Posted by mdschapiro on 2nd of May 2012 at 03:46 pm
Another issue to consider with the gold miners is that the price
action since the top last year may indicate continuos liquidation
by the mutual funds that normally hold this stocks in anticipation
of a deflation event. Every gold bug is looking at the gold/hui
ration and is thinking the stocks will cach up without even
considering that the price of gold could come down and make the
ratio go up also. Since the first drop the bounces are getting
smaller and that may indicate that they are using the rallies to
sell and lately it seems they are in a hurry to sell. Technically
we are under the 38% retracement and it seems the 61% retracement
offers some significant support, while the neck of that huge top is
around $49 now and the longer we stay under it, the stronger the
resistance will be if we get there. All this just to keep all
options open.
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Another issue to consider with
Gold Stocks and % away from their 200 day MA
Posted by mdschapiro on 2nd of May 2012 at 03:46 pm
Another issue to consider with the gold miners is that the price action since the top last year may indicate continuos liquidation by the mutual funds that normally hold this stocks in anticipation of a deflation event. Every gold bug is looking at the gold/hui ration and is thinking the stocks will cach up without even considering that the price of gold could come down and make the ratio go up also. Since the first drop the bounces are getting smaller and that may indicate that they are using the rallies to sell and lately it seems they are in a hurry to sell. Technically we are under the 38% retracement and it seems the 61% retracement offers some significant support, while the neck of that huge top is around $49 now and the longer we stay under it, the stronger the resistance will be if we get there. All this just to keep all options open.