Per request, here's a few trade examples from the SPY swing
trade system that Rank10 and I are working on. However please
not this is not the final version, we still probably have about
another month of testing at least and working to improve it
further. Also please don't ask about the price, I have no
idea about that yet, however we will not be selling the code, it's
too valuable to get out freely into the public. The system is
a swing trade system, all trades are entered at the close of the
day with an average hold time of about 11 days, however some trades
last as long as 50 days, some as short as 5 days. The system
does an average of 2 trades a month or so. It has worked in
all markets, it goes back to 1993, so it has worked in the secular
bull market of the 90's, the 2000 - late 2002 tech bubble crash,
the bull market of 2003 - 2007, the horrible bear market of 2008 -
Mar 2009, and of course the current cyclical bull from Mar 09 -
present. Most of the time the system tries to buy pullbacks
in uptrends and short rallies in downtrends, however it
will occasionally do a short in an uptrend and a long in
a downtrend if the market is sufficiently overbought or
oversold.
If you reinvested your money into each trade using profunds 2X
mutual funds, $10,000 would have turned into about $25 Million or
2500 times your money. Using a non leveraged ETF, your money
would have compounded from $100K to about $16M or 160 times.
However those numbers are just for fun, in practice no one in
practice would always re-invest 100% of their profits.
I show 4 charts
below:
The first oneis from this year, you can see only
one losing trade from this year during the flash crash, but it sold
out after the bounce so not too bad but scary for sure. The
other losing trade was in Dec of 2009. Otherwise the system
caught some very nice swing trades such as the recent long from mid
Aug all the way through Sept where it caught most of this run up.
Nice long in June, 3 nice shorts in May. A very nice long at
the Feb lows that it held for over 1.5 months.
The second and 3rd charts are from 2008 and 2009,
you can see some very nice shorts that held for a long time, but
otherwise a lot of fast shorts and some longs in between, average
about 2 a month and lasting about a week to 10 days on average.
The 4th chart is from1997, you can see the
numerous long trades, only one short.
Note! If the chart pictures are too small for you, you can click
(open in new tab) at the bottom left of each chart and then click
on the chart picture to expand it to full size.
LIke everyone else here, I'm excited by this new system that you
and Rank10 are developing.
You discuss price in your post. I guess I had assumed that
this system would be available to BPT members like the GDX system
is, that is, for the price of a subscription. If you're
thinking about charging extra for your new system, could you
discuss your thinking behind this?
can't you see the chart? it closed out of its long and is
currently flat.
You can expand the chart to full size by clicking open in new
tab on the lower left hand side, and then clicking in the picture
to expand it to full size
A few trade examples from the SPY swing system
Posted by matt on 7th of Oct 2010 at 11:49 am
Per request, here's a few trade examples from the SPY swing trade system that Rank10 and I are working on. However please not this is not the final version, we still probably have about another month of testing at least and working to improve it further. Also please don't ask about the price, I have no idea about that yet, however we will not be selling the code, it's too valuable to get out freely into the public. The system is a swing trade system, all trades are entered at the close of the day with an average hold time of about 11 days, however some trades last as long as 50 days, some as short as 5 days. The system does an average of 2 trades a month or so. It has worked in all markets, it goes back to 1993, so it has worked in the secular bull market of the 90's, the 2000 - late 2002 tech bubble crash, the bull market of 2003 - 2007, the horrible bear market of 2008 - Mar 2009, and of course the current cyclical bull from Mar 09 - present. Most of the time the system tries to buy pullbacks in uptrends and short rallies in downtrends, however it will occasionally do a short in an uptrend and a long in a downtrend if the market is sufficiently overbought or oversold.
If you reinvested your money into each trade using profunds 2X mutual funds, $10,000 would have turned into about $25 Million or 2500 times your money. Using a non leveraged ETF, your money would have compounded from $100K to about $16M or 160 times. However those numbers are just for fun, in practice no one in practice would always re-invest 100% of their profits.
I show 4 charts below: The first oneis from this year, you can see only one losing trade from this year during the flash crash, but it sold out after the bounce so not too bad but scary for sure. The other losing trade was in Dec of 2009. Otherwise the system caught some very nice swing trades such as the recent long from mid Aug all the way through Sept where it caught most of this run up. Nice long in June, 3 nice shorts in May. A very nice long at the Feb lows that it held for over 1.5 months.
The second and 3rd charts are from 2008 and 2009, you can see some very nice shorts that held for a long time, but otherwise a lot of fast shorts and some longs in between, average about 2 a month and lasting about a week to 10 days on average.
The 4th chart is from1997, you can see the numerous long trades, only one short.
Note! If the chart pictures are too small for you, you can click (open in new tab) at the bottom left of each chart and then click on the chart picture to expand it to full size.
LIke everyone else here, I'm
Posted by algyros on 7th of Oct 2010 at 01:58 pm
LIke everyone else here, I'm excited by this new system that you and Rank10 are developing.
You discuss price in your post. I guess I had assumed that this system would be available to BPT members like the GDX system is, that is, for the price of a subscription. If you're thinking about charging extra for your new system, could you discuss your thinking behind this?
hey matt is your system
Posted by cwa82675 on 7th of Oct 2010 at 12:16 pm
hey matt is your system still long now? I cant wait to use it
can't you see the chart?
Posted by matt on 7th of Oct 2010 at 12:22 pm
can't you see the chart? it closed out of its long and is currently flat.
You can expand the chart to full size by clicking open in new tab on the lower left hand side, and then clicking in the picture to expand it to full size
Thanks! Looks good. When are you rolling it out?
Posted by harshblue on 7th of Oct 2010 at 11:51 am