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30DTE should drop the premium faster, I reckon. I am going to play this lightly, keeping in mind the 4300 target on SPX, which everyone knows about. Selling the premium is the way to go!

I will post my developments on this blog. I like to let the position expire worthless although premium drops fast in the last 3 weeks before expiry. Thank you again!

DigiNomad, I can free up some buying power once I get a feel of the method. I am holding two losing put positions at the moment -- based on Jim Rickards Income strategy (which does not seem to work at all) --  which should be resolved one way or the other.

Is 30DTE are too volatile for this purpose?

DigiNomad, thanks for the trade profile. I used a TD Ameritrade  account. I could view the same in the IB.

I received $330 credit, so about $700 is a double of the credit received. If closed for a loss, I would open another BCS with delta 0.15 at the time to defend it for the amount of a loss on the same expiry date. Correct? Thank you for your mentorship!

DigiNomad, I initially purchased a 50-point wide BCS and immediately received a notice of an impending margin call for $1,000. The margin required is $100 per $SPX point for a short call or put position. So I halved the spread. My maximum loss on it is the margin, I think. I expect the premium to drop within a month, and I could either sell the BCS or let it expire worthless. I could have gone to 30DTE, but I am playing it lightly till I know how it behaves.

The 3ATR on the weekly chart is 4367 on /ES, so this BCS should bring me income.

DigiNomad, I bought $SPX Jul

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 02:15 pm

DigiNomad, I bought $SPX Jul 21 4400/4425 Bear CS on this pop (sold 4400 strike, delta 0.15).

The grain corridor has been

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 12:11 pm

The grain corridor has been extended for two months, according to the leader of Turkey.

rp, check with Trendy Jon

supply/demand examples

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 12:09 pm

rp, check with Trendy Jon on youtube who teaches this concept. He sells some related software.

One idea I am pursuing

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 10:25 am

One idea I am pursuing is a low on gold, high on the indexes, and a positive divergence on $VIX to mark a tradable top this week.

Matt, thank you! I am

today is Demark 9 on daily QQQ

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 10:20 am

Matt, thank you! I am well familiar with the concept. Mine works on 3 different time frames, while yours is straightforward.

Matt, your End of Bull

today is Demark 9 on daily QQQ

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 09:59 am

Matt, your End of Bull trend indicator on QQQ charts is calculated on a single time frame, isn't it? Is the calculation separate from DeMark waves?

The first notice date for

Posted by junkie on 17th of May 2023 at 09:28 am

The first notice date for /GCM is May 31st, in 14 days.  I am expecting a slow grind lower into that date. If the debt ceiling becomes an issue, it could mark a high with lower odds.

So, what is a path from here? A failed breakout and lower or one more attempt higher?

Steve, a retest of the

Posted by junkie on 16th of May 2023 at 04:11 pm

Steve, a retest of the lower trendline on QQQ and another push higher into Friday is due next?

Market typically sells off on Wednesday of the OpEx week. I would like to see a better drop.

For those trading grains, grains

Posted by junkie on 16th of May 2023 at 02:32 pm

For those trading grains, grains should revisit their prior lows from April. At the lows, I expect a $5-handle on /ZW July, $4 handle on Dec. corn, and $11 handle on Nov. beans. They are already close to buy levels yet not there yet. https://www.barchart.com/futures/grains?viewName=main  These will be lows for the year, and lows before the next wave up into 2025.

/GC is on support too, $1980-85. It is oversold short term. If that support breaks, $1950-60 is a solid support and a definite buy level. Based on inside information, that will hold for certain.

ok.

SPX Daily

Posted by junkie on 15th of May 2023 at 05:30 pm

ok.

Do you work on daily

SPX Daily

Posted by junkie on 15th of May 2023 at 05:29 pm

Do you work on daily charts or weekly charts for 3 StandDiv's? I would work with 3ATR Keltner channels and a weekly chart for this method.

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