Posted by rmoore100 on 18th of Jul 2023 at 07:34 pm
Certainly agree with you Matt. I believe the biggest
contributing factor to what you've said is that younger investors
haven't ever experienced a real major decline.....like say 57% in
2008. If you invest in stocks, they will always go
up....guaranteed......therefore they have no fear. Any small
declines will eventually be consumed by buying......no doubt about
it in their minds. I'm thinking a major major crisis will
occur at some point taking everyone by surprise....could be a year
or years out, but massive stimulus and government debt to GDP will
eventually bring things down. It only will take some catalyst
that no one expects. When looking at a monthly chart going
back, say 30 years, all one has to do is draw a trend line to see
how parabolic things have been for the last 15 years, and in
particular the last 6 1/2 years. All in my humble
opinion.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
Certainly agree with you Matt.
VIX lod. Out of the money call buying exploding to ...
Posted by rmoore100 on 18th of Jul 2023 at 07:34 pm
Certainly agree with you Matt. I believe the biggest contributing factor to what you've said is that younger investors haven't ever experienced a real major decline.....like say 57% in 2008. If you invest in stocks, they will always go up....guaranteed......therefore they have no fear. Any small declines will eventually be consumed by buying......no doubt about it in their minds. I'm thinking a major major crisis will occur at some point taking everyone by surprise....could be a year or years out, but massive stimulus and government debt to GDP will eventually bring things down. It only will take some catalyst that no one expects. When looking at a monthly chart going back, say 30 years, all one has to do is draw a trend line to see how parabolic things have been for the last 15 years, and in particular the last 6 1/2 years. All in my humble opinion.