US Futures are lower with ES futures down 11.5 points, and SPY,
QQQ, IWM trdaing down about -0.25% pre market
US Dollar slightly up, copper and crude oil up, gold, silver GDX
slightly up
TLT 20 year bond up, 10 year down
The
Asian/Pacificmarkets were mixed. Japan, South
Korea and Australia were up; China and India were down.
Europe, Africa and the Middle Eastlean to the
upside but are little changed overall. The UK, Russia, Israel and
the Czech Republic are up; Turkey is down.
The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold is up; silver
is down. Bonds are up.
Stories/News from Seeking Alpha...
Just shy
The Dow Jones (DJI) did it last week. So did the Nasdaq 100
(NDX). Now it looks like it's the S&P 500's (SP500) turn to
record a new all-time closing high. Following another session in
the green on Tuesday, the benchmark index is only 30 points away
from the upcoming milestone, meaning another move of 0.6% can bring
it the vaulted trophy. S&P 500 futures (SPX) are inching down
in the premarket, but one never knows what could happen during the
regular session. The benchmark could also have to wait a little
longer, or for a Santa rally to charge things up next week.
Snapshot: There's been a shift in expectations for monetary
policy since late October, sending equities on a broad seven-week
rally. The most recent boost came during last week's FOMC meeting,
where Fed Chair Jay Powell formally lowered inflation forecasts for
2024 and telegraphed three rate cuts in the new year. "The question
of when will it become appropriate to begin dialing back the amount
of policy restraint in place... is clearly a discussion topic out
in the world and also of discussion for us," he declared. "I would
say there's a general expectation that this will be a topic for us
looking ahead."
Notably, the biggest contributors to the S&P 500's
(SP500) banner year have been the usual suspects, currently dubbed
the Magnificent Seven. The group that includes Alphabet (GOOGL),
Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT) Nvidia
(NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) is up a combined 75% in 2023, while the
remaining 493 companies in the S&P 500 are about 12% higher,
resulting in a 25% YTD gain for the index as a whole. The bull
market has given big returns to many investors, and has just seen
Wall Street's fear gauge - known as the VIX - slide to its lowest
level since the start of the COVID pandemic.
What's in store for 2024? "The pivot from 'higher for longer'
to rate cuts is bullish for the stock market as it could cancel the
recession," notes SA analyst Damir Tokic, while Investing Group
Leader Victor Dergunov says that stocks could even go much higher
next year. Zoltan Ban takes a contrarian view, predicting that the
S&P 500 will decline to 3,500 due to various factors such as
higher oil prices and a slowing economy. "There is little doubt
that FOMO has crept back into the market the same way we've seen in
the past," Fear & Greed Trader cautions in Wall Street:
Investing In 2 Different Worlds. (1 comment)
Out of charge
Bird Global (OTC:BRDS) has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
protection, just two years after the electric scooter rental
company went public via a SPAC merger. Apollo Global (APO) unit
MidCap Financial and certain lenders will provide $25M in new
debtor-in-possession financing, while Bird entered into a stalking
horse deal with existing lenders, which is subject to better
offers. The firm had been battling a slump in sales, and last month
flagged substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going
concern. "Bird's go-public story has become a classic tale of how
SPACs became the harbinger of wealth destruction against initially
buoyant expectations of growth," SA analyst Pacifica Yield warned
back in June. (3 comments)
Failing to deliver
FedEx (FDX) slid 9.8% after the bell on Tuesday after missing
estimates on both lines in its Q2 earnings report and cutting its
revenue guidance. Amid ongoing demand weakness, the company
reported adjusted earnings of $3.99 per share and revenue of
$22.2B, down 2.6% Y/Y. The decline in revenue was led by FedEx's
largest unit Express, hurt by lower volumes and fuel surcharges.
"With regard to Q3 expectations, we anticipate our typical
seasonality, which implies a lighter quarter sequentially for
earnings," CFO John Dietrich said on an earnings call. The
disappointing outlook also weighed on FedEx's rivals, sending
shares of UPS (UPS) 3% lower. (57 comments)
Daihatsu-gate
Toyota (TM) subsidiary Daihatsu, known for its "kei" smaller
cars, has temporarily suspended all vehicle shipments in Japan and
abroad after a probe found that its models were not tested properly
for collision safety. "The investigation found new irregularities
in 174 items within 25 test categories, in addition to the door
lining irregularity in April and the side collision test
irregularity in May," Toyota disclosed. The findings impact 64
Daihatsu models, as well as some Subaru and Mazda vehicles, and
come after Daihatsu in April admitted it had rigged side-collision
safety tests. Toyota said a fundamental reform was needed at
Daihatsu, including a review of its management, operations and
structure. (1 comment)
Today's Economic Calendar 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Current Account
10:00 Consumer Confidence
10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $13B, 20-Year Bond Auction
Good morning and happy Wednesday
Posted by matt on 20th of Dec 2023 at 09:22 am
US Futures are lower with ES futures down 11.5 points, and SPY, QQQ, IWM trdaing down about -0.25% pre market
US Dollar slightly up, copper and crude oil up, gold, silver GDX slightly up
TLT 20 year bond up, 10 year down
The Asian/Pacificmarkets were mixed. Japan, South Korea and Australia were up; China and India were down. Europe, Africa and the Middle Eastlean to the upside but are little changed overall. The UK, Russia, Israel and the Czech Republic are up; Turkey is down.
The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold is up; silver is down. Bonds are up.
Stories/News from Seeking Alpha...
Just shy
The Dow Jones (DJI) did it last week. So did the Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Now it looks like it's the S&P 500's (SP500) turn to record a new all-time closing high. Following another session in the green on Tuesday, the benchmark index is only 30 points away from the upcoming milestone, meaning another move of 0.6% can bring it the vaulted trophy. S&P 500 futures (SPX) are inching down in the premarket, but one never knows what could happen during the regular session. The benchmark could also have to wait a little longer, or for a Santa rally to charge things up next week.
Snapshot: There's been a shift in expectations for monetary policy since late October, sending equities on a broad seven-week rally. The most recent boost came during last week's FOMC meeting, where Fed Chair Jay Powell formally lowered inflation forecasts for 2024 and telegraphed three rate cuts in the new year. "The question of when will it become appropriate to begin dialing back the amount of policy restraint in place... is clearly a discussion topic out in the world and also of discussion for us," he declared. "I would say there's a general expectation that this will be a topic for us looking ahead."
Notably, the biggest contributors to the S&P 500's (SP500) banner year have been the usual suspects, currently dubbed the Magnificent Seven. The group that includes Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT) Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) is up a combined 75% in 2023, while the remaining 493 companies in the S&P 500 are about 12% higher, resulting in a 25% YTD gain for the index as a whole. The bull market has given big returns to many investors, and has just seen Wall Street's fear gauge - known as the VIX - slide to its lowest level since the start of the COVID pandemic.
What's in store for 2024? "The pivot from 'higher for longer' to rate cuts is bullish for the stock market as it could cancel the recession," notes SA analyst Damir Tokic, while Investing Group Leader Victor Dergunov says that stocks could even go much higher next year. Zoltan Ban takes a contrarian view, predicting that the S&P 500 will decline to 3,500 due to various factors such as higher oil prices and a slowing economy. "There is little doubt that FOMO has crept back into the market the same way we've seen in the past," Fear & Greed Trader cautions in Wall Street: Investing In 2 Different Worlds. (1 comment)
Out of charge
Bird Global (OTC:BRDS) has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, just two years after the electric scooter rental company went public via a SPAC merger. Apollo Global (APO) unit MidCap Financial and certain lenders will provide $25M in new debtor-in-possession financing, while Bird entered into a stalking horse deal with existing lenders, which is subject to better offers. The firm had been battling a slump in sales, and last month flagged substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern. "Bird's go-public story has become a classic tale of how SPACs became the harbinger of wealth destruction against initially buoyant expectations of growth," SA analyst Pacifica Yield warned back in June. (3 comments)
Failing to deliver
FedEx (FDX) slid 9.8% after the bell on Tuesday after missing estimates on both lines in its Q2 earnings report and cutting its revenue guidance. Amid ongoing demand weakness, the company reported adjusted earnings of $3.99 per share and revenue of $22.2B, down 2.6% Y/Y. The decline in revenue was led by FedEx's largest unit Express, hurt by lower volumes and fuel surcharges. "With regard to Q3 expectations, we anticipate our typical seasonality, which implies a lighter quarter sequentially for earnings," CFO John Dietrich said on an earnings call. The disappointing outlook also weighed on FedEx's rivals, sending shares of UPS (UPS) 3% lower. (57 comments)
Daihatsu-gate
Toyota (TM) subsidiary Daihatsu, known for its "kei" smaller cars, has temporarily suspended all vehicle shipments in Japan and abroad after a probe found that its models were not tested properly for collision safety. "The investigation found new irregularities in 174 items within 25 test categories, in addition to the door lining irregularity in April and the side collision test irregularity in May," Toyota disclosed. The findings impact 64 Daihatsu models, as well as some Subaru and Mazda vehicles, and come after Daihatsu in April admitted it had rigged side-collision safety tests. Toyota said a fundamental reform was needed at Daihatsu, including a review of its management, operations and structure. (1 comment)
Today's Economic Calendar
7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Current Account
10:00 Consumer Confidence
10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $13B, 20-Year Bond Auction
WoW Thanks for update nice.
Posted by srusso1 on 20th of Dec 2023 at 09:57 am
WoW Thanks for update nice.