Posted by magann14 on 10th of Dec 2010 at 04:24 pm
For years, analyst and market traders have been
carefully watching for
negative divergencesas a clue to when a trend reversal was
going to occur.
In fact, many professional traders have sold positions and gone
short in the past, based on negative divergences.
From a technical analysis viewpoint, they
expected that "when
negative divergences
started appearing, that break-downs in the binding-structure
of a rally were also going to start occurring".
But now, many of these same traders are getting hurt because the
"negative divergences are not kicking in".
So what is going
on? Are negative divergences now meaningless and
powerless, or is there some other force that will negate the power
of a negative divergence?
The answer is yes, there is another force that will override the
power of a negative divergence. As many know, there
have been a plethora of negative divergences show up in the past
few weeks. In spite of that, they did not trigger a
reversal in the market.
So why is that?
It is because the levels and trending of "inflowing
Liquidity"
overridethe power
of any negative divergences. It is because negative
divergences will
NOT"trigger" with
expandinglevels of
inflowing liquidity.
It isn't until Liquidity levels pull back in the face of
lingering negative divergences that a market pull back finally
occurs. When inflowing Liquidity is in Expansion
territory and at a high rate of expansion, the market continues to
move up in spite of any negative divergences.
What about the divergence in the advance decline lines as noted
in last night's newsletter? Doesn't the market have to have a
broad base to move forward?
Posted by fixdgear on 10th of Dec 2010 at 04:36 pm
coming in from around the world as well...i mean think about
it...what country would you feel safest in investing in if you were
a fund manager with billions of dollars you need to find a home
for?....just my observation imho..
from stocktiming.com today on the divergence
Posted by magann14 on 10th of Dec 2010 at 04:24 pm
For years, analyst and market traders have been carefully watching for negative divergencesas a clue to when a trend reversal was going to occur.
In fact, many professional traders have sold positions and gone short in the past, based on negative divergences. From a technical analysis viewpoint, they expected that "when negative divergences started appearing, that break-downs in the binding-structure of a rally were also going to start occurring".
But now, many of these same traders are getting hurt because the "negative divergences are not kicking in".
So what is going on? Are negative divergences now meaningless and powerless, or is there some other force that will negate the power of a negative divergence?
The answer is yes, there is another force that will override the power of a negative divergence. As many know, there have been a plethora of negative divergences show up in the past few weeks. In spite of that, they did not trigger a reversal in the market.
So why is that ? It is because the levels and trending of "inflowing Liquidity" overridethe power of any negative divergences. It is because negative divergences will NOT"trigger" with expandinglevels of inflowing liquidity.
It isn't until Liquidity levels pull back in the face of lingering negative divergences that a market pull back finally occurs. When inflowing Liquidity is in Expansion territory and at a high rate of expansion, the market continues to move up in spite of any negative divergences.
Title: advance/decline What about the divergence
Posted by ducksoup on 10th of Dec 2010 at 05:34 pm
What about the divergence in the advance decline lines as noted in last night's newsletter? Doesn't the market have to have a broad base to move forward?
Totally agree, just based on divergence kills you
Posted by skyscraper on 10th of Dec 2010 at 05:19 pm
inflow of capital
Posted by fixdgear on 10th of Dec 2010 at 04:36 pm
coming in from around the world as well...i mean think about it...what country would you feel safest in investing in if you were a fund manager with billions of dollars you need to find a home for?....just my observation imho..
consider investing in the Church
Posted by Palladin on 10th of Dec 2010 at 05:02 pm
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