Structural Volatility

    Posted by scottdelara on 24th of Jan 2014 at 03:40 pm

    It was suggested today by VIX afficianado Bill Luby that today's move in the VIX (30% spike) is indicative of 'structural' volatility, or volatility change that is so severe in nature that it deserves a paradigm shift. While I would never outright disagree with Bill, I would like to remind everyone that we are experiencing this spike relative to an unusually low base VIX that was a 12 last week. In fact, we had the lowest VIX settlement since 2007 this week at 12.36. So, be willing to accept a paradigm change in volatility - that this may be an inflection point of higher volatility and perhaps a more challenging environment for equities, but I would also not dare to turn my back on this equity market in the midst of powerful earnings. So in other words, while I am aware we could be at an inflection point I am going to continue to play things by ear. Most of all, I will manage risk more tightly. For me that mostly translates to less un-hedged premium overnight. Just my 2c.

     

    what powerful earnings?

    Posted by torvix on 25th of Jan 2014 at 07:04 am
    Title: I read there were lots of earning misses

    powerful or good it doesnt matter

    Posted by scottdelara on 25th of Jan 2014 at 10:56 am
    Title: because its not really the point

    what do you mean?

     

    "but I would also not dare to turn my back on this equity market in the midst of powerful earnings"

    Well, some must have believed

    Posted by jroger on 24th of Jan 2014 at 04:19 pm

    Well, some must have believed him, the VIX is above 18 after hours.

    What, exactly do you mean

    Posted by john9o9 on 24th of Jan 2014 at 04:14 pm

    What, exactly do you mean by "powerful earnings"?  Are they that good so far?

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!