SPX monthly long term system simplified

    Posted by matt on 4th of Dec 2011 at 04:21 pm
    Title: click to expand

    Do you plan to add

    Posted by tomakeit on 5th of Dec 2011 at 10:07 am

    Do you plan to add it under 'LONG TERM TOOLS'?

    While the chart is very

    Posted by bkout3 on 5th of Dec 2011 at 09:44 am

    While the chart is very appealing there are no where near enough data points to say that the indicators will mean anything for the future. With a monthly chart we might have to go back a lot further so as to get maybe at least like 20 signals and then see how it did. JMHO

    That's correct, statistical confidence only

    Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Dec 2011 at 09:51 am

    That's correct, statistical confidence only begins w/ about 20 data points.  Ideally 30.

    Note, I added the 11

    Posted by matt on 4th of Dec 2011 at 07:18 pm

    Note, I added the 11 length RSI to the monthly SPX chart.  After looking at the SPX going all the way back to 1960 when it began trading, the RSI only get's oversold during extremely oversold times on a monthly chart.  Therefore when this happens, instead of waiting for the 14 length stochastics to cross back above 50% to give a buy signal (or various other indicators like the ROC etc) go long when the 11 length RSI closes back over 30%

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