and again, in this fast changing dynamic market; realize that
things can change on a dime, and the gap rule does not tell you
what the rest of the day will do, maybe the first hr or so only
Market gap up but the market is at resistance and so not
surprisingly that gap up was sold and filled.
Also when the market gaps, I like to use the Gapless PSAR as a
guild, generally when the market gaps up if it is below that
gapless PSAR, the gap is sold, and when the market gaps down but is
above the gapless PSAR, the gap is bought. That Psar is in
the Store
Of course you can also follow a 15 min gap rule, do a blog
search for details on that.
And of course, when the market gaps you need to be aware of what
condition the market is in, i.e. is it overbought over oversold, is
it at resistance or support. Remember, the market is at major
resistance i.e. the downtrend line on the daily charts, so not
surprising that the gap up fills.
Otherwise let's see what happens the rest of the day. The
market could either sell off or just pullback and recover again,
we'll see
Looking at a crazy 45 point gap up this morning on SPX futures,
and 350 on Dow futures. I'll be watching my gap indicator
this morning to see if it says anything.
Also remember the 15 min gap rule, just do a blog search with
that key word to pull up past commentary about it
It's a little iffy this morning and can switch on a dime, it's
going back positive now.
But otherwise on your own
employ the 15 min gap rule,do a search on the blog, you'll
find an explanation. You can search by more than one key
words at one time, such as 'gap rule' or '15 min gap rule'
Draw 2 horizontal lines; one at the lows and one at the highs
of the first 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min
high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could
possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below
the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases
greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and
doesn't work all the time!
dylan398- no it didn't I don't count stocks that trigger on
the opening gap as triggered. It gapped down yesterday on the
opening bar and then rallied, you want to give 10 min or so.
Even if you shorted it, you would have exited it when it went back
up, or at least I hope you didn't stay short all day
yesterday. Overall it will probably work out though, but
those MA's are KEY above.
watchlist rules - becareful of the first 10 - 15 min
on gold stocks be on the lookout for a gap up and reversal
today, it's possible since gold stocks have been up so much and
these short term trends sometimes end with gap ups.
It's hard to say at this point, follow the 15 min gap rule to
see if GDX stays above it's 15 min high or not (do a search on the
blog for 15 min gap rule) see how GDX holds up in the morning
my gap indicator reversed after a few minutes and said to buy
the gap. However since you guys can't see it, I would rather
not post it. Remember to follow the 15 min gap rule, do a
search on the blog, the 15 min gap rule, which anyone can employ
here (it's very simple) said to buy the gap
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min
gap rulei.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 -
20 min i.e.
Draw 2 horizontal lines; one at the lows and one at the highs
of the first 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min
high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could
possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below
the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases
greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and
doesn't work all the time!
do a search on the blog for the 15 min gap rule. Also I
have two custom gapless MA's and a gapless Parabolic sar (that are
not affected by gaps), so when the market gaps up, as long as the
price is above the PSAR and the gapless MA's, you buy the
gap. however those are
proprietaryindicators. The gap system doesn't tell you
about the whole day, just what to do in the morning. use the
15 min gap rule below
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min
gap rulei.e. see how the
market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the 1st
15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle
bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could possibly hold
up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low,
then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly.
Realize that this is just a technique only and doesn't work all the
time!
here's an example, the 7/21 EMA
crossover is not part of the
gap rule
it said not to buy the gap down, but remember it's not infalible
and only for the morning. Also remember to review the 15 min
gap rule, you don't need special indicators for that one.
Unfortunately these days, gaps are the rule instead of the
exception; it seems like now the market gaps 8 days out of 10
instead of the other way around, which is just another reason that
we are in a bear maket. In Bear markets you have lots of gap
days because emotion and news is even more of a factor than
normal. However Bull markets don't gap all the time like this
and are opposite.
it said to buy the gap down, remember I'm going to be at the
computer much, also that gap indicator only tells you about the
morning not the rest of the day. Also look up the 15 min gap
rule on the blog, I think that came into play as well
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min
gap rule i.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min
i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and
one at the highs of the 1st 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay
above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered positive and
the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market
falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading
increases greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only
and doesn't work all the time!
here's an example, the 7/21 EMA crossover is not part of the gap
rule
I added more picks to the Watch
List. One note...please be very cautious about Long long on a
big gap up!! Many times gaps fade, therefore it's a good idea
to see to employ a gap rule and see how the gap acts during the 1st
15 min.
One way to do this is on a 5 min
chart, draw two horizontal lines; one at the high point of the 1st
three candles, and one at the low point of the 1st three candles; a
break of the high after the 1st 15 min is generally positive, while
a break of the low after the 1st 15 min is negative and the gap
often fills, or at least partially. In any case, one must put in a
STOP just in case the market were to reverse course.
If the Gap Up Fades,
EEV(ultra short emerging markets would be one way
to play a gap fade for aggressive traders)
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min
gap rule i.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min
i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and
one at the highs of the 1st 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay
above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered posititve
and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the
market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap
fading increases greatly. Realize tht this is just a
technique only doesn't work all the time!
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Gap Indicator education
Posted by matt on 22nd of Jul 2010 at 09:46 am
Quick video:
http://breakpointtrades.com/jing/2010-07-22_0842.swf
Also you can imploy a simple 15 min rule, I've posted this on the blog many times, here's a link to an old post
http://breakpointtrades.com/blog/post/55369/
the blog search works well, use it guys!
and again, in this fast changing dynamic market; realize that things can change on a dime, and the gap rule does not tell you what the rest of the day will do, maybe the first hr or so only
Remember today, Bernanke speaks as well
follow the 15 min gap
What do you look at to see if this bounce ...
Posted by matt on 22nd of Jul 2010 at 09:18 am
follow the 15 min gap rule and I'll post the gap indicators that I use, which is the gapless PSAR etc.
Market Comments
Posted by matt on 21st of Jul 2010 at 10:00 am
Market gap up but the market is at resistance and so not surprisingly that gap up was sold and filled.
Also when the market gaps, I like to use the Gapless PSAR as a guild, generally when the market gaps up if it is below that gapless PSAR, the gap is sold, and when the market gaps down but is above the gapless PSAR, the gap is bought. That Psar is in the Store
Of course you can also follow a 15 min gap rule, do a blog search for details on that.
And of course, when the market gaps you need to be aware of what condition the market is in, i.e. is it overbought over oversold, is it at resistance or support. Remember, the market is at major resistance i.e. the downtrend line on the daily charts, so not surprising that the gap up fills.
Otherwise let's see what happens the rest of the day. The market could either sell off or just pullback and recover again, we'll see
Crazy morning gap up
Posted by matt on 10th of May 2010 at 09:15 am
Looking at a crazy 45 point gap up this morning on SPX futures, and 350 on Dow futures. I'll be watching my gap indicator this morning to see if it says anything.
Also remember the 15 min gap rule, just do a blog search with that key word to pull up past commentary about it
It's a little iffy this
Matt/Steve
Posted by matt on 11th of Nov 2009 at 09:56 am
It's a little iffy this morning and can switch on a dime, it's going back positive now.
But otherwise on your own employ the 15 min gap rule,do a search on the blog, you'll find an explanation. You can search by more than one key words at one time, such as 'gap rule' or '15 min gap rule'
It's not positive, but don't
Matt/Steve
Posted by matt on 11th of Nov 2009 at 09:49 am
It's not positive, but don't be the farm on it, it could change around too.
also remember to employ a 15 min gap rule on your own (do a blog search).
so far it's positive and
Matt/Steve
Posted by matt on 9th of Nov 2009 at 09:38 am
so far it's positive and says gap will hold.
Also remember the 15 min gap rule:
Draw 2 horizontal lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the first 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and doesn't work all the time!
dylan398 - no it didn't I
V
Posted by matt on 26th of Jun 2009 at 11:20 am
dylan398 - no it didn't I don't count stocks that trigger on the opening gap as triggered. It gapped down yesterday on the opening bar and then rallied, you want to give 10 min or so. Even if you shorted it, you would have exited it when it went back up, or at least I hope you didn't stay short all day yesterday. Overall it will probably work out though, but those MA's are KEY above.
watchlist rules - becareful of the first 10 - 15 min
http://www.breakpointtrades.net/membersonly/Watchlist/home.html
gold stocks - keep an eye on them
Posted by matt on 29th of May 2009 at 09:48 am
on gold stocks be on the lookout for a gap up and reversal today, it's possible since gold stocks have been up so much and these short term trends sometimes end with gap ups.
It's hard to say at this point, follow the 15 min gap rule to see if GDX stays above it's 15 min high or not (do a search on the blog for 15 min gap rule) see how GDX holds up in the morning
my gap indicator reversed after
GAP
Posted by matt on 28th of Apr 2009 at 10:09 am
my gap indicator reversed after a few minutes and said to buy the gap. However since you guys can't see it, I would rather not post it. Remember to follow the 15 min gap rule, do a search on the blog, the 15 min gap rule, which anyone can employ here (it's very simple) said to buy the gap
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min gap rulei.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min i.e.
Draw 2 horizontal lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the first 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and doesn't work all the time!
it said not to buy
gap indicator
Posted by matt on 14th of Apr 2009 at 09:39 am
it said not to buy the gap, but again use the 15 min gap rule as well
do a search on the
looks like another big gap, every day the market gaps ...
Posted by matt on 9th of Apr 2009 at 09:59 am
do a search on the blog for the 15 min gap rule. Also I have two custom gapless MA's and a gapless Parabolic sar (that are not affected by gaps), so when the market gaps up, as long as the price is above the PSAR and the gapless MA's, you buy the gap. however those are proprietaryindicators. The gap system doesn't tell you about the whole day, just what to do in the morning. use the 15 min gap rule below
---
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min gap rulei.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the 1st 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and doesn't work all the time!
here's an example, the 7/21 EMA crossover is not part of the gap rule
it said not to buy
gap indicator
Posted by matt on 7th of Apr 2009 at 09:41 am
it said not to buy the gap down, but remember it's not infalible and only for the morning. Also remember to review the 15 min gap rule, you don't need special indicators for that one.
Unfortunately these days, gaps are the rule instead of the exception; it seems like now the market gaps 8 days out of 10 instead of the other way around, which is just another reason that we are in a bear maket. In Bear markets you have lots of gap days because emotion and news is even more of a factor than normal. However Bull markets don't gap all the time like this and are opposite.
it said to buy the
gap indicator
Posted by matt on 6th of Apr 2009 at 10:06 am
it said to buy the gap down, remember I'm going to be at the computer much, also that gap indicator only tells you about the morning not the rest of the day. Also look up the 15 min gap rule on the blog, I think that came into play as well
gap example.png Remember to employ a
Posted by matt on 2nd of Apr 2009 at 09:42 am
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min gap rule i.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the 1st 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered positive and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly. Realize that this is just a technique only and doesn't work all the time!
here's an example, the 7/21 EMA crossover is not part of the gap rule
Watch List and comments
Posted by matt on 4th of Nov 2008 at 08:47 am
I added more picks to the Watch List. One note...please be very cautious about Long long on a big gap up!! Many times gaps fade, therefore it's a good idea to see to employ a gap rule and see how the gap acts during the 1st 15 min.
One way to do this is on a 5 min chart, draw two horizontal lines; one at the high point of the 1st three candles, and one at the low point of the 1st three candles; a break of the high after the 1st 15 min is generally positive, while a break of the low after the 1st 15 min is negative and the gap often fills, or at least partially. In any case, one must put in a STOP just in case the market were to reverse course.
If the Gap Up Fades, EEV(ultra short emerging markets would be one way to play a gap fade for aggressive traders)
Remember to employ a 15
Posted by matt on 28th of Oct 2008 at 09:31 am
Remember to employ a 15 - 20 min gap rule i.e. see how the market holds up the 1st 15 - 20 min i.e.
Draw 2 lines; one at the lows and one at the highs of the 1st 15 - 20 min. If the market can stay above the 15 min high candle bar, the it is considered posititve and the gap could possibly hold up for the day , however if the market falls below the 15 min low, then the likelihood of the gap fading increases greatly. Realize tht this is just a technique only doesn't work all the time!