Take that as your base case.  look at the other country numbers and see how that works out. If that pop you know they did not report accurately.  Also there reporting alone is quite alarming as cases have doubled in last few days and deaths have also doubled since Friday.

    In order to truly contain

    Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Jan 2020 at 09:37 am

    In order to truly contain the virus, you would have to find everyone that has the virus and contain them.  Millions of people were not contained because of the Chinese new year, the majority of the population from Wuhan (where they are saying the outbreak started at this point) were already gone before the government put a lock down on citizens of that town.   They are under reporting the cases and we see that now.   

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