Funny that's pretty much what I texted to Matt earlier today....I think they go 75 basis points now (see below)

    Former NY FED Dudley : I THINK THEY ARE GOING TO DO 75 BASIS POINTS 

    Steve Liesman - CNBC: The Fed likely to hike interest rates by 75 BPS this week 

    JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs :  the Fed is going 75 BPS on Wed 

    I don't understand the theory

    Posted by simple_million on 14th of Jun 2022 at 05:59 pm

    I don't understand the theory of 75 bps being bullish AT ALL -- but I've seen that a lot on Fintwit the last few days as well.

    It's simply an acknowledgement the

    Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2022 at 06:02 pm

    It's simply an acknowledgement the FED is attempting to address (possible excuse for a relief rally) - however, it's far too little and too late.  As stated, they are in between a rock and a hard place (putting it mildly)

    I mean they addressed the

    Posted by simple_million on 14th of Jun 2022 at 06:14 pm

    I mean they addressed the issue by saying 2 50's and then see what happens when supply chains ease and war ends (eventually).  They can't have enough data to backtrack on "wait and see" before the waiting and seeing lol. 

    I was bullish when thinking about event volatility and OPEX and all that, but if they do 75bps (and assuming its not a pull forward and pause)  that seems like a panic move -- shouldn't that lead to a panic reaction by the market? 

    Panic move - they are

    Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2022 at 06:23 pm

    Panic move - they are light years behind the curve.   I'm sure the thought is that the sooner they raise the quicker they can start another round of QE.  What a mess 

    The problem now is the massive amount of debt unlike 2000-02 and 2007-09.   

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