SPY Systems update possible trade again

    Posted by matt on 26th of Feb 2020 at 02:57 pm

    Regarding the SPY systems a new sub system may trigger today, the CCI oversold divergent system. I know you are probably 'systemd out' by now but I report what they are doing. If the CCI triggers I'll send a trade alert out of it a well. Also on a side note the Bull Exhaustion 2 sub system is also triggering - it's sort of like the Exhaustion short which you've seen trigger three times between late Nov - mid Jan, but on the downside.  However I actually send out trades for the Bull Exhaustion as I have that system with a group of over longs, QE BTS which already triggered.  Remember I do group some of the systems together to cut down a little on the trades by grouping the 20 plus systems into 6 charts. The CCI sub system is on its own chart and not in a group. 

    So here's the stats: I included the stats of the CCI and the Bull Exhaustion 2. Both systems have very good stats, but because they only trigger during times like this, they can have some draw down. The CCI system the largest draw down was in 2008 in Oct, which we are not in that type of environment. Anyway you can view the statistics and I also copied the trade history for you to look over.   As far as the CCI - what it basically looks for is a deeply oversold CCI below say -250 and then a positive divergence

    anyway plenty of info here for you to make your own informed decision

    Matt--I couldn't find any instructions

    Posted by thefos on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:19 pm

    Matt--I couldn't find any instructions on what to buy, specifics on option expiration , strike price, etc.  What am I missing?  Your email just said CCI, no help.  Is that the full instruction.  Maybe I need some tutoring on where to look for clear guidance on the trade. Had 12 minutes but couldn't figure it out.

    thefos - check your inbox

    Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:24 pm

    thefos - check your inbox for an email that provides such instructions (if you choose to take the trade).  Also read the header (click on title button above)

    my inbox is empty, except

    Posted by thefos on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:27 pm

    my inbox is empty, except for some 5 yr old messages

    Matt sent a message with

    Posted by junkie on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:37 pm

    Matt sent a message with an option detail, and I received it.

    Check your spam folder 

    Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:28 pm

    Check your spam folder 

    Matt -- Thanks for laying

    Posted by puma on 26th of Feb 2020 at 03:22 pm

    Matt -- Thanks for laying everything out so clearly.

    I know these are tough

    Posted by matt on 26th of Feb 2020 at 03:32 pm

    I know these are tough times guys, so I try to give you as much info as I can

    thanks Matt, sorry for emotional

    Posted by retirefire on 26th of Feb 2020 at 03:44 pm

    thanks Matt, sorry for emotional quarry earlier 

    LOL man again I understand

    Posted by matt on 26th of Feb 2020 at 04:07 pm

    LOL man again I understand times like this are tough.  I think somewhere was spot on with a post a while back about how I take an emotional burden with the trades for you guys and they are probably tougher on me because I'm always worried about you guys, I looked up and found that post, here's what they wrote here

    ------

    Matt, thanks for all you do; I know you carry the burden of the trading system especially when we get that rare ( losing trade) which hasn't even closed out yet. For all we know, after a second entry it could be a huge winner!  

    -----

    anyway as I've said before the reversion to mean type of trades are difficult emotionally to do.  The 120 min system where we have a set stop and ratchets is emotionally easier to do. It is what it is.  I try to give you guys all the info and stats I can so you can make your own decisions. Even the 120 min system is not perfect - the issue I still have with it is that the 'buy' signals are still somewhat subjective that's why when I look at years past, there's times I can't tell if some trades I would have taken earlier or later. I have most of the rules down but still some things to do.

    actually i like these trades

    Posted by morton7 on 26th of Feb 2020 at 03:35 pm

    actually i like these trades right now as im not finding any other trades that fit my criteria with all of the broken charts so this is a nice alternative.  looking forward to taking profits later, thanks!

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