XBI my spread is bearish

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 4th of Aug 2022 at 08:41 am

    XBI my spread is bearish now into this premarket rise. Has a gap below at $80.98 from yesterday that I don't think holds on a swing trade. Will continue to add if it rises more. I put this entry on at $86

    LABD/LABU

    Haven't added yet significantly.. ended

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 4th of Aug 2022 at 08:47 pm

    Haven't added yet significantly.. ended down 0.9% on the day after adjusting in trading. Still leaning bearish on the whole. I find switching my mindset and moving toward hedging the hardest in a trending market. 

    I've been riding LABU since the $4s and it hit $10.86 today. I've been looking for the $11s to get more aggreesive on selling more inventory. 

    Good to see the system beginning with a short entry as well on SPX and I see others getting prepared. I'm in the ballpark. Helps to take a step back and review after markets are closed. 

    Any significant move to the downside and my account will fly. I'm just not very comfortable with downside in my trading account even if small. I like a smoother ride though it's not realistic to think I'm going to hit it perfectly.

    Complacency is back in the markets and it may last weeks or a day... No way to know when. 

    All I know is that it's extended and has gaps below and very far from the 9 ma. Risk/reward.

    LABD/LABU 

    Just because there is complacency

    Posted by arun on 4th of Aug 2022 at 10:18 pm

    Just because there is complacency doesn’t mean there is a sell signal. Lot of stocks and ETF have a shift in the direction of the 20/50 MA’s.
    Obviously that could change given these volatile markets.
    but right now there is nothing to scream short. To hedge YES. I’m still cash and green for the year in my long term accounts and my plan is to go long on the next retest of 20 day. If 20 day breaks I am out.

    Correction: I am green only

    Posted by arun on 5th of Aug 2022 at 08:30 am

    Correction: I am green only in the long term accounts I manage. The ones with firms like JPM UBS are negative.

    Good points. I run my

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 5th of Aug 2022 at 07:40 am

    Good points. I run my long term money differently than my trading account so always something good going on. 

    Going higher is much more beneficial for me than lower overall between my two strategies as relates to markets. 

    Sentiment is the only rub right now and it can continue or leave as fast as it came. My spread isn't aggressive yet though does lean short in bio a bit. I am prepared either way. Guess we will see what the jobs report is like reaction wise. 

    Things will come back to earth for a trade and I'll be there and collect when they do. 

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