As it stands right now (3:30 pm EST) we are long and staying
long. I will send out a notification if that changes but with
30 min left I don't think it will. Statistically, there was
the potential for today to trigger a closing signal for tomorrow
morning but the way the day has manifested never brought that
about.
HUN should be on the 3,6,9,12 schedule so they probably paid in
September and won't pay again until December after their next
earnings report. I like HUN and Zach this is a name I know
you have watched for a while. Specialty Chemicals industry is
one I like.
I really hate saying this because so many of the people here and
posting were nice and sweet and people you could completely imagine
having apart of your personal life. But MANY should not have
been managing their money IMO. Obviously born of the
frustration of the market downturn and lost decade+ so many people
said I can do better but I just don't think they had any clue what
they were getting into. So while posting is probably down
over the years I think the quality of the posts is dramatically up
and I say that not as an admin but a user.
It is nice to see more people on and engaging but if I had to
pick between the two scenarios, I will take what's here now any
day!
This is such a unique group with different ideas and objects of
focus that I often find myself forced to move outside my comfort
zone and review new trading ideas, platforms, analysis etc. that
has made me better. JMHO
Like a fine wine, Agnes, I personally might let it breath.
With some positive divergence on the longer term intraday
charts this could possibly target some higher levels before
petering out and always could spark a more longer term low (but
would have to see more trading to know). In the meantime, the
lows from yesterday give you something to trade against and I
wouldn't want to see those breached. JMHO
Citigroup overall option implied
volatility of 33 is below its 26-week average of 38 according to
Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement suggesting
decreasing price movement into CEO Vikram Pandit stepping
down.
No, that would just be a closing of the long trade. NOT a
flip short. As Matt noted we also need to stay up a fair
amount so we will follow-up after/toward the close if there was an
official exit. Good Question.
I cannot help but feel it needs to go lower or at least put in
some additional work. Think their earnings are not until
November though so you can trade it without that worry in the short
term.
We also have this section which I created but has not found a
home on the site yet. I imagine there are things not covered
but this is a great started to learn some functions of the
site. The new Trade Ideas list is NOT represented and it is
still the old Watch List so that is of no use but the rest should
be good.
You have to first highlight the URL or any text and then it
should display. If not then what browser are you using (also
what version, i.e. IE7,8,9 FireFox 16 etc.).
Great charts! When you post a URL can you please have it
open in a new tab? Highlight the link, select the chain, and
then make sure to choose new window (I think you asked for the how
before but I didn't post instructions). Thanks!
Matt noted the S1 pivot acting as support and that ended up
being the lows for the evening with the current set-up looking like
it could push one more time maybe to the 1430 level. Please
note these Pivots are in TOS and not TS so there could be a small
price diff.
morton, I know you follow this one pretty close and liked your
past charts. I follow this one recently too. This seems
to be a battle ground stock for analyst as some believe it is
cooling off and others think the growth still exists. Then
you have this drink push where certain types of drinks seem to be
targeted and I think people are waiting to see how this will affect
the energy sector. I use to consult with small public companies and
two in the industry used MNST as their poster child for marketing,
branding, operation etc. I think a hot stock like this, even
if it doesn't retake and/or exceed the highs, will make a
run. The Cyan MA is the 89 week and I definitely think there
is a spot that if we test and hold I will take a swing
personally. I will probably use deep in the monies and then
try and play for a move into that open gap. I would love to
hear your thoughts.
So you did, thanks Steve, that is the calendar we predominantly
use. Also that link has been posted before and can be found
using the Search feature on the site "Moon Dates" or "Moon Cycles"
would be good starting points. The Moon cycle is about 29.5
days I believe so roughly every two weeks you want to be
checking.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
This Weeks Econ Calendar - updated actuals
Posted by tom on 17th of Oct 2012 at 08:44 am
As it stands right now
Closing long?
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 03:31 pm
As it stands right now (3:30 pm EST) we are long and staying long. I will send out a notification if that changes but with 30 min left I don't think it will. Statistically, there was the potential for today to trigger a closing signal for tomorrow morning but the way the day has manifested never brought that about.
HUN should be on the
HUN setting up over 15.91
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 12:58 pm
HUN should be on the 3,6,9,12 schedule so they probably paid in September and won't pay again until December after their next earnings report. I like HUN and Zach this is a name I know you have watched for a while. Specialty Chemicals industry is one I like.
I really hate saying this
MIDD
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 12:54 pm
I really hate saying this because so many of the people here and posting were nice and sweet and people you could completely imagine having apart of your personal life. But MANY should not have been managing their money IMO. Obviously born of the frustration of the market downturn and lost decade+ so many people said I can do better but I just don't think they had any clue what they were getting into. So while posting is probably down over the years I think the quality of the posts is dramatically up and I say that not as an admin but a user.
It is nice to see more people on and engaging but if I had to pick between the two scenarios, I will take what's here now any day!
This is such a unique group with different ideas and objects of focus that I often find myself forced to move outside my comfort zone and review new trading ideas, platforms, analysis etc. that has made me better. JMHO
Like a fine wine, Agnes,
MOS view
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 10:51 am
Like a fine wine, Agnes, I personally might let it breath. With some positive divergence on the longer term intraday charts this could possibly target some higher levels before petering out and always could spark a more longer term low (but would have to see more trading to know). In the meantime, the lows from yesterday give you something to trade against and I wouldn't want to see those breached. JMHO
Futures
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 08:43 am
A look at the S&P 500 futures this morning.
This Weeks Econ Calendar - updated actuals
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 08:34 am
Citi (C)
Posted by tom on 16th of Oct 2012 at 08:27 am
Citigroup overall option implied volatility of 33 is below its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement suggesting decreasing price movement into CEO Vikram Pandit stepping down.
No, that would just be
SPX RSI 2 reversion to mean system
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 03:10 pm
No, that would just be a closing of the long trade. NOT a flip short. As Matt noted we also need to stay up a fair amount so we will follow-up after/toward the close if there was an official exit. Good Question.
I cannot help but feel
MNST
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 12:17 pm
I cannot help but feel it needs to go lower or at least put in some additional work. Think their earnings are not until November though so you can trade it without that worry in the short term.
We also have this section
AMGN
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 11:07 am
We also have this section which I created but has not found a home on the site yet. I imagine there are things not covered but this is a great started to learn some functions of the site. The new Trade Ideas list is NOT represented and it is still the old Watch List so that is of no use but the rest should be good.
http://breakpointtrades.com/market_lab/index.php/new_members/
You have to first highlight
AMGN
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 10:51 am
You have to first highlight the URL or any text and then it should display. If not then what browser are you using (also what version, i.e. IE7,8,9 FireFox 16 etc.).
Hey morton, Great charts! When you
AMGN
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 10:34 am
Hey morton,
Great charts! When you post a URL can you please have it open in a new tab? Highlight the link, select the chain, and then make sure to choose new window (I think you asked for the how before but I didn't post instructions). Thanks!
Didn't Argentina go through an
Argentina's Debt Picture Looks Increasingly Disastrous
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 10:01 am
Didn't Argentina go through an economic crisis & default in early 2000's? Is this becoming a once a decade event for them?
Yes I have been lazy
This Weeks Econ Calendar
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 09:39 am
Yes I have been lazy about updating that in the past but I am going to start!
This Weeks Econ Calendar
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 09:08 am
I added news relevant to the Euro Zone so I apologize for the length.
Matt noted the S1 pivot
ES futures
Posted by tom on 15th of Oct 2012 at 07:46 am
Matt noted the S1 pivot acting as support and that ended up being the lows for the evening with the current set-up looking like it could push one more time maybe to the 1430 level. Please note these Pivots are in TOS and not TS so there could be a small price diff.
MNST
MNST Steve or Matt your thoughts?
Posted by tom on 14th of Oct 2012 at 09:44 am
morton, I know you follow this one pretty close and liked your past charts. I follow this one recently too. This seems to be a battle ground stock for analyst as some believe it is cooling off and others think the growth still exists. Then you have this drink push where certain types of drinks seem to be targeted and I think people are waiting to see how this will affect the energy sector. I use to consult with small public companies and two in the industry used MNST as their poster child for marketing, branding, operation etc. I think a hot stock like this, even if it doesn't retake and/or exceed the highs, will make a run. The Cyan MA is the 89 week and I definitely think there is a spot that if we test and hold I will take a swing personally. I will probably use deep in the monies and then try and play for a move into that open gap. I would love to hear your thoughts.
Chart Link
So you did, thanks Steve,
Moon dates?
Posted by tom on 12th of Oct 2012 at 03:34 pm
So you did, thanks Steve, that is the calendar we predominantly use. Also that link has been posted before and can be found using the Search feature on the site "Moon Dates" or "Moon Cycles" would be good starting points. The Moon cycle is about 29.5 days I believe so roughly every two weeks you want to be checking.
We generally give notice -
Moon dates?
Posted by tom on 12th of Oct 2012 at 01:44 pm
We generally give notice - you can use the search feature on the left to look for posts:
http://breakpointtrades.com/blog/post/209950/