Irrational market! This market is completely

    Posted by landgreen on 2nd of Oct 2015 at 12:39 pm

    Irrational market!

    This market is completely irrational and dysfunctional. With the Dow opening well beyond -200 and the SPX -30, much in due to gross revision to the jobs numbers, to now see it in positive territory is mind boggling given the data. This in my opinion is a selling opportunity for longs and a shorting opportunity for the general markets, speaking from a broader viewpoint. not a quick time frame or day trade. I'm also considering PM's now.

    Anyone and everyone, please chime in with general thoughts and opinions.

    I spent over 25 years

    Posted by pwb8 on 2nd of Oct 2015 at 12:49 pm

    I spent over 25 years in finance (ag and small business) and saw leverage shoot to the moon particularly over the past few years.  Having looked under the hood of many of the businesses I saw, decided this would not have a happy ending so it was time to leave.  The current system encourages massive leverage and deleveraging is supposedly not an option.  It is completely mad to think this can continue to go on much longer.  That is why I concentrate on precious metals.  The metals have no counterparty risk.  I think few people understand how profound that statement is.

    First, patience, grasshopper, on shorts.

    Posted by a_l_ on 2nd of Oct 2015 at 01:00 pm

    First, patience, grasshopper, on shorts. ES futures & options net shorts have been staying near YTD highs over the past month. Those are prime squeeze conditions. I think they're right, but any trade that gets crowded short-term tends to get shaken out.

    Second, while metals may not have counterparty risk in the traditional sense, their main risk is currency wars. Right now there's a tailwind because the ECB hasn't expanded their bond buying program yet and US data is so weak (down rates, down Dollar, no down Euro pressure, up metals). But don't think there won't be ongoing leapfrogging with the ECB renewing pressure on the Euro. Getting QE4 talk from the Fed would tilt towards a longer-term run on gold. Until then, trading it and protecting gains quickly looks like the most prudent approach.

    Epic Squeeze.

    Posted by a_l_ on 2nd of Oct 2015 at 04:00 pm

    Epic Squeeze.

    Hammer

    Posted by spentcattle on 2nd of Oct 2015 at 04:14 pm

    Heck of a hammer on weekly spy

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