VIX Daily with BB's

    Posted by steve on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:02 pm

    Once this got back above the lower Bollinger Band that was another good signal.  It gapped up today after showing a hollow red candle yesterday.

    A good signal for the

    Posted by breakout123 on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:09 pm

    A good signal for the market to go down?

    Or a good signal for a bounce?

    Yes, when the VIX closed

    Posted by matt on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:18 pm

    Yes, when the VIX closed out side of the bollinger bands yesterday, that was a great sign.  In fact, all last year that never failed, each time you crossed outside the bollinger bands, it gave a nice signal either for a pullback or a rally.

    VIX chart

    Here's a quick video on

    Posted by matt on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:28 pm

    Here's a quick video on the VIX and bollinger bands

    I'd love to write a system on this, so that I can back test it and see the actual stats.  So if someone here is bored?  would be nice to see that.  Obviously doesn't give many trades, but would be nice to see the stats

    http://breakpointtrades.com/jing/2010-01-12_1226.swf

    Thanks Matt. That's helpful.   So, when

    Posted by deberah on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:40 pm

    Thanks Matt. That's helpful.  

    So, when it moves back in between the bands,does that mean that a bounce is forthecoming?

    Deberah - Here it is

    Posted by steve on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:46 pm

    Deberah - Here it is again.  

    When the VIX closes outside of a the Bollinger Band and then reverses back within the band, it represents a valid signal for the SPX.  In this case, it closed BELOW the lower BB and then reversed back above producing a SELL SIGNAL on the SPX (at least for the short term).  The opposite is true if it closed above and fell back within.  

    The SELL (for the SPX) signal DOES NOT come when you move outside the bands since it can remain outside the bands for a few days at times.  The SELL signal came when the VIX moved back inside the bands.  Truthfully, it need to CLOSE inside the bands for a DAILY signal.

    Can you please explain a

    Posted by deberah on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:05 pm

    Can you please explain a little more.  What do you mean by "good signal"?

    When the VIX closes outside

    Posted by steve on 12th of Jan 2010 at 01:14 pm

    When the VIX closes outside of a the Bollinger Band and then reverses back within the band, it represents a valid signal for the SPX.  In this case, it closed BELOW the lower BB and then reversed back above producing a SELL SIGNAL on the SPX (at least for the short term).  The opposite is true if it closed above and fell back within.  

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