Posted by caddpro123 on 23rd of Jun 2016 at 07:57 am
"The frenzied dealmaking and diverging strike prices suggested
dueling forces as investors grew nervous about the potential impact
of the vote on the market - prices could fall or rise by as much as
5 percent.
It was most evident in bullish bets.
COMEX July gold calls that give the holder the option to buy at
$1,300 per ounce and $1,325 were some of the most actively traded
on the day.
Activity in July puts with strike
prices of $1,200 and $1,220 was also almost as busy. They all
expire on Monday.
Combined turnover in the four
contracts equated to close to 638,000 ounces of bullion worth more
than $800 million."
Excerpt from this article published this evening in England.It
is worth reading.
Leave gets the edge - TNS & Opinium published 22 June
Two official surveys were published in quick succession on
Wednesday night, hours before voters go to the polls. And they show
both camps neck and neck - but with Leave in the lead. A TNS online
poll of 2,320 people on June 16-22 showed a two-point lead for
Brexit- with Leave on 43% and Remain on 41%.
Some 11% of voters still said they don't know while another 5%
said they don't intend to vote. An Opinium poll of 3,011 people
from June 20-22, again online, put Leave on 45% and Remain on 44%.
But it found far more people expect the Remain camp to triumph
tomorrow (46%) than the
Brexitcamp (27%). Another 27% don't know how it will do.
Just as an aside I am half English. My mother is a British
subject. I have literally hundreds of relatives in England. And
from what I gather they are generally leaning toward leaving. This
despite the media trying so hard to paint a different picture.
However, as group they are hardly representative of the average
Brit with nearly all holding undergraduate degrees. With many
holding Masters degrees and quite a few with PHD's. For what it is
worth......
Posted by caddpro123 on 7th of Jun 2016 at 12:32 am
My apologies as I thought that my comments suggested precisely
that she was aiding the markets. While her actions are good for the
"market" in many ways and an obvious boon to traders, in my view
they are dangerous for the country as a whole. The FED must
take credit for among other things, destroying the US dollar
and many would argue our standard of living along with it. Not to
mention the endless boom bust cycles which are so devastating to
most Americans. Therefore, looking at her actions from the
perspective of the country as a whole, Yellen and the FED as a
whole are trouble makers of the worst order.
Posted by caddpro123 on 6th of Jun 2016 at 12:56 pm
FED comments today on rate hike courtesy of CNBC (which for the
record I usually avoid)
It's a "fair assessment" that the chances of a June rate hike
are now much lower, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James
Bullard
told
TheWall Street Journalon Monday.
On the other hand, Janet Yellen ever the trouble maker said
"Although this recent labor market report was, on balance,
concerning, let me emphasize that one should never attach too much
significance to any single monthly report,"
"inevitable uncertainty surrounding the outlook for the
economy."
"The uncertainties are sizable, and progress toward our goals
and, by implication, the appropriate stance of monetary policy will
depend on how these uncertainties evolve,"
My take: there is no money to be made in transparent markets
without volatility, so by all means, lets cloud the issues and make
some more........
Posted by caddpro123 on 27th of May 2016 at 09:31 am
Her seemingly unrelated and/or off the cuff remarks have roiled
the market on more than one occasion. Which in turn brings with it
the potential for late day volatility. One more reason to
take the day off? I usually don't carry positions over long Holiday
weekends anyway. Very light volume at the open in the metals today.
Steve Matt what are your thoughts on this? I realize this has been
discussed before.
Posted by caddpro123 on 19th of May 2016 at 08:04 am
From 1913 through the end of 2015, the Federal Reserve has, with
all the skill, expertise, knowledge, wisdom and power at their
command taken the value of what was arguably the strongest currency
in the world, the dollar, backed by gold, to the point where it is
worth comparatively speaking about 2-1/2 cents backed by Trillions
in debt. Perhaps even more impressive it the fact that the Forbes
400 now own more wealth than the poorest 62% of
Americans. Which at least from my perspective as an investor,
suggests that the rest of us should take heed, but have little
faith in the Federal Reserve, beyond it's ability to separate us
from our hard earned money.
Posted by caddpro123 on 13th of May 2016 at 04:30 pm
Commercial Gold Net Short = 314289 is this by any chance a new
record? Regardless does it suggest a sharp correction going into
the summer doldrums? Interesting action this week in the metals all
things considered. Not your everyday as it were.
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 03:22 pm
True enough Matt. I just offered it as a point of interest given
how bearish JP Morgan has been of late regarding the metals. They
have rarely provided me with any profitable insight. Generally
speaking, I consider them background noise to be ignored.
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 02:32 pm
I believe breaking 1300 in May would be a strong buy signal. The
money in precious metals right now is with the miners, not the
metals themselves. If you wait until the price hits 1380 you will
have missed a golden opportunity. (sorry I couldn't resist) Even at
these levels, the miners as a whole are well below prices of just a
few years ago.
Posted by caddpro123 on 7th of Mar 2016 at 11:41 am
SSRI Short
SSRI just made a bid to acquire Claude Resources
(CLGRF) in a stock swap merger @ .185 per SSRI share .
Claude is a small but profitable Canadian Miner. Judging by the
price movement, SSRI shareholders are not happy. I hold 15K in
Claude and have enjoyed a nice run since last November. But I don't
consider this deal favorable to Claude Shareholders even at $1.23 a
share as it was valued on March 4th. In all likelihood, SSRI will
have dropped by 50% making the true value around 60 cents a share.
This is in my opinion bordering on criminal. These kinds of highly
questionable deals happen all the time with gold and silver
companies. Such is life I am afraid.
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of Feb 2016 at 08:56 am
Good Morning
No comments regarding Gold this morning. I am surprised given it
is up $36 already and GDX volume approaching 2 Million in the
pre-market
Answer: I posted charts above showing
Gold. The falling wedge has been shown for weeks in newsletters and
the time to act was weeks ago for entry and now to manage in
accordance with YOUR objectives. Further, I also showed the US
Dollar in a rising wedge (wave B remember?) that broke down and
served as the major catalyst for the recent move in gold.
Posted by caddpro123 on 10th of Dec 2015 at 10:36 am
Good Morning
You have a valid point sbaxman111. Assuming one is willing to
accept the notion that paper prices accurately reflect real world
market conditions then we are all in trouble. Which in turns begs
the question; Are real world market conditions accurately driving
equity prices? Or are equity prices (easily manipulated and
distorted) driving actual market conditions? I think that over the
last 20 years in particular, there is ample evidence that in many
sectors it is the latter. The best example, and one that is
readily discernable to even a casual observer, are the commodities
markets in general and gold and silver in particular.
The simple fact of the matter is that human nature being what it
is, if a system can be rigged for profit, it usually is. And it
will continue to be rigged until such time as the system fails, or
the consequences of being caught outweigh the profits. We are
tittering on the edge of the precipice. Sadly, it is not because
the criminals are facing penalties, but because they have driven
the system to the brink. And the real tragedy is that ultimately
the consequences of those actions will not be borne by the guilty
parties, rather the working class people whose money they have been
stealing. IMHO of course.
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From Reuters on gold -- I decided to sit this one out.....
Posted by caddpro123 on 23rd of Jun 2016 at 07:57 am
"The frenzied dealmaking and diverging strike prices suggested dueling forces as investors grew nervous about the potential impact of the vote on the market - prices could fall or rise by as much as 5 percent.
It was most evident in bullish bets. COMEX July gold calls that give the holder the option to buy at $1,300 per ounce and $1,325 were some of the most actively traded on the day.
Activity in July puts with strike prices of $1,200 and $1,220 was also almost as busy. They all expire on Monday.
Combined turnover in the four contracts equated to close to 638,000 ounces of bullion worth more than $800 million."
Not so fast
Place your bets!
Posted by caddpro123 on 22nd of Jun 2016 at 02:10 pm
Don't count on the "bookies" to be an accurate guide
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/eu-referendum-2016-poll-results-7699714
Excerpt from this article published this evening in England.It is worth reading.
Leave gets the edge - TNS & Opinium published 22 June
Two official surveys were published in quick succession on Wednesday night, hours before voters go to the polls. And they show both camps neck and neck - but with Leave in the lead. A TNS online poll of 2,320 people on June 16-22 showed a two-point lead for Brexit- with Leave on 43% and Remain on 41%.
Some 11% of voters still said they don't know while another 5% said they don't intend to vote. An Opinium poll of 3,011 people from June 20-22, again online, put Leave on 45% and Remain on 44%. But it found far more people expect the Remain camp to triumph tomorrow (46%) than the Brexitcamp (27%). Another 27% don't know how it will do.
Just as an aside I am half English. My mother is a British subject. I have literally hundreds of relatives in England. And from what I gather they are generally leaning toward leaving. This despite the media trying so hard to paint a different picture. However, as group they are hardly representative of the average Brit with nearly all holding undergraduate degrees. With many holding Masters degrees and quite a few with PHD's. For what it is worth......
A matter of perspective here
Rate hike
Posted by caddpro123 on 7th of Jun 2016 at 12:32 am
My apologies as I thought that my comments suggested precisely that she was aiding the markets. While her actions are good for the "market" in many ways and an obvious boon to traders, in my view they are dangerous for the country as a whole. The FED must take credit for among other things, destroying the US dollar and many would argue our standard of living along with it. Not to mention the endless boom bust cycles which are so devastating to most Americans. Therefore, looking at her actions from the perspective of the country as a whole, Yellen and the FED as a whole are trouble makers of the worst order.
Rate hike
Posted by caddpro123 on 6th of Jun 2016 at 12:56 pm
FED comments today on rate hike courtesy of CNBC (which for the record I usually avoid)
It's a "fair assessment" that the chances of a June rate hike are now much lower, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told The Wall Street Journal on Monday.
On the other hand, Janet Yellen ever the trouble maker said
"Although this recent labor market report was, on balance, concerning, let me emphasize that one should never attach too much significance to any single monthly report,"
"inevitable uncertainty surrounding the outlook for the economy."
"The uncertainties are sizable, and progress toward our goals and, by implication, the appropriate stance of monetary policy will depend on how these uncertainties evolve,"
My take: there is no money to be made in transparent markets without volatility, so by all means, lets cloud the issues and make some more........
Yellens speech in Philadelphia at 12:30 p.m. EDT.
Posted by caddpro123 on 6th of Jun 2016 at 08:43 am
One of the most powerful women on the Planet.
Yellen 1:15 EST Friday May 27th
Posted by caddpro123 on 27th of May 2016 at 09:31 am
Her seemingly unrelated and/or off the cuff remarks have roiled the market on more than one occasion. Which in turn brings with it the potential for late day volatility. One more reason to take the day off? I usually don't carry positions over long Holiday weekends anyway. Very light volume at the open in the metals today. Steve Matt what are your thoughts on this? I realize this has been discussed before.
Interesting take by industry insider on what was really driving yesterday's action in the metal
Posted by caddpro123 on 19th of May 2016 at 10:40 am
https://www.sprottmoney.com/blog/the-epic-battle-continues-craig-hemke.html
The FED's most important and impressive achievement
Fed anxieties
Posted by caddpro123 on 19th of May 2016 at 08:04 am
From 1913 through the end of 2015, the Federal Reserve has, with all the skill, expertise, knowledge, wisdom and power at their command taken the value of what was arguably the strongest currency in the world, the dollar, backed by gold, to the point where it is worth comparatively speaking about 2-1/2 cents backed by Trillions in debt. Perhaps even more impressive it the fact that the Forbes 400 now own more wealth than the poorest 62% of Americans. Which at least from my perspective as an investor, suggests that the rest of us should take heed, but have little faith in the Federal Reserve, beyond it's ability to separate us from our hard earned money.
There was a 10:1 reverse split that went into effect today
DUST
Posted by caddpro123 on 18th of May 2016 at 03:49 pm
A good day to be in cash if you are trading the miners....
GDX comments
Posted by caddpro123 on 18th of May 2016 at 02:24 pm
This is supposed to be recreation in my retirement. On days like this I would rather go fight with my wife
COTS Commecia Gold Net Short up again
Posted by caddpro123 on 13th of May 2016 at 04:30 pm
Commercial Gold Net Short = 314289 is this by any chance a new record? Regardless does it suggest a sharp correction going into the summer doldrums? Interesting action this week in the metals all things considered. Not your everyday as it were.
Major players
JP Morgan predicts $1400 Gold in 2016
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 03:22 pm
True enough Matt. I just offered it as a point of interest given how bearish JP Morgan has been of late regarding the metals. They have rarely provided me with any profitable insight. Generally speaking, I consider them background noise to be ignored.
What is your strategy
JP Morgan predicts $1400 Gold in 2016
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 02:47 pm
It all depends; are you trading the metals, the ETF's or the miners themselves?
Buy signal
JP Morgan predicts $1400 Gold in 2016
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 02:32 pm
I believe breaking 1300 in May would be a strong buy signal. The money in precious metals right now is with the miners, not the metals themselves. If you wait until the price hits 1380 you will have missed a golden opportunity. (sorry I couldn't resist) Even at these levels, the miners as a whole are well below prices of just a few years ago.
JP Morgan predicts $1400 Gold in 2016
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of May 2016 at 02:22 pm
Assuming I didn't miss a post on this JP Morgan pronouncement:
https://news.markets/commodities/1400-beckons-gold-price-jpmorgan-17332/?
9:00 am and GDX hasn't
GDX Daily
Posted by caddpro123 on 2nd of May 2016 at 08:57 am
9:00 am and GDX hasn't even traded 800K
Thoughts on the surprise FED
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of Apr 2016 at 08:37 am
Thoughts on the surprise FED meeting this morning? Or the fact they are meeting with President Obama afterwards?
SSRI Short SSRI just made a
Posted by caddpro123 on 7th of Mar 2016 at 11:41 am
SSRI Short
SSRI just made a bid to acquire Claude Resources (CLGRF) in a stock swap merger @ .185 per SSRI share . Claude is a small but profitable Canadian Miner. Judging by the price movement, SSRI shareholders are not happy. I hold 15K in Claude and have enjoyed a nice run since last November. But I don't consider this deal favorable to Claude Shareholders even at $1.23 a share as it was valued on March 4th. In all likelihood, SSRI will have dropped by 50% making the true value around 60 cents a share. This is in my opinion bordering on criminal. These kinds of highly questionable deals happen all the time with gold and silver companies. Such is life I am afraid.
Good Morning No comments regarding Gold
Posted by caddpro123 on 11th of Feb 2016 at 08:56 am
Good Morning
No comments regarding Gold this morning. I am surprised given it is up $36 already and GDX volume approaching 2 Million in the pre-market
Answer: I posted charts above showing Gold. The falling wedge has been shown for weeks in newsletters and the time to act was weeks ago for entry and now to manage in accordance with YOUR objectives. Further, I also showed the US Dollar in a rising wedge (wave B remember?) that broke down and served as the major catalyst for the recent move in gold.
Good Morning You have a valid
Transports
Posted by caddpro123 on 10th of Dec 2015 at 10:36 am
Good Morning
You have a valid point sbaxman111. Assuming one is willing to accept the notion that paper prices accurately reflect real world market conditions then we are all in trouble. Which in turns begs the question; Are real world market conditions accurately driving equity prices? Or are equity prices (easily manipulated and distorted) driving actual market conditions? I think that over the last 20 years in particular, there is ample evidence that in many sectors it is the latter. The best example, and one that is readily discernable to even a casual observer, are the commodities markets in general and gold and silver in particular.
The simple fact of the matter is that human nature being what it is, if a system can be rigged for profit, it usually is. And it will continue to be rigged until such time as the system fails, or the consequences of being caught outweigh the profits. We are tittering on the edge of the precipice. Sadly, it is not because the criminals are facing penalties, but because they have driven the system to the brink. And the real tragedy is that ultimately the consequences of those actions will not be borne by the guilty parties, rather the working class people whose money they have been stealing. IMHO of course.