SPX vs inverted yield curve and bear markets

    Posted by matt on 26th of Feb 2023 at 04:31 pm

    $SPX - Chart Link- this chart going back to the early 80's plots the SPX along with the 10 year/3 month yield. As you can see from the past, typically the inverted yield curve occurred near the start of past major bear markets. This time around as I covered mid last year is that the yield curve didn't invert until the market had already declined for 9 months. 

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