Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:53 am
Plan Market - Looks like the DOW folks and OIL, Commodities need
to pull back a little while the QQQs rally into AAPL. This
will be the QQQs 2nd last stand for a Wave 4 coming. This is
the same game plan I shared a couple weeks ago and I'm ALWAYS
early. I got my ass handed to me by Meta last week but I'm
confident on the Wave 4 pull back coming in the QQQs (but I'm long
Meta right now) and wave 5 should be led by OIL,XLE and DOW,IWM
folks. It would be the perfect storm into end of Sept.
I really don't think this market can hold the 9 through
August. RATES ARE GOING HIGHER. COMMODITIES ARE GOING
HIGHER. INFLATION IS GOING HIGHER. Sorry for caps...my
2 cents and I love reading the communities thoughts and input.
Can't wait till October when the world comes to an end. :)
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:44 am
Plan Gold - I have 20 long GLD 185 Sept contracts in the green
(bought last Thursday). Based on the GDX/GLD ratio and
comment, I plan to reduce on any strength down to 1 contract this
week. I call that my tracker contract.
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:40 am
Matt - great newsletter mate ! When there are so many
options, which are the best ones ? So let's say I'm a noob
and just want a winner... like all my friends are telling me to bet
x,y,z on roulette but 0/00 is a best bet. I encourage you (as
I always have) to provide some focus for the community...like draw
a few charts/scenarios together. Remember when you started
the LONG TERM, MID TERM, SHORT TERM views ? Following
today's newsletter - Long Term (Yearly)- Green. Mid Term
(Monthly) - Yellow/Trending Red. Short Term(Daily) -
Yellow.
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 03:37 pm
My short ISRG started working and took 1/2 profits, still
holding 1/2. CMG short from the open looks fantastic ...
bottom of that gap is 1800 ! Also opened a new long GLD
position today ... looks like we are in the right shoulder range
for the Inv HnS. Meta - glad I added ot my short this morning
but yet to be seen if I can even get back to even on this one.
Will be interesting to see which QQQs lost their STS today
and are also below the 50 RSI that was pointed out by a member
today (could be juicy stuff).
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 03:34 pm
I went to cash in my 401k about 2 weeks ago. Was expecting
QQQs to pull back and maybe everything based on the seasonality and
then was planning to go heavy into IWM and DOW/Value (as I have
limited options in my 401). Today I was gonna make a big
move into the QQQs if the wave iv scenario held. At this
point looks like i'm staying in cash with the big bucks.
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 11:19 am
Then it's not a system. It's you have to be a skilled
trader and first be able to recognize a wave 4 and then have to
have the balls to ignore the system by some arbitrary amount that
you call noise. As far as I'm concerned, the system (in it's
current state) failed. Same is currently true for ISRG which
closed several dollars below it's STS and is now back above
it.
I think it's good if you can improve the systems to account for
more noise (without giving up too much more loss) but perhaps the
other factor here is when it comes to earnings - all bets are off,
even for the STS systems.
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 03:21 pm
Fireworks are to be expected on Fed day and directionaly it's
pretty much as I expected. We could still finish green and
tank tomorrow but i'm leaning towards falling through the floor
now.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
I'm short
ISRG - Anyone else see a crash <321.91 ?
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 03:41 pm
I'm short
GDX/GLD ratio catching up ?
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 03:34 pm
GDX/GLD ratio catching up ?
Plan Market - Looks like
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:53 am
Plan Market - Looks like the DOW folks and OIL, Commodities need to pull back a little while the QQQs rally into AAPL. This will be the QQQs 2nd last stand for a Wave 4 coming. This is the same game plan I shared a couple weeks ago and I'm ALWAYS early. I got my ass handed to me by Meta last week but I'm confident on the Wave 4 pull back coming in the QQQs (but I'm long Meta right now) and wave 5 should be led by OIL,XLE and DOW,IWM folks. It would be the perfect storm into end of Sept. I really don't think this market can hold the 9 through August. RATES ARE GOING HIGHER. COMMODITIES ARE GOING HIGHER. INFLATION IS GOING HIGHER. Sorry for caps...my 2 cents and I love reading the communities thoughts and input. Can't wait till October when the world comes to an end. :)
Plan Gold - I have
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:44 am
Plan Gold - I have 20 long GLD 185 Sept contracts in the green (bought last Thursday). Based on the GDX/GLD ratio and comment, I plan to reduce on any strength down to 1 contract this week. I call that my tracker contract.
My plan(s) - I wish
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:41 am
My plan(s) - I wish I didn't have so many per my earlier post.
Matt - great newsletter mate
Posted by fredsaid on 31st of Jul 2023 at 12:40 am
Matt - great newsletter mate ! When there are so many options, which are the best ones ? So let's say I'm a noob and just want a winner... like all my friends are telling me to bet x,y,z on roulette but 0/00 is a best bet. I encourage you (as I always have) to provide some focus for the community...like draw a few charts/scenarios together. Remember when you started the LONG TERM, MID TERM, SHORT TERM views ? Following today's newsletter - Long Term (Yearly)- Green. Mid Term (Monthly) - Yellow/Trending Red. Short Term(Daily) - Yellow.
My short ISRG started working
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 03:37 pm
My short ISRG started working and took 1/2 profits, still holding 1/2. CMG short from the open looks fantastic ... bottom of that gap is 1800 ! Also opened a new long GLD position today ... looks like we are in the right shoulder range for the Inv HnS. Meta - glad I added ot my short this morning but yet to be seen if I can even get back to even on this one. Will be interesting to see which QQQs lost their STS today and are also below the 50 RSI that was pointed out by a member today (could be juicy stuff).
I went to cash in
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 03:34 pm
I went to cash in my 401k about 2 weeks ago. Was expecting QQQs to pull back and maybe everything based on the seasonality and then was planning to go heavy into IWM and DOW/Value (as I have limited options in my 401). Today I was gonna make a big move into the QQQs if the wave iv scenario held. At this point looks like i'm staying in cash with the big bucks.
PCE tomorrow ... chance for
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 02:58 pm
PCE tomorrow ... chance for more rollercoaster back up ?
Steve has wave iv been
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 02:26 pm
Steve has wave iv been negated with this move down or still viable ?
Holy FB fade batman !
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 02:25 pm
Holy FB fade batman !
Interesting.
EDUCATIONAL POST: STS stops - again they are a guide, be open to some subjectivity
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 01:07 pm
Interesting.
Opened that CMG short this
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 11:27 am
Opened that CMG short this morning. Can't wait for it to fall off the cliff.
Then it's not a system.
EDUCATIONAL POST: STS stops - again they are a guide, be open to some subjectivity
Posted by fredsaid on 27th of Jul 2023 at 11:19 am
Then it's not a system. It's you have to be a skilled trader and first be able to recognize a wave 4 and then have to have the balls to ignore the system by some arbitrary amount that you call noise. As far as I'm concerned, the system (in it's current state) failed. Same is currently true for ISRG which closed several dollars below it's STS and is now back above it.
I think it's good if you can improve the systems to account for more noise (without giving up too much more loss) but perhaps the other factor here is when it comes to earnings - all bets are off, even for the STS systems.
Good thing I didn't go
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 05:46 pm
Good thing I didn't go long NOW. Bad thing I stuck to META short.
Wow that Gap is another
CMG down 8% = $20 Burritos not going over as ...
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 05:45 pm
Wow that Gap is another 100 points ! Gonna look for bounce up to top of gap in am for a short.
Tempted to go long NOW
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 03:22 pm
Tempted to go long NOW but not with this backdrop. Added to META short.
Fireworks are to be expected
Wacky moves. Lol
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 03:21 pm
Fireworks are to be expected on Fed day and directionaly it's pretty much as I expected. We could still finish green and tank tomorrow but i'm leaning towards falling through the floor now.
Guess we've seen how green
Knee jerk looks green AND there will be more hikes ...
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 03:12 pm
Guess we've seen how green they could get it ...now let's get that .5 -1% down in the SPY. Fill some of those gaps.
Giddiyup ! Now we're talking
JPM on FOMC
Posted by fredsaid on 26th of Jul 2023 at 03:11 pm
Giddiyup ! Now we're talking :)