Posted by peterwelsh on 18th of Mar 2009 at 12:18 pm
This is an update on their position on leveraged ETF's. It
sounds like they are going to allow more "sophisticated" investors
to purchase these in their accounts. They will need to meet certain
financial requirements and be required to file a new "Investor
Qualification Agreement" in order to purchase them. I am guessing
they got some blowback on their position.
Posted by peterwelsh on 12th of Mar 2009 at 10:15 pm
What it is basically doing is not allowing any further purchases
into client portfolio's. I see nothing that states they must be
sold if they have holdings. Just review the information with client
to make sure they are appropriate. They, as mentioned earlier,
point to differences in the actual performance of the etf and 2x or
3x the perfomance of the underlying index. They can be quite
different over longer periods of time. I guess this is
understandable since the etfs use options, etc to try to get the
results they seek. It would be impossible to exactly double or
triple the index with volatility, time decay, etc. that impact the
value of the options and underlying etf perfomance. Since we as
advisors are to take a long term view of our clients portfolio,
they have determined they are not acceptable.
Posted by peterwelsh on 12th of Mar 2009 at 04:03 pm
I am a financial advisor for Raymond James and can confirm they
are no longer accepting trades for leveraged etf's. The biggest
problem is they do not correlate over longer periods of time to
what you would expect to be the results given 2x or 3x moves by the
underlying index and sometime by a good margin.
Posted by peterwelsh on 2nd of Mar 2009 at 03:25 pm
I don't think that we have ever seen a new bull market take off
without pe's going under double digits. And with mean reversion we
will probably get to the 7 range. Also, if you look at corporate
earnings right now, I would guess the S&P may have a negative
number if not close so what does that do to pe calculations. Even
scarier stuff.
Posted by peterwelsh on 10th of Feb 2009 at 11:31 pm
Look back to late November on the SSO. We are basically in a
trading range from appox 21 to 28 give or take a few pennies. Thus,
we are approaching support here so watch it.
Posted by peterwelsh on 2nd of Jan 2009 at 10:41 am
I use Strategy Desk from TDAmeritrade and you can use any time
frame for the charts that you wish. They will give you some
defaults but all you need to do is type the time frame you want in
the appropriate field.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Pull Back
Posted by peterwelsh on 16th of Apr 2009 at 03:16 pm
I have been waiting for a pull back to get into some longs. I trust it will happen soon but the market can stay overbought for longer than we like.
Isn't it funny how the
Posted by peterwelsh on 3rd of Apr 2009 at 04:06 pm
Isn't it funny how the market pushed above 8000 for the week. All in the last few minutes. Hmmmm.
SPY Resistance
Posted by peterwelsh on 26th of Mar 2009 at 03:00 pm
I think we are seeing some resistance at this point when I look at the weekly chart of the SPY. Given my trendline is accurate, which is a crap shoot at best.
SPY Weekly
Posted by peterwelsh on 20th of Mar 2009 at 12:51 pm
I think the spy is running into resistance at the down trend line on the weekly. The macd and stochastic indicators suggest move movement north.
Raymond James
Posted by peterwelsh on 18th of Mar 2009 at 12:18 pm
This is an update on their position on leveraged ETF's. It sounds like they are going to allow more "sophisticated" investors to purchase these in their accounts. They will need to meet certain financial requirements and be required to file a new "Investor Qualification Agreement" in order to purchase them. I am guessing they got some blowback on their position.
etf's
A source says that Raymond James will no ...
Posted by peterwelsh on 12th of Mar 2009 at 10:15 pm
What it is basically doing is not allowing any further purchases into client portfolio's. I see nothing that states they must be sold if they have holdings. Just review the information with client to make sure they are appropriate. They, as mentioned earlier, point to differences in the actual performance of the etf and 2x or 3x the perfomance of the underlying index. They can be quite different over longer periods of time. I guess this is understandable since the etfs use options, etc to try to get the results they seek. It would be impossible to exactly double or triple the index with volatility, time decay, etc. that impact the value of the options and underlying etf perfomance. Since we as advisors are to take a long term view of our clients portfolio, they have determined they are not acceptable.
http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=271892&pgid=etfarticle
http://www.morningstar.com/cover/videocenter.html?bctid=9952874001&lineup=etfs Video
The concept in the video is one I share with my clients. If you lose 20%, you need to make 25% to get back to even.
I am a financial advisor
A source says that Raymond James will no ...
Posted by peterwelsh on 12th of Mar 2009 at 04:03 pm
I am a financial advisor for Raymond James and can confirm they are no longer accepting trades for leveraged etf's. The biggest problem is they do not correlate over longer periods of time to what you would expect to be the results given 2x or 3x moves by the underlying index and sometime by a good margin.
New Website
Posted by peterwelsh on 6th of Mar 2009 at 03:53 pm
Matt/Steve
I know you mentioned previously that a new look to the website is coming. I was just wondering how that was coming along.
I don't think that we
PE's need top come down
Posted by peterwelsh on 2nd of Mar 2009 at 03:25 pm
I don't think that we have ever seen a new bull market take off without pe's going under double digits. And with mean reversion we will probably get to the 7 range. Also, if you look at corporate earnings right now, I would guess the S&P may have a negative number if not close so what does that do to pe calculations. Even scarier stuff.
Boy, if we don't get
Posted by peterwelsh on 26th of Feb 2009 at 03:30 pm
Boy, if we don't get a getty up in the market pretty soon I am not feeling good that this uptrend is going to continue and it could break down, IMHO.
SSO
Posted by peterwelsh on 19th of Feb 2009 at 10:05 am
Is the 9/39 still a valid trigger? Looks like it is about to happen.
Trading Range - SSO
Posted by peterwelsh on 10th of Feb 2009 at 11:31 pm
Look back to late November on the SSO. We are basically in a trading range from appox 21 to 28 give or take a few pennies. Thus, we are approaching support here so watch it.
Steve, the new link worked
Part 1 newsletter
Posted by peterwelsh on 25th of Jan 2009 at 11:37 pm
Steve, the new link worked for me. Thanks.
SRS
Posted by peterwelsh on 21st of Jan 2009 at 03:08 pm
Ameritrade would not let me short SRS, anyone else try today?
JPM
Posted by peterwelsh on 16th of Jan 2009 at 12:28 pm
Bought some puts on JPM at 2.35 and just sold at 3.05. It is near support now. I feel good.
SPX
Posted by peterwelsh on 9th of Jan 2009 at 10:45 am
We are at or near the 20 and 50 sma's on a daily chart that may serve as support.
I use Strategy Desk from
Mechanical Systems
Posted by peterwelsh on 2nd of Jan 2009 at 10:41 am
I use Strategy Desk from TDAmeritrade and you can use any time frame for the charts that you wish. They will give you some defaults but all you need to do is type the time frame you want in the appropriate field.
srs
Posted by peterwelsh on 22nd of Dec 2008 at 02:12 pm
The Bollinger Bands on the 60" chart are pinched pretty tight.
Check your inbox, I sent
Does anyone know if the SEC would have issues if ...
Posted by peterwelsh on 22nd of Dec 2008 at 09:49 am
Check your inbox, I sent you a private email with a link.
Scalped 1.50 on the initial
SRS 8/71
Posted by peterwelsh on 19th of Dec 2008 at 12:31 pm
Scalped 1.50 on the initial cross.