Posted by johnc4b13 on 21st of Jul 2009 at 04:14 pm
How do you act
during the stock market volatility?
If you’re
always reacting to the stock markets ups and downs mood swings, and
don’t have a plan to buy or sell at a pivot point, then you will
always depend upon what the news or other traders tell you.
You’re will not have
to power to choose for yourself. You’re emotions will dictate your
choices.
The story that the father told his son about the bulls and
the bears.
Dylan! If you had a choice to be
either a Bull or a Bear, what animal would you choose?
“I don’t know. What should I be?”
says Dylan
Well, Dylan that depends on the
situation the market is in. You could be a bull or ride the bull,
by buying a stock or going long a stock by anticipating the stock
to go up in value.
A bull usually has
the tendency to take the offense position by using its ivory horns
in an upward momentum to fight against anything that is getting in
its way to get to the top. In fact, the majority of investors like
to ride the bull, or be called bulls, because that’s the way
society in America natured most of them to think and invest.
What does the bull fight against
when it’s trying to go up? Dylan says.
It fights against the bear. The
bear is the opponent in the battle. The bear takes the defense
position by attacking the bull with its sharp claws. In order for
the bear to win the battle, it must attack with its claws in a
strong downward momentum. Most investors don’t like being a bear or
piggybacking on a bear, unless they are using a dollar cost
averaging strategy, which will be later explained. Traders on the
other hand, like being a bear, because they can profit when price
go down, by shorting or selling borrowed stock.
So, when the stock is trending
down, the bear is winning? Dylan is asking
Yes, the bear is in
control.
“Could I be both?” says
Dylan
Yes, you can Dylan, but you need
to know when and how to be with the bear or with the bull.
If you’re thinking about riding
the bull, you must have good reasons for getting on. Once you’re on
the bull, hold on tight as its jumps up and down very rough. In the
financial markets, this up and down momentum is called volatility.
Volatility can cause you to have headaches, and nausea if you don’t
have a plan and have experience it for the very first time.
……….
The key to riding the
bull or piggybacking on a bear is successfully is positioning your
mind, body and emotions strongly and properly.
Knowing how to get off the bull
before he throws you off is important to your survival as an
investor/trader. You either voluntarily jump from the bull (when
you see it getting tired of going up) and land on your feet without
any injuries to yourself (account) or you let the bull throw you
violently from his back and onto the ground with major injuries to
your body and psychological being (account).
Now, with the bear, if you’re
thinking of piggybacking with the bear, you must be aware of how
violently it could get once it starts striking down with its sharp
claws on anything that gets in its way. If you piggyback properly
on the bear, you can see how investors and trader become so fearful
for their lives(investments), which in case, you will stand to
profit if you’re still in tune with the bear at the right time, and
at the right circumstances, however.
After experiencing enough bull
rides, or bear piggybacks, you’re going to find out that it’s
better to be on the right side, even if it means, not riding the
bull or experiencing a piggyback with the bear, but doing
absolutely nothing, until the trade comes you’re way. If you have
the characteristics of being a patient person, then you’ll find out
how much you can save by cutting your losses, or gaining once you
let the market come to you.
If you want to trade the stock
market every day, then you want to be on the right side of the
trade.
How? How ? How????? Dylan
says
That’s the best question, yet most
difficult question to answer.
From my experience as a trader in
disguise and from the stories that I have heard from all traders,
novices or professionals, I have found that one must accept that
nobody can ever guaranteed a 100% probability for a trade to move
in one direction. If the probability is 99% moving up, it still has
a 1% probability of moving down, however. A professional trader
will trade in the favor that has the best probability of going in
one direction, yet will be flexible in case in doesn’t trade in
that direction. Therefore, the only way, a trader will be on the
right side of the trade, will be understood after understanding the
following cycles of Ignorance. For example, during my research and
experience, as trader, I now know, what I didn’t know, what I
should have known, when I didn’t know, why I didn’t know. How I
didn’t know, what I now know will always be the mystery within our
search for the Holy Grail as a trader, however.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 03:56 pm
It seems that everybody was looking forward to having SRS
mechanical system triggered to the long side, and because of it, it
didn't produce or play out the way we wanted.
It like when everybody see the H & S and because of that
knowledge and awareness, it doesn't work out.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 02:51 pm
SRS is really a roller coaster today. The mechanical system did
turn on to a buy, but wow, one must really let it do its job, or it
will take your emotions on the wild side
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 08:42 pm
Carpe in Diem in as a Day trader???
Odes 1.11 Latin Version in English
Don’t ask (it’s
forbidden to know) what final fate the gods have What end the gods
will give me or you.
Don’t play with
Babylonia fortune-telling either.
It is better to
endure whatever will be.
Whether Jupiter
has allotted to you many more winters, or this final one which even
now wears out the Tyrrhenian Sea on the rocks placed opposite – be
smart, drink you wine.
Scale back your
long hopes to a short period.
While we speak,
envious time will have already fled. Seize the day and place no
trust in tomorrow.
My new Version as a trader
Don’t ask (Why
it or this happened) what final fate the financial markets have
what end the financial markets will give me or you.
Don’t play with
government or talking heads on CNBC fortune-telling either.
It is better to
endure whatever will be.
Whether your
capital has allotted to you many more trading quarters, or this
final one which even now wears out Wall Streets and Main Street on
the hills placed opposite – Be Smart, Drink you wine.
Scale back your
long hopes to a short period of trading.
While we speak,
envious time will have already fled. Seize the day and place no
trust in tomorrow.
So for day
traders who are using the mechanical systems, close out your
positions at EOD or risk you fortune tomorrow, for nobody knows
what might happen with 100% certainty.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 02:21 pm
There was a warning sign on the 5 min chart to get out. As you
can see, Neg Divergence took place on MACD after making a new
intraday high on SRS, then the K% gave a sell signal
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
well said...
maybe the market will never go down again.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 23rd of Jul 2009 at 10:07 am
well said...
The nadaq just filled its
Posted by johnc4b13 on 23rd of Jul 2009 at 10:06 am
The nadaq just filled its gap from Oct 2008
Ok, good...we are now getting
maybe the market will never go down again.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 23rd of Jul 2009 at 10:00 am
Ok, good...we are now getting seeing that people are getting bullish enough for this market to turn...lol
Volatility
Posted by johnc4b13 on 21st of Jul 2009 at 04:14 pm
How do you act during the stock market volatility?
If you’re always reacting to the stock markets ups and downs mood swings, and don’t have a plan to buy or sell at a pivot point, then you will always depend upon what the news or other traders tell you. You’re will not have to power to choose for yourself. You’re emotions will dictate your choices.
Bull and the Bear story
Posted by johnc4b13 on 21st of Jul 2009 at 12:01 pm
The story that the father told his son about the bulls and the bears.
Dylan! If you had a choice to be either a Bull or a Bear, what animal would you choose?
“I don’t know. What should I be?” says Dylan
Well, Dylan that depends on the situation the market is in. You could be a bull or ride the bull, by buying a stock or going long a stock by anticipating the stock to go up in value. A bull usually has the tendency to take the offense position by using its ivory horns in an upward momentum to fight against anything that is getting in its way to get to the top. In fact, the majority of investors like to ride the bull, or be called bulls, because that’s the way society in America natured most of them to think and invest.
What does the bull fight against when it’s trying to go up? Dylan says.
It fights against the bear. The bear is the opponent in the battle. The bear takes the defense position by attacking the bull with its sharp claws. In order for the bear to win the battle, it must attack with its claws in a strong downward momentum. Most investors don’t like being a bear or piggybacking on a bear, unless they are using a dollar cost averaging strategy, which will be later explained. Traders on the other hand, like being a bear, because they can profit when price go down, by shorting or selling borrowed stock.
So, when the stock is trending down, the bear is winning? Dylan is asking
Yes, the bear is in control.
“Could I be both?” says Dylan
Yes, you can Dylan, but you need to know when and how to be with the bear or with the bull.
If you’re thinking about riding the bull, you must have good reasons for getting on. Once you’re on the bull, hold on tight as its jumps up and down very rough. In the financial markets, this up and down momentum is called volatility. Volatility can cause you to have headaches, and nausea if you don’t have a plan and have experience it for the very first time. ………. The key to riding the bull or piggybacking on a bear is successfully is positioning your mind, body and emotions strongly and properly.
Knowing how to get off the bull before he throws you off is important to your survival as an investor/trader. You either voluntarily jump from the bull (when you see it getting tired of going up) and land on your feet without any injuries to yourself (account) or you let the bull throw you violently from his back and onto the ground with major injuries to your body and psychological being (account).
Now, with the bear, if you’re thinking of piggybacking with the bear, you must be aware of how violently it could get once it starts striking down with its sharp claws on anything that gets in its way. If you piggyback properly on the bear, you can see how investors and trader become so fearful for their lives(investments), which in case, you will stand to profit if you’re still in tune with the bear at the right time, and at the right circumstances, however.
After experiencing enough bull rides, or bear piggybacks, you’re going to find out that it’s better to be on the right side, even if it means, not riding the bull or experiencing a piggyback with the bear, but doing absolutely nothing, until the trade comes you’re way. If you have the characteristics of being a patient person, then you’ll find out how much you can save by cutting your losses, or gaining once you let the market come to you.
If you want to trade the stock market every day, then you want to be on the right side of the trade.
How? How ? How????? Dylan says
That’s the best question, yet most difficult question to answer.
From my experience as a trader in disguise and from the stories that I have heard from all traders, novices or professionals, I have found that one must accept that nobody can ever guaranteed a 100% probability for a trade to move in one direction. If the probability is 99% moving up, it still has a 1% probability of moving down, however. A professional trader will trade in the favor that has the best probability of going in one direction, yet will be flexible in case in doesn’t trade in that direction. Therefore, the only way, a trader will be on the right side of the trade, will be understood after understanding the following cycles of Ignorance. For example, during my research and experience, as trader, I now know, what I didn’t know, what I should have known, when I didn’t know, why I didn’t know. How I didn’t know, what I now know will always be the mystery within our search for the Holy Grail as a trader, however.
Cspirit, what was you criteria for
SRS
Posted by johnc4b13 on 20th of Jul 2009 at 03:29 pm
Cspirit,
what was you criteria for taking a long on SRS?
I agree matt, Only paying members
SRS
Posted by johnc4b13 on 20th of Jul 2009 at 12:46 pm
I agree matt,
Only paying members should post here.
SRS awareness
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 03:56 pm
It seems that everybody was looking forward to having SRS mechanical system triggered to the long side, and because of it, it didn't produce or play out the way we wanted.
It like when everybody see the H & S and because of that knowledge and awareness, it doesn't work out.
Lol
SRS
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 02:51 pm
SRS is really a roller coaster today. The mechanical system did turn on to a buy, but wow, one must really let it do its job, or it will take your emotions on the wild side
VIX down = Greed in place
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 01:41 pm
Since the VIX is down 4%, there is so little fear now in the market that it's scaring me as to what might happen next
I'm curious to know who is chasing the market and if their strategy is based on hope, or greed?
VIX dropping 4%....hmmm
Posted by johnc4b13 on 17th of Jul 2009 at 12:26 pm
VIX dropping 4%....hmmm
Evening Star or Shooting Star
SPY- Red Candel ,Shooting Star
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 09:10 pm
That is interesting! How can that be? The SPX closed up 8 points today without reversing alot.
Matt, any thoughts on this Red Evening or Shooting Star that formed on the Daily SPY today or is my tradestation chart not working correctly.
please advise
Carpe Diem? Anybody heard of it before?
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 08:42 pm
Carpe in Diem in as a Day trader???
Odes 1.11 Latin Version in English
Don’t ask (it’s forbidden to know) what final fate the gods have What end the gods will give me or you.
Don’t play with Babylonia fortune-telling either.
It is better to endure whatever will be.
Whether Jupiter has allotted to you many more winters, or this final one which even now wears out the Tyrrhenian Sea on the rocks placed opposite – be smart, drink you wine.
Scale back your long hopes to a short period.
While we speak, envious time will have already fled. Seize the day and place no trust in tomorrow.
My new Version as a trader
Don’t ask (Why it or this happened) what final fate the financial markets have what end the financial markets will give me or you.
Don’t play with government or talking heads on CNBC fortune-telling either.
It is better to endure whatever will be.
Whether your capital has allotted to you many more trading quarters, or this final one which even now wears out Wall Streets and Main Street on the hills placed opposite – Be Smart, Drink you wine.
Scale back your long hopes to a short period of trading.
While we speak, envious time will have already fled. Seize the day and place no trust in tomorrow.
So for day traders who are using the mechanical systems, close out your positions at EOD or risk you fortune tomorrow, for nobody knows what might happen with 100% certainty.
actually 5 min chart was
SRS
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 03:09 pm
actually 5 min chart was the positive divergence
SRS
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 03:08 pm
bang bang bang! shot my leg off, but reloaded again on SRS at 18.60
Postive Divergence on the 15 min chart as it made double bottom
XLF and IYR are lagging.
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 02:45 pm
XLF and IYR are lagging. Might bring down the market now that it extremely overbought.
There was a warning sign
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 02:21 pm
There was a warning sign on the 5 min chart to get out. As you can see, Neg Divergence took place on MACD after making a new intraday high on SRS, then the K% gave a sell signal
SRS
Does anyone see this on the SRS 5 min chart? Just ...
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 02:08 pm
bang bang bang. took position 18.75 for a scalp back to 19.33 Stop at 18.55
SRS
Does anyone see this on the SRS 5 min chart? Just ...
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 01:46 pm
Ok, waiting to load the shootgun now at 18.75-18.60 on SRS, but will wait till it makes a Pos Divergence on the 5 and 15 min charts
Does anyone see this on
Posted by johnc4b13 on 16th of Jul 2009 at 01:10 pm
Does anyone see this on the SRS 5 min chart?
Just made Neg Divergence. so it might go back to to test yesterdays lows?