Posted by libertina on 16th of Dec 2010 at 03:00 pm
...And Dec. 20 is the $13 to 17 billion Tentative Outright
Treasury Operation day, which in its own way is useless...I
wonder who Bernanke's astrologer is???
The collapse of Lehman Brothers and other stock market problems
led to the 3-month T-Bill yield falling close to zero beginning in
September 2008. Now two years later, we are about to
experience the echo of that interest rate drop in the form of a VIX
drop in the 4th quarter of 2010.
The chart below looks at the same relationship, but zooms in
closer to see the immediate forecast in greater detail.
The wild choppiness of interest rates in late 2008 implies
that we will see some big movements in the VIX between now and
November 2010. But by the end of the year, this leading
indication says that the VIX should be calmed down, and at lower
levels than the low 20s we are seeing right now. The
implication of this is that the stock market should rise in concert
with a VIX drop into December and beyond. That idea fits
nicely with the impending upturn for the stock market being
forecasted by the Presidential Cycle Pattern, something which we
discussed in the
April 16 Chart In Focus, and which we recently updated for our
paid newslettersubscribers.
Posted by libertina on 18th of Nov 2009 at 01:16 pm
"No matter how many charitable donations it makes, Goldman
will struggle to shake off the moniker bestowed on it by Matt
Taibbi in Rolling Stone magazine earlier this year. Taibbi
described the firm as �
a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity,
relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells
like money.� Goldman and its peers need to practice
humility and contriteness for an extended period, rather than
seeking image-buffing headlines with token gestures."
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Useless...
this stuff is probably useless but fwiw...next full moon on 12/21 is also a lunar eclipse happening on the winter solstice...supposedly a BIG deal to astrologers...
Posted by libertina on 16th of Dec 2010 at 03:00 pm
...And Dec. 20 is the $13 to 17 billion Tentative Outright Treasury Operation day, which in its own way is useless...I wonder who Bernanke's astrologer is???
LNG: another opinion
LNG
Posted by libertina on 3rd of Dec 2010 at 11:27 pm
RBY (RMX.to)
Posted by libertina on 2nd of Dec 2010 at 03:19 pm
Bull flagging on 15 minute? Comments?
10 Assay results in, 31 pending as of today
ATW.v
Posted by libertina on 29th of Nov 2010 at 03:27 pm
TSX.v Bear ETFs?
TSX Venture Exchange
Posted by libertina on 12th of Nov 2010 at 02:11 pm
Anyone know of a way to take advantage of this? Canadian RSPs (similar to 401k) allow bear ETFs, but not shorting.
Canadian Gold & Silver Bear ETFs
GDX system is on a sell signal
Posted by libertina on 19th of Oct 2010 at 01:26 pm
Gold: HBD, HGD
Silver: HZD
Do your own due dilligence
Or bull flagging?
RBY-- call the doctor, looks ill again here....lol
Posted by libertina on 18th of Oct 2010 at 10:43 am
As a relatively novice trader, I have to ask what indicators suggest it is not simply bull flagging? And wouldn't that make it a buying opportunity?
Year-End VIX Plunge Coming
Posted by libertina on 11th of Sep 2010 at 01:30 am
Chart In Focus
Year-End VIX Plunge Coming
The rapid plunge in short term interest rates almost two years ago is finally about to matter for stock prices.
One of the least understood aspects of Federal Reserve policy on interest rates is that there is a big lag time between their implementation and when the effect is seen in the economy. It takes a while between the time a seed is planted and when it finally starts to grow into a plant.
Stock market volatility has been slowly coming down, and this is evident in the falling values for the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). A falling level for the VIX is generally associated with rising stock prices, and vice versa. The illiquidity which leads to falling stock prices also drives up market volatility, as prices have to wander farther and faster to get to levels where liquidity can be found.
The really cool aspect about the VIX's movements is that we can model them 2 years in advance by looking at what short term interest rates are doing. This week's chart compares 3-month T-Bill yields to the VIX, and the trick is that the interest rate plot is shifted forward by two years.
This charting technique of shifting one plot forward to see its leading indication for another is a principle we call Liquidity Waves. It can be extraordinarily useful if one can identify two sets of data which share a lead-lag relationship.
The collapse of Lehman Brothers and other stock market problems led to the 3-month T-Bill yield falling close to zero beginning in September 2008. Now two years later, we are about to experience the echo of that interest rate drop in the form of a VIX drop in the 4th quarter of 2010.
The chart below looks at the same relationship, but zooms in closer to see the immediate forecast in greater detail.
The wild choppiness of interest rates in late 2008 implies that we will see some big movements in the VIX between now and November 2010. But by the end of the year, this leading indication says that the VIX should be calmed down, and at lower levels than the low 20s we are seeing right now. The implication of this is that the stock market should rise in concert with a VIX drop into December and beyond. That idea fits nicely with the impending upturn for the stock market being forecasted by the Presidential Cycle Pattern, something which we discussed in the April 16 Chart In Focus, and which we recently updated for our paid newslettersubscribers.
Link
Livermore
Posted by libertina on 19th of Aug 2010 at 12:56 pm
http://www.trading-naked.com/library/jesse_livermore.pdf
Off Topic - On Goldman
Posted by libertina on 6th of Jun 2010 at 02:21 pm
Entertaining Video clips for the weekend, titled "Lucky Day". Will the SEC Goldman lawsuit find a parallell in the last clip?
http://www.flixxy.com/lucky-day.htm
More on Fake Gold
Posted by libertina on 2nd of Mar 2010 at 06:20 am
A Fake 500 gram ingot (tungsten core) which was purchased by a bank has been discovered in Germany.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKczs-7BFRI
And it seems a large quantity of fake gold bars may have been around since just after WWII, and is now widely circulated.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M0-hGHJSgNA&NR=1
Time to get out of gold bullion etfs? If the little gold they actually do hold is fake..........
Makes me wonder.....
off topic
Posted by libertina on 1st of Mar 2010 at 03:43 pm
Makes me wonder what we would see in the homes of GS execs!
Off Topic
Posted by libertina on 10th of Feb 2010 at 03:59 pm
What day traders do on tedious days:
http://www.chilloutzone.de/files/player.swf?b=10&l=197&u=ILLUMllSOOAvIF//P_LxP92A42lCHCeeWCejXnHAS/c
or.....how to open the drapes!
Prechter CNBC Link
Prechter on CNBC
Posted by libertina on 26th of Jan 2010 at 07:29 pm
http://www.distressedvolatility.com/2010/01/bob-prechter-on-cnbc-1262010-signals.html
Goldman et al defined
After the bailouts
Posted by libertina on 18th of Nov 2009 at 01:16 pm
"No matter how many charitable donations it makes, Goldman will struggle to shake off the moniker bestowed on it by Matt Taibbi in Rolling Stone magazine earlier this year. Taibbi described the firm as � a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money.� Goldman and its peers need to practice humility and contriteness for an extended period, rather than seeking image-buffing headlines with token gestures."
From:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=asjp51YPDwJU