Posted by mitchell on 16th of May 2025 at 10:36 am
@Glad - Im noticing uncorrelations today that typ precede
pullbacks. Today good day to strategically sell spy calls /
buy puts. Call skew keeping call premiums > puts now.
Posted by mitchell on 14th of May 2025 at 11:18 am
Steve - Agreed on pullback looming; I understand there to be
high call skew into Fri opex, which likely creates upward bias
until then and unwind after. Any thoughts on probability of
potential pullback before / after opex from ur perspective /
sources? Thanks.
Important distinction...NAAIM Exposure Index measures
adjustments active risk managers have made to client accounts over
the past two weeks; not necessarily all retail investors.
Posted by mitchell on 16th of Apr 2025 at 01:37 pm
fwiw...jason shapiro, based on COT data, doesnt see a top yet
b/c there still is not large spec buying. He cautioned this could
go on for longer than one thinks...
Posted by mitchell on 10th of Mar 2025 at 09:30 am
I studied this method few yrs back and found for me was mainly
useful after-the-fact; hard to identify real time w/ large lot
volume having moved off market. Maybe you guys can teach us
otherwise. I find more useful/reliable the other methods you guys
use...major support lines, demand zones, etc. Would
appreciate an educational video from Matt/Steve on identifying
BOS/demand zones, and providing 'level to level'
examples.
SBUX still going strong...likely 115 this month. Im out of it
now but surprised its been moving concurrent to coffee. In
past coffee runs it acted inverse.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
SPX may be extended but
Posted by mitchell on 19th of May 2025 at 04:53 pm
SPX may be extended but Stoch60 still embedded on most timeframes...incredible
@Glad - Im noticing uncorrelations
Confused, I know today’s an options expiration so that creates ...
Posted by mitchell on 16th of May 2025 at 10:36 am
@Glad - Im noticing uncorrelations today that typ precede pullbacks. Today good day to strategically sell spy calls / buy puts. Call skew keeping call premiums > puts now.
Steve - Agreed on pullback
As the indices keep moving higher, risk of pullback grows ...
Posted by mitchell on 14th of May 2025 at 11:18 am
Steve - Agreed on pullback looming; I understand there to be high call skew into Fri opex, which likely creates upward bias until then and unwind after. Any thoughts on probability of potential pullback before / after opex from ur perspective / sources? Thanks.
Important distinction...NAAIM Exposure Index measures adjustments
NAAIM exposure index BIG move up 59.92 to 81.06. Recall ...
Posted by mitchell on 8th of May 2025 at 04:49 pm
Important distinction...NAAIM Exposure Index measures adjustments active risk managers have made to client accounts over the past two weeks; not necessarily all retail investors.
Trump pump, then the dump.
Trump : Go out and buy stocks !!
Posted by mitchell on 8th of May 2025 at 12:23 pm
Trump pump, then the dump. Good time to sell spy calls w/ these elevated premiums into supply / resistance zones.
Was yesterday's SPX KISS chart
Wednesday's Newsletter April 30th, 2025
Posted by mitchell on 30th of Apr 2025 at 09:58 pm
Was yesterday's SPX KISS chart not updated in newsletter b/c now shows went long before today w/ 2 STSs...? Need consistency.
agree, spx short term options
Market acting as if Trump will say something they like ...
Posted by mitchell on 24th of Apr 2025 at 12:00 pm
agree, spx short term options premiums quite elevated.
fwiw...jason shapiro, based on COT
Gold
Posted by mitchell on 16th of Apr 2025 at 01:37 pm
fwiw...jason shapiro, based on COT data, doesnt see a top yet b/c there still is not large spec buying. He cautioned this could go on for longer than one thinks...
Sure wouldn’t short gold w/o
Big move in gold futures after hrs after the NVDA and ES strong move lower
Posted by mitchell on 16th of Apr 2025 at 08:29 am
Sure wouldn’t short gold w/o valid trigger but now I will sell some physical coins like Matt did earlier.
Believe today was 79% uvol
Posted by mitchell on 14th of Apr 2025 at 10:32 pm
Believe today was 79% uvol day...might be close enough.
massive short squeeze to sell
Posted by mitchell on 9th of Apr 2025 at 01:39 pm
massive short squeeze to sell call options for nice premium
Last day to get SPY
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Mar 2025 at 02:30 pm
Last day to get SPY div.
this may be working on
% Stocks in S&P 500 above 20 EMA
Posted by mitchell on 12th of Mar 2025 at 06:45 pm
this may be working on larger 1/2 pattern w/ nice divergence now...
this straight down move from
It seems like the market needs to crash (-4% + ...
Posted by mitchell on 10th of Mar 2025 at 01:48 pm
this straight down move from highs has same end-to-end slope of July pullback (very steep) and similar to covid crash velocity.
I studied this method few
feb 20: Wyckoff target activated 5673 (can be negated if ...
Posted by mitchell on 10th of Mar 2025 at 09:30 am
I studied this method few yrs back and found for me was mainly useful after-the-fact; hard to identify real time w/ large lot volume having moved off market. Maybe you guys can teach us otherwise. I find more useful/reliable the other methods you guys use...major support lines, demand zones, etc. Would appreciate an educational video from Matt/Steve on identifying BOS/demand zones, and providing 'level to level' examples.
SPX sitting on 61.8% fib
Posted by mitchell on 21st of Feb 2025 at 08:00 pm
SPX sitting on 61.8% fib of the up move from 5924. Should produce at least a bounce.
Matt - Educational ? to
SPX 60 min views/comments
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Feb 2025 at 12:16 pm
Matt - Educational ? to help me improve my mapping...since W4 overlaps W1 would this count still be valid? Thanks.
SPX Equal weight still seriously
Posted by mitchell on 14th of Feb 2025 at 10:47 am
SPX Equal weight still seriously lagging SPX
https://schrts.co/sRQBHyiS
schrts.co
SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
SBUX still going strong...likely 115
who want's some coffee, jeez
Posted by mitchell on 5th of Feb 2025 at 09:02 pm
SBUX still going strong...likely 115 this month. Im out of it now but surprised its been moving concurrent to coffee. In past coffee runs it acted inverse.
Great day for selling options
Posted by mitchell on 3rd of Feb 2025 at 11:19 am
Great day for selling options both directions. Has been traders mkt so far this yr and will likely continue.