huylam, i don't like the looks of the $NYSI chart as it is
getting near the top and the rsi(5) and cci are showing neg div
now...i'm talking about the weekly chart in the long term tools
using the slow stochastics behind the price of weekly chart...maybe
steve or matt could give his opinion on this also as he knows alot
more than me aobut this...thanks in advance steve...matt
here is a quarterly chart of sp500 with commercial cot and large
trader cot...in 1994 the commercials had a high level of positions
and the market went up & up...in 2007 the commercials had a
higher level of positions and the market went down & down...now
the commercials have a higher level of positions...we will know
what happens in time, but there is no way of telling based on past
history imo...
Russell puts alot of credence in what they say and they were
bearish during the last debacle that took us down to 666 in
sp500...i don't know how bearish they are now, i'm not saying it's
incredibly bearish, just that their indicators JUST turned
bearish...
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$BPGDM down to 13.33%
GDX- gold stocks are getting slammed today
Posted by 8899 on 4th of Oct 2011 at 02:21 pm
only 5 stocks left on buy for pnf
matt or steve
Posted by 8899 on 4th of Oct 2011 at 06:09 am
could you please comment on the gdx, thanks
DSI for sep 29
Posted by 8899 on 1st of Oct 2011 at 12:46 am
DSI = daily sentiment index for small traders as collected by jake bernstein...
note that sep 30 was a real downer for grains & silver so the #s are probably still lower for sep 30...note that nasdaq is pretty low also...
moving averages for $BPGDM
Posted by 8899 on 30th of Sep 2011 at 12:49 pm
according to my calculations i get the following for the 5 dma:
(30+30+30+26.66+26.66)/5 = 143.33/5 = 28.666666...
and it's listed @ 28.00 on your website today
similarly for the 8 dma:
(73.33+73.33+46.66+143.33)/8 = 336.666/8 = 42.083333...
and it's listed @ 36.25 on your website today(i used 143.33 as last 5 days + 3 prior days to that) in above calculation...
one more stock turns positive today and we get a buy in gdx according to my calculations...
$vix buy signal...steve...matt
$VIX Buy Signal ?
Posted by 8899 on 26th of Sep 2011 at 12:58 pm
huylam, i don't like the looks of the $NYSI chart as it is getting near the top and the rsi(5) and cci are showing neg div now...i'm talking about the weekly chart in the long term tools using the slow stochastics behind the price of weekly chart...maybe steve or matt could give his opinion on this also as he knows alot more than me aobut this...thanks in advance steve...matt
3 step procedure for vix signal
$VIX Buy Signal ?
Posted by 8899 on 26th of Sep 2011 at 12:47 pm
here are the 3 steps as i understand them:
1. close above bollinger bands (done)
2. close back inside bollinger bands (may be done today)
3. close BELOW the daily price of # 2 above
gold's 150 day moving average
Posted by 8899 on 25th of Sep 2011 at 10:45 pm
150 day moving average for gold
Posted by 8899 on 25th of Sep 2011 at 10:25 pm
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GOLD&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p83409711034
in the last 3 years, except for 2008 the 150 day moving average has been supportive...will see what happens this time...
margin rates raised on gold, silver, etc on monday
Posted by 8899 on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 08:06 pm
CME just hiked gold margins by 21%, silver by 16% and copper by 18%.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/case-closed-cme-hikes-gold-silver-copper-margins?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29
matt, steve, et all, would platinum be better than gold now???
Posted by 8899 on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 11:22 am
usually platinum price is more than gold price & currently
gold = 1678
platinum = 1625
so platinum should outperform gold under those circumstances, no?
i don't mean right this minute, but when a buy signal come
silver was last $2 in dec 1972...
Peter Campbell calling for $2 silver
Posted by 8899 on 22nd of Sep 2011 at 12:21 pm
dow was 1000
sp500 was 100
matt or steve, doesn't this seem highly unlikely?
thank
steve, interpretation please
Shock and Awe? Or Awww Shucks!
Posted by 8899 on 21st of Sep 2011 at 01:18 pm
bump up
steve, interpretation please
Shock and Awe? Or Awww Shucks!
Posted by 8899 on 21st of Sep 2011 at 12:52 pm
for instance, mon 19th shows dow red 35, sp red 45, nas green 55 & russell blue 50...
please excuse my ignorance...thanks in advance
$BPGDM 8 dma
Posted by 8899 on 21st of Sep 2011 at 12:33 pm
the 8 dma > $BPGDM unless we get another stock to go on a buy signal
currently 8dma = 73.75
BPGDM = 73.33
whipsaw city
gdx on a buy now
gdx swing
Posted by 8899 on 20th of Sep 2011 at 11:08 am
the 5 day moving average is 72.67 and gdx is at 73.33...the 5 day moving average changed today from 74 to 72.67...
COT inconclusive
Posted by 8899 on 17th of Sep 2011 at 11:24 pm
here is a quarterly chart of sp500 with commercial cot and large trader cot...in 1994 the commercials had a high level of positions and the market went up & up...in 2007 the commercials had a higher level of positions and the market went down & down...now the commercials have a higher level of positions...we will know what happens in time, but there is no way of telling based on past history imo...
Fed Meeting is sep 20-21
Fed Meetings
Posted by 8899 on 14th of Sep 2011 at 09:59 pm
Fed Meetings
Posted by 8899 on 14th of Sep 2011 at 09:53 pm
here are some graphs of the hui (unhedged gold fund) with the following annotations:
1. arrow denoting 1st day of fed meeting
2. rectangle with date and % of BPGDM on that date
3. percent moves up/down
so if we go down into that meeting, then we may rally for a bit...
btw, the gdx follows the hui closely
Lowry
Lowry's issues sell signal today...from Russell
Posted by 8899 on 14th of Sep 2011 at 07:38 pm
Russell puts alot of credence in what they say and they were bearish during the last debacle that took us down to 666 in sp500...i don't know how bearish they are now, i'm not saying it's incredibly bearish, just that their indicators JUST turned bearish...
Lowry's issues sell signal today...from Russell
Posted by 8899 on 14th of Sep 2011 at 05:21 pm
Note -- Lowry's Selling Pressure index has risen far enough so that Lowry's has issued a
sell signal for its subscribers.