issue w/ many Chinese issues
BABA weekly chart
Posted by mitchell on 26th of Jul 2021 at 10:24 am
Issue w/ many Chinese issues is regulation and no ownership overseas. Additional risks beyond the company itself.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/everyone-crosshairs-china-sees-panic-selling-amid-unprecedented-crackdown
Thanks for sharing. Will watch
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04WRpbv6Tfg I posted this last week had finally had ...
Posted by mitchell on 26th of Jul 2021 at 09:56 am
Thanks for sharing. Will watch on my favorite 1.5x speed. I always learn something new from insightful podcasts or videos.
@Matt - I started noticing
interesting that the 2 day DVT's on the QQQ and ...
Posted by mitchell on 23rd of Jul 2021 at 06:15 pm
@Matt - I started noticing the gap closing several wks ago and wanted to ask if history shows similar reduction of the delta before an ultimate 2d (or weekly) DVT sell trigger?
I would assume there is
TICK pivots
Posted by mitchell on 23rd of Jul 2021 at 11:34 am
I would assume there is serious short covering adding to this parabolic move. Wish I would have held my calls.
Anyone use TS on Mac
SPY Trend/Pullback showing an exit for the aggressive exit one
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jul 2021 at 12:33 pm
Anyone use TS on Mac OS? Tried previously via dual OS config but didnt like. I use TOS mainly - works well on Mac. Better to buy a separate Windows computer?
KO Coca-Cola up post earnings.
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jul 2021 at 11:43 am
KO Coca-Cola up post earnings. Testing pre-covid highs, and looks poised to run to 60 which is the non-dividend adjusted level. All timeframe charts look great. Slow and steady mover.
Market may want next TICK
Market update
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Jul 2021 at 12:34 pm
Market may want next TICK if strength continues. Strong buy dip programs today.
2nd that...made huge profit on
McClellan Systems
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Jul 2021 at 11:43 am
2nd that...made huge profit on SPX calls. Bought lows above 2d DVT w/ expectation of touch/ go day to fill gap. I use a blend of indicators to trade based on probability.
Matt - Would be interested
Dan Zanger labels $COMPQ as a wave 5 top from ...
Posted by mitchell on 19th of Jul 2021 at 02:24 pm
Matt - Would be interested to see your guys' take on wave counts in next newsletter and where this pullback fits in. Thanks.
JNK/HYG forming small coil; down
Posted by mitchell on 13th of Jul 2021 at 11:53 am
JNK/HYG forming small coil; down slightly today. Dont assume bearish; could be either way in this market phase.
Thought I should share an
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Jun 2021 at 10:13 am
Thought I should share an educational mishap of sorts...sold 414 SPY Puts at open Fri...worked great all day; SPY closed 414.92. Didnt close b/c thought it was far enough over to not be assigned. AH Fri SPY dropped to around 413.6. Was assigned shares...was ok due to oversold price and premium greater than difference. Could have closed Puts for $0.01 during day...sometimes its best to eliminate risk even if probability is low...
SPX 5min appears to be
S&P on it's 50DMA ... this will probably attract buyers ...
Posted by mitchell on 18th of Jun 2021 at 10:33 am
SPX 5min appears to be forming a tight falling wedge...
Yesterday looked like a B
Posted by mitchell on 18th of Jun 2021 at 09:41 am
Yesterday looked like a B bounce rally, now into C with measured move to around 4180...will see if that area holds. I sold SPX puts expiring today at lower levels w/ these elevated premiums.
CAT stretched on weekly and
CAT--- incredibly weak-- could it reach the 200 sma ?
Posted by mitchell on 17th of Jun 2021 at 01:56 pm
CAT stretched on weekly and monthly charts…profit taking. I’m watching around 200d to see how it acts but being patient after run it’s had.
Many S&P ETF ex-div dates
JP+QuadWitch=Algo heaven
Posted by mitchell on 16th of Jun 2021 at 03:22 pm
Many S&P ETF ex-div dates after op-ex this Fri
GDX filled the gap...
GDX comments
Posted by mitchell on 16th of Jun 2021 at 02:08 pm
GDX filled the gap...