kevinwalker- that's why in this market YOU MUST take partial profits
along the way; if you have 20% gains, take some off the table
because 20% or 30% gains can turn into 0% gains in a day or
two. This is not the kind of market where you buy and forget
about it, unless you want to give a really wide stop.
The charts are ok so far, we've only retraced about 38% of the
rally up, but a retracement below 50% then you have to ponder if
this is still a large 4th wave correction with a 5th wave move down
to new lows yet to come. The ideas on the Watch List are trade
ideas only and they are only for aggressive traders. Only
play a few of them at a time, have stops in place, and take partial
or 1/2 off the table on the initial move up because in this market
anything can happen.
for example, QLD was up 12% yesterday, but now it's down -0.9%
if you didn't take any off the table. DIG was up 20%
yesterday, but now it's only up 8.6% if you didn't take any off the
table before today. UYM was up 14% yesterday, but now it's
down -1.9% if you didn't take any off the table...you see what I
mean, take partial profits in this market, especially on the
initial moves.
Posted by kevinwalker on 5th of Nov 2008 at 08:22 pm
Thanks for that reply. I usually lock 50% -60% profits which I
did this time. But I have to admit that I am kind of surprised by
the action today. I did not expect a 5% drop.
BTW can you please mention the levels of the 50% retracement
kevinwalker - that's why in this
System overview links
Posted by matt on 5th of Nov 2008 at 07:24 pm
kevinwalker - that's why in this market YOU MUST take partial profits along the way; if you have 20% gains, take some off the table because 20% or 30% gains can turn into 0% gains in a day or two. This is not the kind of market where you buy and forget about it, unless you want to give a really wide stop.
The charts are ok so far, we've only retraced about 38% of the rally up, but a retracement below 50% then you have to ponder if this is still a large 4th wave correction with a 5th wave move down to new lows yet to come. The ideas on the Watch List are trade ideas only and they are only for aggressive traders. Only play a few of them at a time, have stops in place, and take partial or 1/2 off the table on the initial move up because in this market anything can happen.
for example, QLD was up 12% yesterday, but now it's down -0.9% if you didn't take any off the table. DIG was up 20% yesterday, but now it's only up 8.6% if you didn't take any off the table before today. UYM was up 14% yesterday, but now it's down -1.9% if you didn't take any off the table...you see what I mean, take partial profits in this market, especially on the initial moves.
Thanks for that reply. I
Posted by kevinwalker on 5th of Nov 2008 at 08:22 pm
Thanks for that reply. I usually lock 50% -60% profits which I did this time. But I have to admit that I am kind of surprised by the action today. I did not expect a 5% drop.
BTW can you please mention the levels of the 50% retracement
kevin - see my SPY
Posted by dodgerdog on 5th of Nov 2008 at 08:27 pm
kevin - see my SPY chart above for the answer to your question. The SPX 38.2% is at 946 and the 50% is at 927.