Posted by DigiNomad on 28th of Mar 2024 at 01:33 pm
SPX - this is interesting. But, based on some of the underlying
technicals, I do think it MIGHT be different this time (all time
records blown away for weekly touches of the 21 EMA, etc). It does
seem like the Gov has discovered that they can levitate the market
at will with deficit spending....but they might have already known
that. The big change is that they tested MMT in real life, it
inflated absolutely everything, and instead of people losing their
shit and blaming them for inflation, the people cheered a higher
stock market and were willing to believe inflation was someone
else's fault (Putin, etc). I think the Gov used to hold back
on deficit spending because they feared the public response....but
now that the public has proven they don't understand, I think
nothing is stopping them from continuing.
*I shouldn't say all time record for the time between 21 EMA
touches on the weekly - I only went back to 1970 when I checked
(there was only 1 other time close at 18 weeks). Need to run it
against the full data set still.
My current thougths are QQQ larger Wave 3 then pullback for
weeks and one more push later this year but currently looking for a
reset next month. No trigger as yet.
So Steve regarding your QQQ larger wave 3 comment, I take that
to mean that you think QQQ is going to take out its recent high at
449.34 before it pulls back into a possible wave 4?
Possible or that is already in toe - I don't fool around with
such backdrop except for trades. I'm tracking a potential
Ending Diagonal on QQQ allowing for one more push in this sequence
as long as holding key support. This could allow for a small
drop down and bounce UNTIL a break of structure to
downside.
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SPX - this is interesting.
Posted by DigiNomad on 28th of Mar 2024 at 01:33 pm
SPX - this is interesting. But, based on some of the underlying technicals, I do think it MIGHT be different this time (all time records blown away for weekly touches of the 21 EMA, etc). It does seem like the Gov has discovered that they can levitate the market at will with deficit spending....but they might have already known that. The big change is that they tested MMT in real life, it inflated absolutely everything, and instead of people losing their shit and blaming them for inflation, the people cheered a higher stock market and were willing to believe inflation was someone else's fault (Putin, etc). I think the Gov used to hold back on deficit spending because they feared the public response....but now that the public has proven they don't understand, I think nothing is stopping them from continuing.
*I shouldn't say all time record for the time between 21 EMA touches on the weekly - I only went back to 1970 when I checked (there was only 1 other time close at 18 weeks). Need to run it against the full data set still.
My current thougths are QQQ
Posted by steve on 28th of Mar 2024 at 01:41 pm
My current thougths are QQQ larger Wave 3 then pullback for weeks and one more push later this year but currently looking for a reset next month. No trigger as yet.
So Steve regarding your QQQ
Posted by DK on 28th of Mar 2024 at 01:48 pm
So Steve regarding your QQQ larger wave 3 comment, I take that to mean that you think QQQ is going to take out its recent high at 449.34 before it pulls back into a possible wave 4?
Possible or that is already
Posted by steve on 28th of Mar 2024 at 02:04 pm
Possible or that is already in toe - I don't fool around with such backdrop except for trades. I'm tracking a potential Ending Diagonal on QQQ allowing for one more push in this sequence as long as holding key support. This could allow for a small drop down and bounce UNTIL a break of structure to downside.