Sharing the latest BaR Grid from Econ PI. The
indicators (summarized by the green and red dots) have been
trending down and into the decline quad the last few months.
Well, Friday we had the mean of coordinates and leading
indicators switch into the expansion quad, albeit very low to zero.
Not saying we are avoiding a recession, but the fact that
this chart has been so stubborn is interesting to me. Why
would the Fed pivot with strong jobs (professionals and
construction workers remain in strong demand and with increasing
wages) and growth (even weak growth)? Seems they may need to
raise more than most expect...perhaps in a few months once they
realize they didn't go far enough? Definitely different than
past cycles I've experienced.
SPX chart showing BPTs primary view. With everyone waiting
for a fail at 4,300ish, I wonder if we can an extended C.
1.61 x A is way up above 4,700, and would also set up a
double top. Certainly seems possible after a down 2022 and
the recession remaining allusive. Just something I found
interesting.
What's the best way to hedge against the major wave C downtrend
that should be coming per BPTs long term forecasting? Short
SPY/QQQ or by the 1x inverse funds? Was hoping for the santa
rally to employ some hedges against the longer term holdings.
Santa on strike! The 60 and 120 min charts from the
newsletter look to have weakened structure and a continuation of
the down trend. What's the line in the sand? A loss of
the 3764 low, or the 61% fib at 3724? Had been hoping to make
some adjustments into strength!
I'm sure this will be in the newsletter, but I've been tracking
the favored SPX mapping and look how those symmetry moves and
supports/fibs align on this 2 hour chart. Interesting...
Thanks for the update. I forgot to bid on the 8 week bills
like I planned to. Took a 1 month brokered CD @ 3.35% as an
alternative. I have a short term expiring mid-month so I'll
hopefully be ready for the next t-bill auction!
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Wow, its not like Plainfield
Walmart just announced closing 3 locations in IL due to ...
Posted by jared95 on 8th of Feb 2023 at 08:57 pm
Wow, its not like Plainfield is some tiny little out of the way town!
So if they each get
Dell to slash over 6,000 jobs amid 'uncertain market future'
Posted by jared95 on 6th of Feb 2023 at 09:48 am
So if they each get 2 part time jobs does that mean we just created 12,000 new jobs?
Sharing the latest BaR Grid
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Feb 2023 at 01:54 pm
Sharing the latest BaR Grid from Econ PI. The indicators (summarized by the green and red dots) have been trending down and into the decline quad the last few months. Well, Friday we had the mean of coordinates and leading indicators switch into the expansion quad, albeit very low to zero. Not saying we are avoiding a recession, but the fact that this chart has been so stubborn is interesting to me. Why would the Fed pivot with strong jobs (professionals and construction workers remain in strong demand and with increasing wages) and growth (even weak growth)? Seems they may need to raise more than most expect...perhaps in a few months once they realize they didn't go far enough? Definitely different than past cycles I've experienced.
http://www.econpi.com/index.php
SPX chart showing BPTs primary
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Feb 2023 at 01:42 pm
SPX chart showing BPTs primary view. With everyone waiting for a fail at 4,300ish, I wonder if we can an extended C. 1.61 x A is way up above 4,700, and would also set up a double top. Certainly seems possible after a down 2022 and the recession remaining allusive. Just something I found interesting.
ADM bear flag into the
Posted by jared95 on 12th of Jan 2023 at 08:40 pm
ADM bear flag into the 9ema on the daily
MDT - thoughts on this
Posted by jared95 on 9th of Jan 2023 at 03:27 pm
MDT - thoughts on this wedge-like pattern?
https://schrts.co/NwFtBwmd
schrts.co
MDT | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for MDT, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
So far ES remains in
Posted by jared95 on 6th of Jan 2023 at 08:44 am
So far ES remains in a range on this 2hr chart...
8 week T-bills priced at
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Jan 2023 at 03:27 pm
8 week T-bills priced at 4.5%...not too bad for a cash stash
It's the Florida Gators pattern...chop...chop...chop
SPX 15
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Jan 2023 at 03:26 pm
It's the Florida Gators pattern...chop...chop...chop
What's the best way to
Posted by jared95 on 30th of Dec 2022 at 12:41 pm
What's the best way to hedge against the major wave C downtrend that should be coming per BPTs long term forecasting? Short SPY/QQQ or by the 1x inverse funds? Was hoping for the santa rally to employ some hedges against the longer term holdings.
Santa on strike! The 60
Posted by jared95 on 28th of Dec 2022 at 12:17 pm
Santa on strike! The 60 and 120 min charts from the newsletter look to have weakened structure and a continuation of the down trend. What's the line in the sand? A loss of the 3764 low, or the 61% fib at 3724? Had been hoping to make some adjustments into strength!
ABT is also hitting a
Posted by jared95 on 9th of Dec 2022 at 12:36 pm
ABT is also hitting a symmetry target on the daily. $14 was the largest up move, and it is currently about a buck above. Will she or won't she?
"No one could have seen
Forever Young. Steve
Posted by jared95 on 9th of Dec 2022 at 08:46 am
"No one could have seen this coming"
Woohoo! Got some 8 weekers
T Bill auction results, investment rates:16 day-3.859%4 week-3.859%8 week-4.101%
Posted by jared95 on 17th of Nov 2022 at 09:30 pm
Woohoo! Got some 8 weekers this time!
Nope, maybe that is why
JO looks like it's headed to 200 wma on weekly
Posted by jared95 on 15th of Nov 2022 at 11:08 am
Nope, maybe that is why they are rallying...fat margins!
Stay out of trouble up
I will NOT be here on Friday, traveling with the Family to Chicago
Posted by jared95 on 10th of Nov 2022 at 09:36 pm
Stay out of trouble up there Matt!
I'm sure this will be
Posted by jared95 on 9th of Nov 2022 at 07:34 pm
I'm sure this will be in the newsletter, but I've been tracking the favored SPX mapping and look how those symmetry moves and supports/fibs align on this 2 hour chart. Interesting...
PANW looks like a big
Posted by jared95 on 8th of Nov 2022 at 09:40 am
PANW looks like a big H&S sitting on top of a gap
https://schrts.co/KBnBbYVm
schrts.co
PANW | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for PANW, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
Goldman cutting S&P earnings forecast https://seekingalpha.com/news/3902366-goldman-cuts-its-2023-earnings-forecast-to-0
Posted by jared95 on 6th of Nov 2022 at 08:21 pm
Goldman cutting S&P earnings forecast
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3902366-goldman-cuts-its-2023-earnings-forecast-to-0
seekingalpha.com
Goldman cuts its 2023 earnings forecast to 0% | Seeking Alpha
Broader market earnings will go nowhere next year, according to Goldman Sachs.
Thanks for the update. I
T-Bills auction results from today:4 week-3.681% 8 week-3.958% I got some of ...
Posted by jared95 on 3rd of Nov 2022 at 08:17 pm
Thanks for the update. I forgot to bid on the 8 week bills like I planned to. Took a 1 month brokered CD @ 3.35% as an alternative. I have a short term expiring mid-month so I'll hopefully be ready for the next t-bill auction!