Posted by magann14 on 28th of Dec 2011 at 10:57 am
If the GLD is now breaking down from the small bear flag
pattern, do it measure down to 147ish? I was just looking at
Steve's daily chart from last night
Posted by magann14 on 15th of Oct 2011 at 05:45 pm
Looking at the volume patterns in the S&P 500 since August
1st shows that volume has increased on declines and decreased
during the reaction rallies. The up and down moves have been
on average 7 days in length...so this last move is now 10 trading
days long. Couple that with Matt and Steve's wave counts and
marketguy's negative divergence....I would think next week should
be to the downside.
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Oct 2011 at 02:01 pm
This is one I have been watching. The 13/34 are flat
together and BB are tightening. The stock had a really good
run earlier in the year and now after the correction looks ready to
pop.
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Oct 2011 at 01:11 pm
I have been trying to get an image to upload too...but no
luck. I was referring to the futures chart. The left
shoulder formed around 5am this morning with the head around 8:30am
we are working on the right shoulder now.
Posted by magann14 on 18th of Apr 2011 at 01:17 pm
Neoprobe continues to
provide a good amount of upside potential, as it is very close to
filing a new drug application with the FDA and has recently moved
onto a major stock exchange.
Over the next 12 months, Neoprobe Corporation
has a chance to go from producing 10 million in annual revenue to
over $450 million in annual revenue.
Over the next 2-3 years, there is even greater
potential for Neoprobe Corp to produce over $2-3 billion in annual
revenue.
NEOP has remained stable as the underlying
market is being whipped around. On NEOP, there are open interests
of 30987 option calls (bullish) at various strike prices and there
are open interests of 1223 option puts (bearish) at various strike
prices. So the ratio there is like 30:1, which needless to
say is bullish on the underlying stock price. If that ratio
were flip flopped, that would be bearish on the stock.
We are within 30 days of top line data on the last Lymphoseek
trial, 45-60 days from New Drug Application filing for Lymphoseek,
90-180 days from approved trial design for RIGScan CR phase 3
trial, 6-9 months from Lymphoseek approval and 10-12 months from
RIGScan CR phase 3 trial. I do not see anything negative for
the next 12 months.
In the month of May, we saw bond giant PIMCO officially dump
U.S. Treasuries from its portfolio. Since then, PIMCO’s chief, Bill
Gross, has been warning that the U.S. is on the verge of a debt
default.
Wondering who will be around to purchase up Treasuries once the
Fed’s QE2 program had ended, the firm has decided to take action.
Yesterday, PIMCO announced that it was committing 3% of its
portfolio towards a bet against Treasuries, or $7.1 billion short
Treasuries.
Lately, Gross has been quite the negative voice regarding
Treasuries, so the announcement that the world’s largest bond
manager is now short isn’t exactly ‘out of the blue’. However,
that’s not to say that it doesn’t have investors taking a second
look at the Treasury market.
Gross said in his April commentary that he believes 75% of the
government’s budget to be based on entitlements such as Medicare,
Medicaid, and Social Security, as well as non-discretionary
spending items. He believes that unless entitlements are cut, the
government will default on its debts, though not in the ‘normal’
way of halting principal or interest payments. He wrote that
default could occur, “surreptitiously via accelerating and
unexpectedly higher inflation . . . deceptively via a declining
dollar -- currently taking place right in front of our noses . . .
and stealthily via policy rates and Treasury yields far below
historical levels -- paying savers less on their money and hoping
they won’t complain.”
Gross has made a fortune in the great bond bull market over the
years, so being short US Treasuries for a manager of his stature is
a big deal. Gross, who manages the $236-billion Pimco Total Return
bond fund, is most concerned about what will happen to bond markets
once the Fed’s QE2 program concludes on June 30, a day in which he
has dubbed “D-Day.”
Some analysts aren’t convinced that PIMCO’s short Treasury move
is based on the long-term expectation of the government defaulting,
rather the short term effects that QE2’s end will have on bond
yields. “Whether bond yields rise or fall after the current QE
program is completed will depend on a host of factors. Chief among
them will be market expectations regarding the outlook for economic
growth and inflation, and expectations regarding the next move in
Fed policy,” reads a note from HSBC’s global research team.
PIMCO’s other chief investment officer, Mohammed El-Erian, said
that the company could be buyers of Treasuries under the “right
conditions.” Considering the aftermath of the UK’s 2009 QE program,
which ultimately ended in a double dip in yields after an initial
jump following the end of the program, PIMCO could be setting
itself up for some quick profit-taking should the same initial
spike in yields occur.
PIMCO is positioning itself for the end of QE2. Whether it takes
profits on a spike in yields, or holds out short on treasuries
longer term, one thing is for certain – the end of QE2 will have a
significant impact on our economic landscape. While this past year
has been all about macro headlines (European solvency issues, QE2,
turmoil in the Middle East, Japan’s earthquake), moving forward,
the investment community will likely put more emphasis on
inflationary expectations, yields, interest rates, and other
domestic economic issues.
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Feb 2011 at 10:05 pm
China's consumer price index rose 4.9% in January from a year
earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday, adding
that it had reweighted components in the index. The result was
below forecast, but the producer price index, which rose 6.6%,
climbed more quickly than expected. Average forecasts for CPI had
called for a gain of 5.4% and a PPI rise of 6.3%, according to a
survey of economists reported by Dow Jones Newswires. The CPI
reading also matched exactly whispered numbers that had appeared in
some news reports Monday. In December, consumer prices rose 4.6%
year-on-year, while wholesale prices were up 5.9%. While the
Statistics Bureau said it had reconfigured the CPI, it added that
the new weightings added rather than subtracted from the inflation
rate for January.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Thank you
GLD bear flag
Posted by magann14 on 28th of Dec 2011 at 11:30 am
Thank you
GLD bear flag
Posted by magann14 on 28th of Dec 2011 at 10:57 am
If the GLD is now breaking down from the small bear flag pattern, do it measure down to 147ish? I was just looking at Steve's daily chart from last night
Volume Patterns
Posted by magann14 on 15th of Oct 2011 at 05:45 pm
Looking at the volume patterns in the S&P 500 since August 1st shows that volume has increased on declines and decreased during the reaction rallies. The up and down moves have been on average 7 days in length...so this last move is now 10 trading days long. Couple that with Matt and Steve's wave counts and marketguy's negative divergence....I would think next week should be to the downside.
NEOP set to breakout
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Oct 2011 at 02:01 pm
This is one I have been watching. The 13/34 are flat together and BB are tightening. The stock had a really good run earlier in the year and now after the correction looks ready to pop.
I have been trying to
Head and Shoulders setting up on 10 min SPX
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Oct 2011 at 01:11 pm
I have been trying to get an image to upload too...but no luck. I was referring to the futures chart. The left shoulder formed around 5am this morning with the head around 8:30am we are working on the right shoulder now.
Head and Shoulders setting up on 10 min SPX
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Oct 2011 at 12:01 pm
It appears the neckline at 1206 and break measures down to 1196
LNG stopped at 61.8% FIb
Posted by magann14 on 21st of Apr 2011 at 11:28 am
Neoprobe continues to provide a good
NEOP
Posted by magann14 on 18th of Apr 2011 at 01:17 pm
Neoprobe continues to provide a good amount of upside potential, as it is very close to filing a new drug application with the FDA and has recently moved onto a major stock exchange. Over the next 12 months, Neoprobe Corporation has a chance to go from producing 10 million in annual revenue to over $450 million in annual revenue. Over the next 2-3 years, there is even greater potential for Neoprobe Corp to produce over $2-3 billion in annual revenue. NEOP has remained stable as the underlying market is being whipped around. On NEOP, there are open interests of 30987 option calls (bullish) at various strike prices and there are open interests of 1223 option puts (bearish) at various strike prices. So the ratio there is like 30:1, which needless to say is bullish on the underlying stock price. If that ratio were flip flopped, that would be bearish on the stock. We are within 30 days of top line data on the last Lymphoseek trial, 45-60 days from New Drug Application filing for Lymphoseek, 90-180 days from approved trial design for RIGScan CR phase 3 trial, 6-9 months from Lymphoseek approval and 10-12 months from RIGScan CR phase 3 trial. I do not see anything negative for the next 12 months.
PIMCO Shorts the US Treasury
Posted by magann14 on 12th of Apr 2011 at 04:12 pm
PIMCO Goes Short US Treasury
April 12, 2011
by Don Moenning
In the month of May, we saw bond giant PIMCO officially dump U.S. Treasuries from its portfolio. Since then, PIMCO’s chief, Bill Gross, has been warning that the U.S. is on the verge of a debt default.
Wondering who will be around to purchase up Treasuries once the Fed’s QE2 program had ended, the firm has decided to take action. Yesterday, PIMCO announced that it was committing 3% of its portfolio towards a bet against Treasuries, or $7.1 billion short Treasuries.
Lately, Gross has been quite the negative voice regarding Treasuries, so the announcement that the world’s largest bond manager is now short isn’t exactly ‘out of the blue’. However, that’s not to say that it doesn’t have investors taking a second look at the Treasury market.
Gross said in his April commentary that he believes 75% of the government’s budget to be based on entitlements such as Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security, as well as non-discretionary spending items. He believes that unless entitlements are cut, the government will default on its debts, though not in the ‘normal’ way of halting principal or interest payments. He wrote that default could occur, “surreptitiously via accelerating and unexpectedly higher inflation . . . deceptively via a declining dollar -- currently taking place right in front of our noses . . . and stealthily via policy rates and Treasury yields far below historical levels -- paying savers less on their money and hoping they won’t complain.”
Gross has made a fortune in the great bond bull market over the years, so being short US Treasuries for a manager of his stature is a big deal. Gross, who manages the $236-billion Pimco Total Return bond fund, is most concerned about what will happen to bond markets once the Fed’s QE2 program concludes on June 30, a day in which he has dubbed “D-Day.”
Some analysts aren’t convinced that PIMCO’s short Treasury move is based on the long-term expectation of the government defaulting, rather the short term effects that QE2’s end will have on bond yields. “Whether bond yields rise or fall after the current QE program is completed will depend on a host of factors. Chief among them will be market expectations regarding the outlook for economic growth and inflation, and expectations regarding the next move in Fed policy,” reads a note from HSBC’s global research team.
PIMCO’s other chief investment officer, Mohammed El-Erian, said that the company could be buyers of Treasuries under the “right conditions.” Considering the aftermath of the UK’s 2009 QE program, which ultimately ended in a double dip in yields after an initial jump following the end of the program, PIMCO could be setting itself up for some quick profit-taking should the same initial spike in yields occur.
PIMCO is positioning itself for the end of QE2. Whether it takes profits on a spike in yields, or holds out short on treasuries longer term, one thing is for certain – the end of QE2 will have a significant impact on our economic landscape. While this past year has been all about macro headlines (European solvency issues, QE2, turmoil in the Middle East, Japan’s earthquake), moving forward, the investment community will likely put more emphasis on inflationary expectations, yields, interest rates, and other domestic economic issues.
GDX
Posted by magann14 on 11th of Apr 2011 at 10:01 pm
It is interesting that the BPGDM closed at 76.67 as the daily RENKO gave a sell signal
If it was restricted I
LNG
Posted by magann14 on 7th of Apr 2011 at 04:14 pm
If it was restricted I would assume that we should see a higher put volume then call volume on the stock, but today was the opposite.
National Inflation Assocation
NIA: The Federal Reserve Must Implement QE3
Posted by magann14 on 7th of Apr 2011 at 12:14 pm
National Inflation Assocation
NEOP breaking out
Posted by magann14 on 22nd of Mar 2011 at 10:36 am
Here is one I keep following that is breaking out after some consolidation
Japanese stocks jump as G-7 reportedly
futures?
Posted by magann14 on 17th of Mar 2011 at 08:29 pm
Japanese stocks jump as G-7 reportedly approves forex intervention; Nikkei Average up 2.4%
03/17/2011 08:04:53 PM
If you click on the
BPGDM
Posted by magann14 on 10th of Mar 2011 at 04:02 pm
If you click on the GDX Swing System and scroll down there is a section above the graph that updates hourly the status of the BPGDM
BPGDM
Posted by magann14 on 10th of Mar 2011 at 03:56 pm
It appears from looking at the GDX Swing System intraday monitor that BPGDM will have no change from yesterday. Is this correct?
Thanks
China's consumer price index rose
any one get the Inflation Data for China?
Posted by magann14 on 14th of Feb 2011 at 10:05 pm
China's consumer price index rose 4.9% in January from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday, adding that it had reweighted components in the index. The result was below forecast, but the producer price index, which rose 6.6%, climbed more quickly than expected. Average forecasts for CPI had called for a gain of 5.4% and a PPI rise of 6.3%, according to a survey of economists reported by Dow Jones Newswires. The CPI reading also matched exactly whispered numbers that had appeared in some news reports Monday. In December, consumer prices rose 4.6% year-on-year, while wholesale prices were up 5.9%. While the Statistics Bureau said it had reconfigured the CPI, it added that the new weightings added rather than subtracted from the inflation rate for January.
Higher Lows and Higher Highs on GDX
Posted by magann14 on 3rd of Feb 2011 at 12:33 pm
Thank you...just got it. I appreciate
BPGDM comments FYI
Posted by magann14 on 1st of Feb 2011 at 03:23 pm
Thank you...just got it.
I appreciate the good work!
Matt this most definitely will
BPGDM comments FYI
Posted by magann14 on 1st of Feb 2011 at 02:53 pm
Matt this most definitely will be a buy signal...correct?