I'm not in this trade, despite feeling bad last night when I
went to bed for missing it yesterday. The overnight futures
takedown did look like manipulation. But that does not constitute
proof. So now one might even feel lucky for avoiding the
kleptocracy that is the wizard behind the curtain of this
charade.
The upsloping trendline - however one draws it - was clearly
broken. Moreover, volume has not reached capitulatory levels; it
was only slightly above average.
One might take a lesson from Steve's tutorial and a bright
student might mark the mid- to upper-$1340s as the reversal
trigger. The overnight will be important, as this closed on the low
at the end of today's session. Finally, there's no plausible chart
feature that I can see to offer support, as the trend is now below
all the MAs and there's perhaps $60 of "air" before the downsloping
larger-scale trendline from the upper left corner. That's my
take.
But percious metals have more news risk than most things, except
perhaps for oil. An exciting ride to be sure. Be certain that your
seatbelts are buckled and tray tables are in the upright and locked
position before takeoff!
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GC futures
Posted by payday on 12th of Sep 2013 at 08:36 pm
Hi Steve,
If gold retakes 50% of today's bearish dominant candle would it still be a possible reversal signal or is the candle just too big to the downside?
Must take back 50% and
Posted by steve on 12th of Sep 2013 at 10:26 pm
Must take back 50% and then take back 9 EMA
if it retraced more than
Posted by matt on 12th of Sep 2013 at 10:07 pm
if it retraced more than 50 - 60% of that big down candle in a couple bars, then it has a chance, but that's it
bearish gold case
Posted by cubby on 12th of Sep 2013 at 09:03 pm
I'm not in this trade, despite feeling bad last night when I went to bed for missing it yesterday. The overnight futures takedown did look like manipulation. But that does not constitute proof. So now one might even feel lucky for avoiding the kleptocracy that is the wizard behind the curtain of this charade.
The upsloping trendline - however one draws it - was clearly broken. Moreover, volume has not reached capitulatory levels; it was only slightly above average.
One might take a lesson from Steve's tutorial and a bright student might mark the mid- to upper-$1340s as the reversal trigger. The overnight will be important, as this closed on the low at the end of today's session. Finally, there's no plausible chart feature that I can see to offer support, as the trend is now below all the MAs and there's perhaps $60 of "air" before the downsloping larger-scale trendline from the upper left corner. That's my take.
But percious metals have more news risk than most things, except perhaps for oil. An exciting ride to be sure. Be certain that your seatbelts are buckled and tray tables are in the upright and locked position before takeoff!