Market is overvalued on just

    SPX 30 Updated View

    Posted by DigiNomad on 18th of Apr 2023 at 01:34 pm

    Market is overvalued on just about every fundamental metric. The only reason to buy it are the technicals, which currently tell a more bullish story (watch Ciovacco on YouTube for endless bullish, technically based rhetoric) . Normally, that would get me more interested, but in this case, I think the best we can hope for is sideways to slightly up for the rest of the year....which means cash is more attractive with a 4+% yield. If the market had free will, it would sell off in order to force a Fed pause. Instead, it is being levitated by misguided Gov spending and bailouts, which will force the Fed to stay the course longer than almost anyone expected. 

    I do think that you

    Posted by mastermind on 18th of Apr 2023 at 01:55 pm

    I do think that you are ignoring sentiment, which is still pretty negative, or cautious at best, amongst the general public. But what I really don't get is the strength in housing related stocks in the face of news about slowdowns in residential construction. Homebuilders are all rocking today, but I was happy to sell GRBK at my target of 36.64.

    reason is supply and demand

    Posted by RP on 18th of Apr 2023 at 03:07 pm

    reason is supply and demand no inventory and 30 year mortgage rates dropped as well

    Very good analysis of the

    Posted by rbreese on 18th of Apr 2023 at 01:36 pm

    Very good analysis of the market.  After OPEX expire we likely get a a few days of digestion. 

    I think the market comes

    Posted by steve on 18th of Apr 2023 at 01:37 pm

    I think the market comes in after VIX expiration so will be deploying such hedges 

    Steve, when is Vix expiration?

    Posted by DK on 18th of Apr 2023 at 01:44 pm

    Steve, when is Vix expiration?

    Wednesday is VIX Expiration For

    Posted by steve on 18th of Apr 2023 at 02:42 pm

    Wednesday is VIX Expiration For Those Asking 

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