scenario 1 - the market tanks on Monday feeding the bond market
and gold for safe havens- dollar up AND gold up (this would be good
for me)
scenario 2 - the market tanks on Monday and all the money
goes to bonds - dollar down and gold down
scenario 3 - the market chops around in volatilty and then goes
up on the sentiment that the worse is out of the way and the dollar
and gold tank and the market goes to new highs. (this one would not
be good for me)
scenario 4 - that I'm totally wrong on all scenarios
Posted by hamvestor on 6th of Aug 2011 at 09:26 am
My best guess is an initial selloff on Monday, then a sharp
bounce higher later in the day. The market then moves higher,
albeit with volatility, over the next few weeks, before the next
leg down to retest, and possibly exceed, yesterday's lows.
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Wouldn't the S&P downgrade
Posted by simpsongc on 5th of Aug 2011 at 10:49 pm
affect bonds more then stocks? If bonds get hammered I would think the big players would run to stocks.
Does that make sense to anyone?
scenario 1 - the market
Posted by Palladin on 6th of Aug 2011 at 09:08 am
scenario 1 - the market tanks on Monday feeding the bond market and gold for safe havens- dollar up AND gold up (this would be good for me)
scenario 2 - the market tanks on Monday and all the money goes to bonds - dollar down and gold down
scenario 3 - the market chops around in volatilty and then goes up on the sentiment that the worse is out of the way and the dollar and gold tank and the market goes to new highs. (this one would not be good for me)
scenario 4 - that I'm totally wrong on all scenarios
anyone care to present scenarios?
My best guess is an
Posted by hamvestor on 6th of Aug 2011 at 09:26 am
My best guess is an initial selloff on Monday, then a sharp bounce higher later in the day. The market then moves higher, albeit with volatility, over the next few weeks, before the next leg down to retest, and possibly exceed, yesterday's lows.