Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 11:47 am
Yup - that's certainly possible if it wants to move
higher. The fact that the DOW moved up above the key level
sited last night negated the intermarket divergence.
Posted by dodgerdog on 27th of Jun 2009 at 01:10 pm
David - while we are looking for anther move lower (at
least a near test of the lows which would be a triangle - all other
scenarios would call for lower lows), you shouldn't lose any sleep
over it anyway. We will not (under any circumstances)
position short if the technicals do NOT support.
So in the end it's nothing to worry about since we don't trade
(even swing trade) off long term predictions. Instead, we
play the trend and stick with the trend until it changes.
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:25 pm
Thanks for the summary rp - and your comments on volume are
correct. Volume much more important for long breakouts.
It surely helps shorts on volume breakdowns but it's not
necessary.
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:11 pm
Quick Note - Russell Rebalancing Today
dodgerdog- June 26, 2009 08:53am
The rebalance of the Russell Investments indices will be
finalized on June 26th.
Index funds that track the performance of the Russell 3000 will
buy or sell stocks at the close on June 26th based on additions,
deletions and weighting changes within the Russell 3000 and its
components. “Russell Rebalance Day” is often one of the busiest
trading days in the equity markets and a day when stocks added or
deleted to the Russell indices often see elevated trading
volume.
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:09 pm
Nice chart - may get another push up in the wedge - a decisive
break of the lower trendline would be bearish (taking out the other
trendline as well). One to keep a close eye on going forward.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
KONG
KONG
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 12:17 pm
I mentioned as a trade setup on Friday - working out nicely. Don't hesistate to at least take some partical profits on this intial thrust.
Yup - that's certainly possible
Dow Wave 5?
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 11:47 am
Yup - that's certainly possible if it wants to move higher. The fact that the DOW moved up above the key level sited last night negated the intermarket divergence.
SPX 15
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 11:15 am
You need to be much
intermediate term bearish?
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 10:53 am
You need to be much more specific - I have no idea who you are citing.
Quick Comment
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 10:52 am
The DOW broke above the key level cited which serves to confirm the other indexes recent highs. Thus, the market is now pushing up to a new recovery high or in the process of setting up a right shoulder as discussed last night.
On what time frame? -
steve
Posted by dodgerdog on 29th of Jun 2009 at 10:44 am
On what time frame? - you need to be specific.
VIX
spx & vix both down
Posted by dodgerdog on 28th of Jun 2009 at 05:57 pm
Watch the DOW
DOW: RENKO WEAKNESS
Posted by dodgerdog on 28th of Jun 2009 at 05:56 pm
30 Year Treasury Yields
TLT
Posted by dodgerdog on 28th of Jun 2009 at 05:56 pm
David - while we are
Opposing views.
Posted by dodgerdog on 27th of Jun 2009 at 01:10 pm
David - while we are looking for anther move lower (at least a near test of the lows which would be a triangle - all other scenarios would call for lower lows), you shouldn't lose any sleep over it anyway. We will not (under any circumstances) position short if the technicals do NOT support.
So in the end it's nothing to worry about since we don't trade (even swing trade) off long term predictions. Instead, we play the trend and stick with the trend until it changes.
KONG
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:27 pm
One to watch breaking over 10 then 10.25 (especially if volume accompanies the move). Volume as now is just so so but could increase on a breakout.
Thanks for the summary rp
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:25 pm
Thanks for the summary rp - and your comments on volume are correct. Volume much more important for long breakouts. It surely helps shorts on volume breakdowns but it's not necessary.
Very relevant comments - we
FCX wedge
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:23 pm
Very relevant comments - we have all been there at times. Nice trade as well since it respected the trendline.
Just a Reminder
Quick Note - Russell Rebalancing Today
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:11 pm
The rebalance of the Russell Investments indices will be finalized on June 26th.
Index funds that track the performance of the Russell 3000 will buy or sell stocks at the close on June 26th based on additions, deletions and weighting changes within the Russell 3000 and its components. “Russell Rebalance Day” is often one of the busiest trading days in the equity markets and a day when stocks added or deleted to the Russell indices often see elevated trading volume.
Nice chart - may get
xlf
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 12:09 pm
Nice chart - may get another push up in the wedge - a decisive break of the lower trendline would be bearish (taking out the other trendline as well). One to keep a close eye on going forward.
Nice chart Michael - thanks
FCX wedge
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 11:57 am
Nice chart Michael - thanks for sharing.
Thanks for the updates on
HGRD and NAVR
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 10:40 am
Thanks for the updates on those Alphahorn - nice finds there.
Nice to see all the input from members.
Great points Dylan - will
cap n trade
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 09:37 am
Great points Dylan - will need to see if they bring the bill to the floor - it they do they will have the votes.
No problem Bill - keep
Thursday June 25th Market Recap FYI - Tonight's discuss is 30 ...
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 09:31 am
No problem Bill - keep up the good work.
The statement about the market
Thursday June 25th Market Recap FYI - Tonight's discuss is 30 ...
Posted by dodgerdog on 26th of Jun 2009 at 09:06 am
The statement about the market was rallying as expected referred to the intraday comments after the reversal based upon the fact that we saw no signs the market was going to rollover after reversing to the upside.
The comments on Wednesday night also stated the a "break" of the trendlines shown on the DOW, SPX, and QQQQ would be an initial sign that the market wanted to rally in the very near term. If you are going to be a day trader, then you MUST adjust rapidly to the market versus swing trading where you will allow for more wiggle room.
Yesterday, we saw a 3 box reversal (point and figure charts) which in normal price activity (a normal corrective move). The question now is will there be a strong follow through to the upside or a reversal from this general area. Should the SPX not be able to clear and HOLD above the 935 area, odds favor a move lower.
A move below 8259 on the DOW would once again put that index on a short term SELL signal.