Posted by dallassteve on 29th of Dec 2011 at 07:58 pm
I am watching the possibility that this could be a major gold
correction, as in 2008, which took gold down 34%. That would
fit nicely with a 50% retrace of the entire move up since 2009.
If this happened, many would be calling the end of the gold
bull, but I think the bull is intact, and if we see gold near 1300,
I am buying!
Posted by dallassteve on 13th of Dec 2011 at 10:10 am
Nice chart, rp
It looks to me that QQQ has some more consolidation to take care
of inside the triangle, so I went short this AM. Things are
really bouncing around, so I may cover after the first nice gain.
Let us know when you do.
Posted by dallassteve on 9th of Dec 2011 at 05:40 pm
Hey, rp
I have been watching the same channel, and waiting for the
correction. I am biased: I would love to see a larger
correction in order to pick up some more physical gold, and silver,
too. Has Matt given up on the possibility of an larger ABC
correction? I have not had time for the newsletters this
week.
GDX is another story. Awful performance this year, just
consolidating. Valuations are at multi-year lows. If we
got a correction here, I would be a big buyer. If we compare
this consolidation to the one in 2004-5, chances are we near the
end of the consolidation period.
Posted by dallassteve on 17th of Nov 2011 at 09:33 am
thanks zwyss,
I like the last paragraph. There are solutions to our
problems, but is there the political will? Not yet. Our
county will be ready for strong medicine only when the (economic)
pain becomes unbearable. I am trying to imagine how much pain
that will be, and I am envisioning a great worldwide
depression.
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Nov 2011 at 02:01 pm
Yes, mg, it sure looks like a bear flag. And as you
pointed out, the QQQ nicely filled its gap. I am going to
short it today. Got to feed my dog lunch first...how did you
get your dog to eat that key?
Looks to me that if the markets are going to turn down, AAPL and
QQQ will lead the way. I like Matt and Steve's charts showing
an ABC correction that could last a few more days. Let's see
what Thursday and Friday bring. I bought a few shares of PSQ
a few days ago, and am using the SPY system for signals, too.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
HGSI flag
HGSI
Posted by dallassteve on 24th of Jan 2012 at 01:28 pm
I'm holding on to some of my shares, hoping it is a bull flag.
SSRI
Posted by dallassteve on 24th of Jan 2012 at 09:58 am
just filled the gap from yesterday, and touching the 17 day uptrend support line. sorry, I could not get my etrade chart to post here.
I bought a small position at 15.46.
Anyone think this is a buy?
10 EMA is around 15.28 on my daily chart, so still riding above this support.
SLV
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Jan 2012 at 01:42 pm
Thanks for your thoughts. I am in cash, waiting to see what SLV is going to do. I am expecting more downside, and being cautious.
major gold correction
gdx/gld
Posted by dallassteve on 29th of Dec 2011 at 07:58 pm
I am watching the possibility that this could be a major gold correction, as in 2008, which took gold down 34%. That would fit nicely with a 50% retrace of the entire move up since 2009. If this happened, many would be calling the end of the gold bull, but I think the bull is intact, and if we see gold near 1300, I am buying!
some of us are still around
SPX market charts
Posted by dallassteve on 19th of Dec 2011 at 06:17 pm
The market action is still interesting, and your comments very useful. Personally, I prefer brief newsletters.
QQQ gap fill
Posted by dallassteve on 14th of Dec 2011 at 10:13 am
rp, the QQQ filled that gap, and I covered.
Probably too soon, but I can't argue with a 3% gain these days, and it was an obvious target, especially after you pointed it out!
thanks!
no worries
Posted by dallassteve on 13th of Dec 2011 at 10:26 am
thanks, rp
You already gave us a good target, so anything more is just icing on the cake. I'm not trading much either this time of year.
Hope you have a relaxing and wonderful vacation!
I'm with you
Posted by dallassteve on 13th of Dec 2011 at 10:10 am
Nice chart, rp
It looks to me that QQQ has some more consolidation to take care of inside the triangle, so I went short this AM. Things are really bouncing around, so I may cover after the first nice gain. Let us know when you do.
GLD
Posted by dallassteve on 9th of Dec 2011 at 05:40 pm
Hey, rp
I have been watching the same channel, and waiting for the correction. I am biased: I would love to see a larger correction in order to pick up some more physical gold, and silver, too. Has Matt given up on the possibility of an larger ABC correction? I have not had time for the newsletters this week.
GDX is another story. Awful performance this year, just consolidating. Valuations are at multi-year lows. If we got a correction here, I would be a big buyer. If we compare this consolidation to the one in 2004-5, chances are we near the end of the consolidation period.
More at The Daily Gold: http://thedailygold.com/featured/why-gold-stocks-have-underperformed-and-what-lies-ahead/?p=12251/
gold, dollar
long gold ... long silver
Posted by dallassteve on 30th of Nov 2011 at 08:33 am
I am also betting that gold goes higher from here. Perhaps a short-lived move up if the dollar starts showing strength.
I bought some GDX, too. opinions?
inverse H&S = 1237
KEY FOR TOMORROW: The indexes will need to hold approx 50% ...
Posted by dallassteve on 29th of Nov 2011 at 09:47 am
I think chart #9 from the newsletter shows this well, with resistance areas. The measurement looks like 1237-1239
debt problem
BCG
Posted by dallassteve on 17th of Nov 2011 at 09:33 am
thanks zwyss,
I like the last paragraph. There are solutions to our problems, but is there the political will? Not yet. Our county will be ready for strong medicine only when the (economic) pain becomes unbearable. I am trying to imagine how much pain that will be, and I am envisioning a great worldwide depression.
bought PSQ
does this not....
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Nov 2011 at 02:09 pm
Thanks, peanut butter worked great :)
I bought a nice chunk of PSQ at 30.60 (1 X inverse QQQ)
bear flag
does this not....
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Nov 2011 at 02:01 pm
Yes, mg, it sure looks like a bear flag. And as you pointed out, the QQQ nicely filled its gap. I am going to short it today. Got to feed my dog lunch first...how did you get your dog to eat that key?
irrational!
sure is quiet in here.....
Posted by dallassteve on 27th of Oct 2011 at 04:00 pm
Kind of quiet, yes.
When the markets are this irrational, not much to say.
I'm going to add to my short position, but I'm choosing to short the Russell at the close today.
Good trading, everyone.
dollar
Looks like the US Dollar is going to target the ...
Posted by dallassteve on 27th of Oct 2011 at 10:00 am
UUP is still inside the channel on chart #11 of the newsletter.
Such a drop today makes me uncomfortable, but I guess that is the job of the markets. I'm mostly in cash, which is a position while I am uncertain.
Sam Collins
Posted by dallassteve on 20th of Oct 2011 at 09:41 am
FWIW, Sam Collins's newsletter today shows a daily QQQ chart with a slow stochastics sell signal.
http://www.investorplace.com/2011/10/daily-stock-market-news-the-time-to-short-is-now/?sid=HX4695&cp=OZDT&ct=20111020&cc=eletter&en=76199
Looks to me that if the markets are going to turn down, AAPL and QQQ will lead the way. I like Matt and Steve's charts showing an ABC correction that could last a few more days. Let's see what Thursday and Friday bring. I bought a few shares of PSQ a few days ago, and am using the SPY system for signals, too.
gold dealer
Posted by dallassteve on 6th of Oct 2011 at 09:23 am
on the internet, I think Tulving is the best.
Totally professional, take your order, lock in a price, wire them the money, and the gold is in your hands the same week.
No nonsense, no sales pitch. However, if you are new at this and need someone to hold your hand, look elsewhere.
Best prices I have found anywhere, high minimums, however, for gold .
20 oz on gold coins.
IMOS
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Oct 2011 at 09:55 am
short idea from rp
It fell below the 4.91 support this morning. 11% total gain so far.
I would like to add to my position if there is a small bounce.
gold: bounce then down
correction in gold is not over..this is bounce than down
Posted by dallassteve on 3rd of Oct 2011 at 09:33 am
I agree with you, desertrat.
Matt's chart (#7 newsletter) looks textbook perfect. Of course, timing is everything. Are you going to play a bounce, or wait until it ends?